NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/10, Final: 25 – 20
Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots

Eagles: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC East

Patriots: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC East

Line: +3.5

Total: 44.0

Open: +4

Open: 45

Team totals: Eagles 23.5 · Patriots 20.5

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Notes

Eagles

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

Patriots

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next gave versus division rival

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

The model doesn't have enough games played yet this season to generate reliable predictions — it typically won't start producing projections until Week 3.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Eagles Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/25/23 2023	Eagles	-	@	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.0	44.0	-	-
09/14/23 2023	Eagles	-	vs.	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.0	49.0	-	-
09/10/23 2023	Eagles	-	@	Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	44.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
02/12/23 2022	Eagles	35	vs.	Chiefs	38	419	115	304	0	2	-1.5	51.5	+3	O 73 +21.5
01/29/23 2022	Eagles	31	vs.	49ers	7	269	148	121	0	0	-3.0	45.0	-24	U 38 -7.0
01/21/23 2022	Eagles	38	vs.	Giants	7	422	268	154	1	1	-8.0	48.0	-31	U 45 -3.0
01/08/23 2022	Eagles	22	vs.	Giants	16	364	135	229	0	0	-17.0	43.0	-6	U 38 -5.0
01/01/23 2022	Eagles	10	vs.	Saints	20	341	67	274	1	2	-4.5	42.0	+10	U 30 -12.0
12/24/22 2022	Eagles	34	@	Cowboys	40	442	87	355	1	3	+3.5	48.0	+6	O 74 +26.0
12/18/22 2022	Eagles	25	@	Bears	20	427	112	315	0	1	-8.5	47.5	-5	U 45 -2.5
12/11/22 2022	Eagles	48	@	Giants	22	470	253	217	0	0	-7.0	44.5	-26	O 70 +25.5
12/04/22 2022	Eagles	35	vs.	Titans	10	458	67	391	0	1	-5.0	44.5	-25	O 45 +0.5
11/27/22 2022	Eagles	40	vs.	Packers	33	516	363	153	2	2	-6.5	46.0	-7	O 73 +27.0

Patriots Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/24/23 2023	Patriots	-	@	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	35.5	-	-
09/17/23 2023	Patriots	-	vs.	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	46.5	-	-
09/10/23 2023	Patriots	-	vs.	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	44.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Patriots	23	@	Bills	35	350	107	243	1	1	+13.5	44.0	+12	O 58 +14.0
01/01/23 2022	Patriots	23	vs.	Dolphins	21	280	76	204	2	0	-3.5	42.0	-2	O 44 +2.0
12/24/22 2022	Patriots	18	vs.	Bengals	22	301	61	240	2	4	+3.0	41.5	+4	U 40 -1.5
12/18/22 2022	Patriots	24	@	Raiders	30	318	206	112	1	1	+2.5	45.0	+6	O 54 +9.0
12/12/22 2022	Patriots	27	@	Cardinals	13	338	103	235	1	1	-2.5	44.0	-14	U 40 -4.0
12/01/22 2022	Patriots	10	vs.	Bills	24	255	60	195	0	2	+3.5	44.0	+14	U 34 -10.0
11/24/22 2022	Patriots	26	@	Vikings	33	427	45	382	1	1	+2.5	42.0	+7	O 59 +17.0
11/20/22 2022	Patriots	10	vs.	Jets	3	345	99	246	0	1	-3.5	38.0	-7	U 13 -25.0
11/06/22 2022	Patriots	26	vs.	Colts	3	217	70	147	1	2	-4.0	40.0	-23	U 29 -11.0
10/30/22 2022	Patriots	22	@	Jets	17	321	127	194	3	1	-3.0	40.0	-5	U 39 -1.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Eagles are 25% (2-6) against the spread away

The Eagles are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as an away fav

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Patriots (Home)

The Patriots are 50% (8-8-1) against the spread

The Patriots are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread at home

The Patriots are 33.3% (3-6) against the spread as a dog

The Patriots are 0% (0-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Patriots are 52.9% (9-8) to the under

The Patriots are 62.5% (5-3) to the under at home

The Patriots are 66.7% (6-3) to the over as a dog

The Patriots are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a home dog

Eagles (Away)

The Eagles are 50% (10-10) against the spread

The Eagles are 25% (2-6) against the spread away

The Eagles are 52.6% (10-9) against the spread as a fav

The Eagles are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Eagles are 55% (11-9) to the over

The Eagles are 50% (4-4) to the over away

The Eagles are 52.6% (10-9) to the over as a fav

The Eagles are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/10, Final: 25 – 20 Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Philadelphia Eagles", home_team: "New England Patriots", game_date: "2023-09-10" };

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Injury Report PHINo report NENo report

Notes

Eagles

Situational Factor(s)

Patriots

Situational Factor(s)

Filters

Schedules

Eagles Schedule Follow global filters

Patriots Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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Patriots (Home)

Eagles (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 9/10, Final: 25 – 20
Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots