NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/10, Final: 38 – 20
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

Packers: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC North

Bears: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC North

Line: -1.0

Total: 41.0

Open: -1

Open: 42

Team totals: Packers 20.5 · Bears 20.5

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Injury Report GBNo report CHINo report

Notes

Packers

Baller System(s)

Back divisional dog who won previous 2 head-to-head matchups

Back early season short, road underdogs who won last matchup

Week 1: Back road dog when next game is on the road

Bears

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

The model doesn't have enough games played yet this season to generate reliable predictions — it typically won't start producing projections until Week 3.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Packers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/24/23 2023	Packers	-	vs.	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	41.5	-	-
09/17/23 2023	Packers	-	@	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	40.0	-	-
09/10/23 2023	Packers	-	@	Bears	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.0	41.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Packers	16	vs.	Lions	20	308	103	205	0	1	-4.0	48.0	+4	U 36 -12.0
01/01/23 2022	Packers	41	vs.	Vikings	17	331	163	168	3	0	-3.0	47.5	-24	O 58 +10.5
12/25/22 2022	Packers	26	@	Dolphins	20	317	79	238	3	1	+3.5	49.0	-6	U 46 -3.0
12/19/22 2022	Packers	24	vs.	Rams	12	367	138	229	1	2	-7.5	39.5	-12	U 36 -3.5
12/04/22 2022	Packers	28	@	Bears	19	357	175	182	2	0	-3.5	45.0	-9	O 47 +2.0
11/27/22 2022	Packers	33	@	Eagles	40	359	106	253	0	0	+6.5	46.0	+7	O 73 +27.0
11/17/22 2022	Packers	17	vs.	Titans	27	283	56	227	1	1	-3.0	40.5	+10	O 44 +3.5
11/13/22 2022	Packers	31	vs.	Cowboys	28 OT	431	207	224	2	3	+3.5	44.5	-3	O 59 +14.5
11/06/22 2022	Packers	9	@	Lions	15	397	106	291	1	2	-4.0	49.5	+6	U 24 -25.5
10/30/22 2022	Packers	17	@	Bills	27	411	208	203	2	0	+10.5	47.0	+10	U 44 -3.0

Bears Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/24/23 2023	Bears	-	@	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+12.5	48.5	-	-
09/17/23 2023	Bears	-	@	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	40.5	-	-
09/10/23 2023	Bears	-	vs.	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.0	41.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Bears	13	vs.	Vikings	29	265	118	147	1	0	+6.5	43.0	+16	U 42 -1.0
01/01/23 2022	Bears	10	@	Lions	41	275	200	75	0	1	+4.0	52.0	+31	U 51 -1.0
12/24/22 2022	Bears	13	vs.	Bills	35	224	80	144	2	2	+8.0	40.5	+22	O 48 +7.5
12/18/22 2022	Bears	20	vs.	Eagles	25	309	157	152	2	4	+8.5	47.5	+5	U 45 -2.5
12/04/22 2022	Bears	19	vs.	Packers	28	409	155	254	0	1	+3.5	45.0	+9	O 47 +2.0
11/27/22 2022	Bears	10	@	Jets	31	306	127	179	0	2	+7.5	36.5	+21	O 41 +4.5
11/20/22 2022	Bears	24	@	Falcons	27	313	160	153	0	2	+2.0	48.0	+3	O 51 +3.0
11/13/22 2022	Bears	30	vs.	Lions	31	425	258	167	0	1	-3.0	48.0	+1	O 61 +13.0
11/06/22 2022	Bears	32	vs.	Dolphins	35	375	252	123	0	0	+3.5	46.0	+3	O 67 +21.0
10/30/22 2022	Bears	29	@	Cowboys	49	396	240	156	1	1	+9.0	42.5	+20	O 78 +35.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Packers are 80% (4-1) to the under as an away dog

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Bears (Home)

The Bears are 31.3% (5-11-1) against the spread

The Bears are 37.5% (3-5-1) against the spread at home

The Bears are 0% (0-1-1) against the spread as a fav

The Bears are 0% (0-1-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Bears are 58.8% (10-7) to the over

The Bears are 55.6% (5-4) to the over at home

The Bears are 100% (2-0) to the over as a fav

The Bears are 100% (2-0) to the over as a home fav

Packers (Away)

The Packers are 47.1% (8-9) against the spread

The Packers are 50% (4-4) against the spread away

The Packers are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a dog

The Packers are 60% (3-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Packers are 52.9% (9-8) to the under

The Packers are 62.5% (5-3) to the under away

The Packers are 66.7% (4-2) to the under as a dog