WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 76 – 83
Chicago Sky @ Washington Mystics

Sky: 12-17 (41.4%) | Market Rating: -1.98

Mystics: 13-16 (44.8%) | Market Rating: -1.58 | Home Court: +2.4 pts

Line: -2.5

Total: 161.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/20/23 2023	Sky	-	vs.	Sun	-	+6.0	160.0	-	-
08/18/23 2023	Sky	-	@	Dream	-	+3.0	162.5	-	-
08/13/23 2023	Sky	-	@	Mystics	-	+2.5	161.5	-	-
08/11/23	Sky	73	@	Liberty	89	+12.5	170.0	+16	U 162 -8.0
2023	ORtg: 90.5 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 90.5 Pace: 80.7
08/08/23	Sky	79	vs.	Lynx	88	-3.5	164.5	+9	O 167 +2.5
2023	ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 79.7
08/06/23	Sky	104	@	Wings	96	+9.0	166.0	-8	O 200 +34.0
2023	ORtg: 124.1 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 83.8			ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 124.1 Pace: 83.8
08/04/23	Sky	104	@	Wings	89	+10.0	164.5	-15	O 193 +28.5
2023	ORtg: 127.6 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 127.6 Pace: 81.5
07/30/23	Sky	104	vs.	Mercury	85	-7.0	155.0	-19	O 189 +34.0
2023	ORtg: 137.6 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 137.6 Pace: 75.6
07/28/23	Sky	74	vs.	Storm	83	-4.0	160.5	+9	U 157 -3.5
2023	ORtg: 96.9 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 96.9 Pace: 76.4
07/25/23	Sky	95	vs.	Aces	107	+14.5	167.5	+12	O 202 +34.5
2023	ORtg: 119.2 DRtg: 134.2 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 134.2 DRtg: 119.2 Pace: 79.7
07/22/23	Sky	90	@	Storm	75	+2.0	159.0	-15	O 165 +6.0
2023	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 81.8
07/20/23	Sky	62	@	Mercury	80	-2.0	155.0	+18	U 142 -13.0
2023	ORtg: 81.7 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 81.7 Pace: 75.9
07/12/23	Sky	72	vs.	Sun	84	+6.0	160.5	+12	U 156 -4.5
2023	ORtg: 94.7 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 94.7 Pace: 76.0

Away Games Avg (5 games)		86.6	-	-	85.8	+6.3	162.9	-0.8 +7.1	O 172.4 +9.5
	ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 80.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		85.7	-	-	87.6	+3.8	162.3	+1.9 +1.9	O 173.3 +11.1
	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 79.1

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/20/23 2023	Mystics	-	vs.	Wings	-	+5.0	166.5	-	-
08/18/23 2023	Mystics	-	@	Fever	-	-5.0	162.0	-	-
08/13/23 2023	Mystics	-	vs.	Sky	-	-2.5	161.5	-	-
08/11/23	Mystics	89	@	Aces	113	+17.5	169.5	+24	O 202 +32.5
2023	ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 130.4 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 130.4 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 86.7
08/08/23	Mystics	72	@	Mercury	91	+3.0	159.5	+19	O 163 +3.5
2023	ORtg: 94.7 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 94.7 Pace: 76.0
08/06/23	Mystics	83	vs.	Sparks	91	-3.0	155.5	+8	O 174 +18.5
2023	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 81.3
08/04/23	Mystics	79	vs.	Sparks	77	-3.0	157.5	-2	U 156 -1.5
2023	ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 80.6
07/30/23	Mystics	73	@	Dream	80	+8.5	167.0	+7	U 153 -14.0
2023	ORtg: 88.4 DRtg: 96.9 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 96.9 DRtg: 88.4 Pace: 82.6
07/28/23	Mystics	62	@	Wings	90	+9.0	165.0	+28	U 152 -13.0
2023	ORtg: 78.5 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 78.5 Pace: 79.0
07/26/23	Mystics	92	@	Lynx	97	+3.5	159.0	+5	O 189 +30.0
2023	ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 82.0
07/23/23	Mystics	84	vs.	Mercury	69	-3.0	156.0	-15	U 153 -3.0
2023	ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 86.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 86.5 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 79.8
07/21/23	Mystics	87	vs.	Liberty	96	+10.5	163.5	+9	O 183 +19.5
2023	ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 84.1			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 84.1
07/19/23	Mystics	76	vs.	Fever	82	-2.0	158.0	+6	P 158 0.0
2023	ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 78.8

Home Games Avg (5 games)		81.8	-	-	83.0	-0.1	158.1	+1.2 -1.3	O 164.8 +6.7
	ORtg: 101.1 DRtg: 102.4 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 102.4 DRtg: 101.1 Pace: 80.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.7	-	-	88.6	+4.1	161.1	+8.9 -4.8	O 168.3 +7.3
	ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 109.1 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 109.1 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 81.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mystics are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Mystics are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 43.3% (13-17) against the spread

The Mystics are 60% (9-6) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 45% (9-11) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 55.2% (16-13-1) to the under

The Mystics are 50% (7-7-1) to the over at home

The Mystics are 63.2% (12-7-1) to the under as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (6-6-1) to the over as a home fav

The Mystics are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 50% (5-5-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 60% (3-2-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Mystics are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Mystics are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Sky (Away)

The Sky are 50% (14-14-2) against the spread

The Sky are 50% (7-7-1) against the spread away

The Sky are 52.6% (10-9-1) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 53.8% (7-6-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 53.3% (16-14) to the under

The Sky are 53.3% (8-7) to the under away

The Sky are 55% (11-9) to the under as a dog

The Sky are 50% (7-7) to the over as an away dog

The Sky are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sky are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sky are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/22/23	Mystics	80	@	Sky	59	-2.5	155.5	-21	U 139 -16.5
2023	ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 74.8 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 74.8 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 78.9
06/18/23	Mystics	77	vs.	Sky	69	-4.5	155.5	-8	U 146 -9.5
2023	ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 74.3
05/26/23	Mystics	71	@	Sky	69	-5.0	157.0	-2	U 140 -17.0
2023	ORtg: 86.7 DRtg: 84.3 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 84.3 DRtg: 86.7 Pace: 81.8
08/05/22	Mystics	83	@	Sky	93	+6.0	160.5	+10	O 176 +15.5
2022	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 76.2
06/08/22	Mystics	84	vs.	Sky	82	-3.5	156.0	-2	O 166 +10.0
2022	ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 75.1
06/05/22	Mystics	82	@	Sky	91	+6.0	153.5	+9	O 173 +19.5
2022	ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 80.5
05/22/22	Mystics	73	vs.	Sky	82	-1.5	162.0	+9	U 155 -7.0
2022	ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 77.8

Mystics as Home (3 games)		78.0	-	-	77.7	-3.2	157.8	-0.3 -2.8	U 155.7 -2.2
	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 75.7

All Games Avg (7 games)		78.6	-	-	77.9	-0.7	157.1	-0.7 0.0	U 156.4 -0.7
	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 77.8