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Updated: 11/08/26 3:10 p.m. ET
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WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 71 – 72
Phoenix Mercury @ Indiana Fever
Mercury: 6-18 (25.0%) | Market Rating: -3.33
Fever: 6-19 (24.0%) | Market Rating: -3.19 | Home Court: +1.4 pts
Line: -6.0
Total: 158.5
Open: -6
Open: 159.5
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Injury Report PHXNo report INDNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.
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Schedules
Mercury Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
08/05/23
2023
 Mercury - vs. Storm - -3.0 159.0 - -
08/03/23
2023
 Mercury - vs. Dream - +7.5 163.0 - -
08/01/23
2023
 Mercury - @ Fever - +6.0 158.5 - -
07/30/23 Mercury 85 @ Sky 104 +7.0 155.0 +19 O 189 +34.0
2023
ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 137.6 Pace: 75.6ORtg: 137.6 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 75.6
07/25/23 Mercury 65 @ Dream 78 +7.5 163.5 +13 U 143 -20.5
2023
ORtg: 82.6 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 78.7ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 82.6 Pace: 78.7
07/23/23 Mercury 69 @ Mystics 84 +3.0 156.0 +15 U 153 -3.0
2023
ORtg: 86.5 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 79.8ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 86.5 Pace: 79.8
07/20/23 Mercury 80 vs. Sky 62 +2.0 155.0 -18 U 142 -13.0
2023
ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 81.7 Pace: 75.9ORtg: 81.7 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 75.9
07/18/23 Mercury 72 vs. Sun 66 +7.5 162.5 -6 U 138 -24.5
2023
ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 91.1 Pace: 72.4ORtg: 91.1 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 72.4
07/11/23 Mercury 72 @ Aces 98 +17.0 170.0 +26 P 170 0.0
2023
ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 125.9 Pace: 77.8ORtg: 125.9 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 77.8
07/09/23 Mercury 78 vs. Sparks 72 -1.5 159.0 -6 U 150 -9.0
2023
ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 75.4ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 75.4
07/07/23 Mercury 64 @ Lynx 75 +5.5 161.0 +11 U 139 -22.0
2023
ORtg: 83.0 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 77.1ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 83.0 Pace: 77.1
07/05/23 Mercury 95 @ Liberty 99 +14.5 167.0 +4 O 194 +27.0
2023
ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 85.3ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 85.3
07/01/23 Mercury 76 vs. Lynx 86 -1.5 160.5 +10 O 162 +1.5
2023
ORtg: 95.1 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 79.9ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 95.1 Pace: 79.9
Away Games Avg
(6 games)		 75.0 - - 89.7 +9.1 162.1 +14.7 -5.6 O 164.7 +2.6
ORtg: 94.7 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 79.0ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 94.7 Pace: 79.0
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 75.6 - - 82.4 +6.1 161.0 +6.8 -0.7 U 158.0 -3.0
ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 77.8ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 77.8
Fever Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
08/06/23
2023
 Fever - @ Dream - +8.0 167.0 - -
08/04/23
2023
 Fever - vs. Sun - +8.0 160.5 - -
08/01/23
2023
 Fever - vs. Mercury - -6.0 158.5 - -
07/30/23 Fever 62 vs. Storm 85 -4.0 162.0 +23 U 147 -15.0
2023
ORtg: 83.7 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 74.1ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 83.7 Pace: 74.1
07/27/23 Fever 68 @ Sparks 81 +2.0 160.5 +13 U 149 -11.5
2023
ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 76.8ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 76.8
07/25/23 Fever 78 @ Sparks 79 +4.5 163.5 +1 U 157 -6.5
2023
ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 76.9ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 76.9
07/23/23 Fever 83 @ Liberty 101 +13.0 171.0 +18 O 184 +13.0
2023
ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 131.2 Pace: 77.0ORtg: 131.2 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 77.0
07/19/23 Fever 82 @ Mystics 76 +2.0 158.0 -6 P 158 0.0
2023
ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 78.8ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 78.8
07/12/23 Fever 87 vs. Liberty 95 OT +10.5 169.5 +8 O 182 +12.5
2023
ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 85.0ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 85.0
07/09/23 Fever 76 vs. Wings 77 +3.5 168.5 +1 U 153 -15.5
2023
ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 76.8ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 76.8
07/07/23 Fever 88 @ Mystics 96 +3.0 157.0 +8 O 184 +27.0
2023
ORtg: 118.3 DRtg: 129.0 Pace: 74.4ORtg: 129.0 DRtg: 118.3 Pace: 74.4
07/05/23 Fever 83 @ Lynx 90 +2.0 165.5 +7 O 173 +7.5
2023
ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 78.8ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 78.8
07/02/23 Fever 87 vs. Sky 89 -3.0 159.5 +2 O 176 +16.5
2023
ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 79.0ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 79.0
Home Games Avg
(4 games)		 78.0 - - 86.5 +1.8 164.9 +8.5 -6.8 U 164.5 -0.4
ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 78.7ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 78.7
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 79.4 - - 86.9 +3.4 163.5 +7.5 -4.2 O 166.3 +2.8
ORtg: 101.1 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 77.8ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 101.1 Pace: 77.8
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Records
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Notable Trends
The Fever are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as a fav
The Fever are 0% (0-4) against the spread as a home fav
The Mercury are 21.4% (3-11) against the spread away
The Mercury are 21.4% (3-11) against the spread as an away dog
The Mercury are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread away
The Mercury are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog
The Mercury are 77.8% (7-2-1) (L30 days) to the under
The Mercury are 75% (6-2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Team Pts Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
06/29/23 Fever 63 @ Mercury 85 -2.5 162.5 +22 U 148 -14.5
2023
ORtg: 82.7 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 76.2ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 82.7 Pace: 76.2
06/11/23 Fever 82 vs. Mercury 85 -3.5 161.5 +3 O 167 +5.5
2023
ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 72.8ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 72.8
06/29/22 Fever 78 @ Mercury 99 +7.0 165.5 +21 O 177 +11.5
2022
ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 139.0 Pace: 71.2ORtg: 139.0 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 71.2
06/27/22 Fever 71 @ Mercury 83 +7.0 169.0 +12 U 154 -15.0
2022
ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 73.4ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 73.4
06/15/22 Fever 80 vs. Mercury 93 -1.0 169.5 +13 O 173 +3.5
2022
ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 79.5ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 79.5
Fever as Home
(2 games)		 81.0 - - 89.0 -2.3 165.5 +8.0 -10.3 O 170.0 +4.5
ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 116.9 Pace: 76.2ORtg: 116.9 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 76.2
All Games Avg
(5 games)		 74.8 - - 89.0 +1.4 165.6 +14.2 -12.8 U 163.8 -1.8
ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 74.6ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 74.6

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