WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 89 – 87
Chicago Sky @ Indiana Fever

Sky: 7-9 (43.8%) | Market Rating: -0.31

Fever: 5-10 (33.3%) | Market Rating: -2.87 | Home Court: +0.7 pts

Line: -3.0

Total: 159.5

Open: -3

Open: 161

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/09/23 2023	Sky	-	vs.	Dream	-	-1.5	167.0	-	-
07/07/23 2023	Sky	-	vs.	Dream	-	-1.0	170.0	-	-
07/02/23 2023	Sky	-	@	Fever	-	+3.0	159.5	-	-
06/30/23	Sky	86	vs.	Sparks	78	-2.0	155.5	-8	O 164 +8.5
2023	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 75.8
06/28/23	Sky	80	vs.	Sparks	63	-2.5	156.5	-17	U 143 -13.5
2023	ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 82.5 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 82.5 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 76.4
06/25/23	Sky	72	@	Sun	96	+6.0	157.5	+24	O 168 +10.5
2023	ORtg: 87.1 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 87.1 Pace: 82.7
06/22/23	Sky	59	vs.	Mystics	80	+2.5	155.5	+21	U 139 -16.5
2023	ORtg: 74.8 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 74.8 Pace: 78.9
06/18/23	Sky	69	@	Mystics	77	+4.5	155.5	+8	U 146 -9.5
2023	ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 74.3
06/15/23	Sky	90	vs.	Fever	92	+1.5	157.0	+2	O 182 +25.0
2023	ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 72.4
06/11/23	Sky	80	@	Aces	93	+13.0	168.0	+13	O 173 +5.0
2023	ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 121.7 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 121.7 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 76.4
06/09/23	Sky	62	@	Sparks	77	+3.5	159.0	+15	U 139 -20.0
2023	ORtg: 78.8 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 78.8 Pace: 78.7
06/06/23	Sky	108	vs.	Fever	103 OT	-5.0	157.0	-5	O 211 +54.0
2023	ORtg: 129.0 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 129.0 Pace: 75.8
06/04/23	Sky	86	@	Liberty	82	+11.5	157.5	-4	O 168 +10.5
2023	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 85.3

Away Games Avg (5 games)		73.8	-	-	85.0	+7.7	159.5	+11.2 -3.5	U 158.8 -0.7
	ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 79.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.2	-	-	84.1	+3.3	157.9	+4.9 -1.6	O 163.3 +5.4
	ORtg: 101.1 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 101.1 Pace: 77.7

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/07/23 2023	Fever	-	@	Mystics	-	+3.0	157.0	-	-
07/05/23 2023	Fever	-	@	Lynx	-	+2.0	165.5	-	-
07/02/23 2023	Fever	-	vs.	Sky	-	-3.0	159.5	-	-
06/29/23	Fever	63	@	Mercury	85	-2.5	162.5	+22	U 148 -14.5
2023	ORtg: 82.7 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 82.7 Pace: 76.2
06/26/23	Fever	80	@	Aces	88	+15.0	171.0	+8	U 168 -3.0
2023	ORtg: 103.3 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 103.3 Pace: 77.5
06/24/23	Fever	88	@	Aces	101	+16.0	170.0	+13	O 189 +19.0
2023	ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 122.6 Pace: 82.4			ORtg: 122.6 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 82.4
06/22/23	Fever	80	@	Storm	68	-1.5	164.0	-12	U 148 -16.0
2023	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 83.1 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 83.1 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 81.9
06/18/23	Fever	94	vs.	Dream	100	+1.0	165.5	+6	O 194 +28.5
2023	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 87.8			ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 87.8
06/15/23	Fever	92	@	Sky	90	-1.5	157.0	-2	O 182 +25.0
2023	ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 72.4
06/13/23	Fever	87	vs.	Mystics	66	+4.5	157.0	-21	U 153 -4.0
2023	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 86.6 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 86.6 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 76.2
06/11/23	Fever	82	vs.	Mercury	85	-3.5	161.5	+3	O 167 +5.5
2023	ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 72.8			ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 72.8
06/09/23	Fever	71	@	Lynx	69	+2.5	162.0	-2	U 140 -22.0
2023	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 89.1 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 89.1 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 77.5
06/06/23	Fever	103	@	Sky	108 OT	+5.0	157.0	+5	O 211 +54.0
2023	ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 129.0 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 129.0 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 75.8

Home Games Avg (3 games)		87.7	-	-	83.7	+0.7	161.3	-4.0 +4.7	O 171.3 +10.0
	ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 78.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.0	-	-	86.0	+3.5	162.8	+2.0 +1.5	O 170.0 +7.3
	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 109.1 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 109.1 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 78.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Fever (Home)

The Fever are 60% (9-6-1) against the spread

The Fever are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread at home

The Fever are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Fever are 56.3% (9-7) to the over

The Fever are 50% (3-3) to the over at home

The Fever are 60% (3-2) to the over as a fav

The Fever are 100% (2-0) to the over as a home fav

The Fever are 63.6% (7-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fever are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Fever are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Fever are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Fever are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Sky (Away)

The Sky are 60% (9-6-2) against the spread

The Sky are 50% (4-4-1) against the spread away

The Sky are 50% (6-6-1) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 50% (4-4-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 52.9% (9-8) to the under

The Sky are 55.6% (5-4) to the under away

The Sky are 61.5% (8-5) to the under as a dog

The Sky are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as an away dog

The Sky are 50% (5-5-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 40% (2-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sky are 37.5% (3-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 40% (2-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sky are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/15/23	Fever	92	@	Sky	90	-1.5	157.0	-2	O 182 +25.0
2023	ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 72.4
06/06/23	Fever	103	@	Sky	108 OT	+5.0	157.0	+5	O 211 +54.0
2023	ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 129.0 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 129.0 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 75.8
07/07/22	Fever	84	vs.	Sky	93	+9.0	167.5	+9	O 177 +9.5
2022	ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 82.1
06/19/22	Fever	89	vs.	Sky	87	+8.0	172.0	-2	O 176 +4.0
2022	ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 84.1			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 84.1
05/24/22	Fever	90	@	Sky	95	+13.5	162.5	+5	O 185 +22.5
2022	ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 85.4			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 85.4

Fever as Home (2 games)		86.5	-	-	90.0	+8.5	169.8	+3.5 +5.0	O 176.5 +6.8
	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 83.1

All Games Avg (5 games)		91.6	-	-	94.6	+6.8	163.2	+3.0 +3.8	O 186.2 +23.0
	ORtg: 112.8 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 112.8 Pace: 79.9