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Updated: 11/08/26 3:10 p.m. ET
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WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 71 – 83
Indiana Fever @ Phoenix Mercury
Fever: 5-14 (26.3%) | Market Rating: -4.94
Mercury: 7-12 (36.8%) | Market Rating: -1.11 | Home Court: +2.8 pts
Line: -7.0
Total: 169.0
Open: -7
Open: 166.5
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Injury Report INDNo report PHXNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.
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Schedules
Fever Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
07/01/22
2022
 Fever - @ Storm - +13.0 162.0 - -
06/29/22
2022
 Fever - @ Mercury - +7.0 165.5 - -
06/27/22
2022
 Fever - @ Mercury - +7.0 169.0 - -
06/23/22 Fever 68 @ Wings 94 +9.0 170.0 +26 U 162 -8.0
2022
ORtg: 87.4 DRtg: 120.8 Pace: 77.8ORtg: 120.8 DRtg: 87.4 Pace: 77.8
06/19/22 Fever 89 vs. Sky 87 +8.0 172.0 -2 O 176 +4.0
2022
ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 84.1ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 84.1
06/15/22 Fever 80 vs. Mercury 93 -1.0 169.5 +13 O 173 +3.5
2022
ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 79.5ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 79.5
06/12/22 Fever 84 @ Lynx 80 +2.0 166.5 -4 U 164 -2.5
2022
ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 76.0ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 76.0
06/10/22 Fever 83 vs. Liberty 97 +1.5 160.5 +14 O 180 +19.5
2022
ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 128.1 Pace: 75.8ORtg: 128.1 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 75.8
06/08/22 Fever 69 @ Sun 88 +15.5 165.5 +19 U 157 -8.5
2022
ORtg: 85.7 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 80.5ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 85.7 Pace: 80.5
06/05/22 Fever 66 @ Dream 75 +7.0 159.0 +9 U 141 -18.0
2022
ORtg: 75.5 DRtg: 85.8 Pace: 87.4ORtg: 85.8 DRtg: 75.5 Pace: 87.4
06/01/22 Fever 74 @ Liberty 87 +5.0 163.0 +13 U 161 -2.0
2022
ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 74.8ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 74.8
05/31/22 Fever 75 vs. Mystics 87 +7.0 165.0 +12 U 162 -3.0
2022
ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 78.5ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 78.5
05/27/22 Fever 101 vs. Sparks 96 +6.0 168.0 -5 O 197 +29.0
2022
ORtg: 122.7 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 82.3ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 122.7 Pace: 82.3
Away Games Avg
(5 games)		 72.2 - - 84.8 +7.7 164.8 +12.6 -4.9 U 157.0 -7.8
ORtg: 91.6 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 79.3ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 91.6 Pace: 79.3
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 78.9 - - 88.4 +6.0 165.9 +9.5 -3.5 O 167.3 +1.4
ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 79.7ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 79.7
Mercury Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
07/02/22
2022
 Mercury - @ Sky - +8.5 168.0 - -
06/29/22
2022
 Mercury - vs. Fever - -7.0 165.5 - -
06/27/22
2022
 Mercury - vs. Fever - -7.0 169.0 - -
06/25/22 Mercury 83 @ Wings 72 +7.0 168.5 -11 U 155 -13.5
2022
ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 88.0 Pace: 81.9ORtg: 88.0 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 81.9
06/23/22 Mercury 88 @ Lynx 100 +2.5 166.0 +12 O 188 +22.0
2022
ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 81.2ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 81.2
06/21/22 Mercury 71 vs. Lynx 84 -5.5 168.5 +13 U 155 -13.5
2022
ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 76.3ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 76.3
06/17/22 Mercury 88 @ Wings 93 +5.0 169.5 +5 O 181 +11.5
2022
ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 77.3ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 77.3
06/15/22 Mercury 93 @ Fever 80 +1.0 169.5 -13 O 173 +3.5
2022
ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 79.5ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 79.5
06/14/22 Mercury 65 @ Mystics 83 +8.5 161.5 +18 U 148 -13.5
2022
ORtg: 81.2 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 80.0ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 81.2 Pace: 80.0
06/12/22 Mercury 99 @ Mystics 90 OT +6.0 161.0 -9 O 189 +28.0
2022
ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 80.9ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 80.9
06/10/22 Mercury 90 vs. Dream 88 -4.5 153.5 -2 O 178 +24.5
2022
ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 79.1ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 79.1
06/05/22 Mercury 81 vs. Sparks 74 +3.0 171.0 -7 U 155 -16.0
2022
ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 77.0ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 77.0
06/03/22 Mercury 88 vs. Sun 92 +7.0 162.5 +4 O 180 +17.5
2022
ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 83.8ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 83.8
Home Games Avg
(4 games)		 82.5 - - 84.5 0.0 163.9 +2.0 -2.0 O 167.0 +3.1
ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 79.1ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 79.1
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 84.6 - - 85.6 +3.0 165.2 +1.0 +2.0 O 170.2 +5.1
ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 79.7ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 79.7
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Records
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Notable Trends
The Mercury are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav
The Mercury are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav
The Fever are 70% (7-3) to the under away
The Fever are 70% (7-3) to the under as an away dog
The Fever are 20% (2-8) (L30 days) against the spread
The Fever are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread away
The Fever are 22.2% (2-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog
The Fever are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog
The Fever are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the under
The Fever are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the under away
The Fever are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the under as a dog
The Fever are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog
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Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Team Pts Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
06/15/22 Mercury 93 @ Fever 80 +1.0 169.5 -13 O 173 +3.5
2022
ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 79.5ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 79.5
09/06/21 Mercury 86 @ Fever 81 -11.0 159.5 -5 O 167 +7.5
2021
ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 117.6 Pace: 68.8ORtg: 117.6 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 68.8
09/04/21 Mercury 87 @ Fever 65 -7.5 160.5 -22 U 152 -8.5
2021
ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 84.7 Pace: 76.8ORtg: 84.7 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 76.8
08/17/21 Mercury 84 vs. Fever 80 -10.0 160.5 -4 O 164 +3.5
2021
ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 77.4ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 77.4
Mercury as Home
(1 games)		 84.0 - - 80.0 -10.0 160.5 -4.0 -6.0 O 164.0 +3.5
ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 77.4ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 77.4
All Games Avg
(4 games)		 87.5 - - 76.5 -6.9 162.5 -11.0 +4.1 O 164.0 +1.5
ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 75.6ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 75.6

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