WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 90 – 71
Connecticut Sun @ Washington Mystics

Sun: 10-5 (66.7%) | Market Rating: +0.19

Mystics: 7-8 (46.7%) | Market Rating: -1.15 | Home Court: +1.4 pts

Line: +6.5

Total: 158.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/03/21 2021	Sun	-	@	Fever	-	-15.0	155.5	-	-
07/01/21 2021	Sun	-	@	Fever	-	-15.0	153.5	-	-
06/29/21 2021	Sun	-	@	Mystics	-	-6.5	158.0	-	-
06/27/21	Sun	74	vs.	Sky	58	+5.0	157.5	-16	U 132 -25.5
2021	ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 79.4 Pace: 73.1			ORtg: 79.4 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 73.1
06/22/21	Sun	80	vs.	Wings	70	-1.0	155.5	-10	U 150 -5.5
2021	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 72.3			ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 72.3
06/19/21	Sun	81	@	Sky	91	+7.0	156.5	+10	O 172 +15.5
2021	ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 79.2
06/17/21	Sun	75	@	Sky	81	+4.5	155.5	+6	O 156 +0.5
2021	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 77.9
06/13/21	Sun	66	vs.	Storm	89	+5.0	157.0	+23	U 155 -2.0
2021	ORtg: 87.9 DRtg: 118.5 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 118.5 DRtg: 87.9 Pace: 75.1
06/05/21	Sun	85	vs.	Liberty	64	-9.5	158.5	-21	U 149 -9.5
2021	ORtg: 121.3 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 70.1			ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 121.3 Pace: 70.1
06/01/21	Sun	74	vs.	Aces	67	+1.5	160.0	-7	U 141 -19.0
2021	ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 88.8 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 88.8 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 75.5
05/30/21	Sun	74	@	Lynx	79 OT	-2.5	156.5	+5	U 153 -3.5
2021	ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 71.2			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 71.2
05/28/21	Sun	86	vs.	Mystics	81	-7.5	155.5	-5	O 167 +11.5
2021	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 76.3
05/25/21	Sun	87	@	Storm	90 OT	+3.5	161.5	+3	O 177 +15.5
2021	ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 77.4

Away Games Avg (4 games)		79.3	-	-	85.3	+3.1	157.5	+6.0 -2.9	O 164.5 +7.0
	ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 76.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		78.2	-	-	77.0	+0.6	157.4	-1.2 +1.8	U 155.2 -2.2
	ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 74.8

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/10/21 2021	Mystics	-	@	Sky	-	+9.0	171.0	-	-
07/03/21 2021	Mystics	-	@	Liberty	-	+2.0	166.5	-	-
06/29/21 2021	Mystics	-	vs.	Sun	-	+6.5	158.0	-	-
06/26/21	Mystics	74	@	Wings	85	+6.0	167.5	+11	U 159 -8.5
2021	ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 77.5
06/24/21	Mystics	82	@	Sparks	89	-3.5	156.0	+7	O 171 +15.0
2021	ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 109.1 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 109.1 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 81.6
06/22/21	Mystics	87	@	Storm	83	+13.5	167.5	-4	O 170 +2.5
2021	ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 72.1
06/19/21	Mystics	82	vs.	Fever	77	-9.5	164.0	-5	U 159 -5.0
2021	ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 78.3
06/17/21	Mystics	96	vs.	Dream	93	+1.0	164.5	-3	O 189 +24.5
2021	ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 83.5			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 83.5
06/13/21	Mystics	78	@	Dream	101	-4.0	167.5	+23	O 179 +11.5
2021	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 130.5 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 130.5 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4
06/10/21	Mystics	89	vs.	Sparks	71	-6.5	158.0	-18	O 160 +2.0
2021	ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 91.8 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 91.8 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 77.3
06/08/21	Mystics	85	vs.	Lynx	81	+2.5	165.0	-4	O 166 +1.0
2021	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 94.0 Pace: 86.1			ORtg: 94.0 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 86.1
06/05/21	Mystics	93	vs.	Aces	96	+8.0	167.0	+3	O 189 +22.0
2021	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 89.4			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 89.4
05/28/21	Mystics	81	@	Sun	86	+7.5	155.5	+5	O 167 +11.5
2021	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 76.3

Home Games Avg (5 games)		89.0	-	-	83.6	-0.9	163.7	-5.4 +4.5	O 172.6 +8.9
	ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 82.9			ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 82.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.7	-	-	86.2	+1.5	163.3	+1.5 0.0	O 170.9 +7.7
	ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 80.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mystics are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Mystics are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mystics are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

The Sun are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sun are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sun are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 50% (8-8) against the spread

The Mystics are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 50% (3-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Mystics are 68.8% (11-5) to the over

The Mystics are 66.7% (6-3) to the over at home

The Mystics are 66.7% (6-3) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) to the over as a home dog

The Mystics are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Mystics are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mystics are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 68.8% (11-5) against the spread

The Sun are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread away

The Sun are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Sun are 62.5% (10-6) to the under

The Sun are 50% (4-4) to the over away

The Sun are 62.5% (5-3) to the under as a fav

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as an away fav

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread