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Updated: 11/08/26 3:10 p.m. ET
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WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 76 – 73
New York Liberty @ Los Angeles Sparks
Liberty: 6-6 (50.0%) | Market Rating: -5.11
Sparks: 5-6 (45.5%) | Market Rating: -0.42 | Home Court: +1.1 pts
Line: -2.5
Total: 160.0
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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.
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Schedules
Liberty Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
06/24/21
2021
 Liberty - vs. Sky - +6.5 170.5 - -
06/22/21
2021
 Liberty - vs. Sky - +6.5 171.0 - -
06/20/21
2021
 Liberty - @ Sparks - +2.5 160.0 - -
06/17/21 Liberty 76 @ Aces 103 +15.5 173.0 +27 O 179 +6.0
2021
ORtg: 87.2 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 87.1ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 87.2 Pace: 87.1
06/15/21 Liberty 78 @ Aces 100 +14.0 172.5 +22 O 178 +5.5
2021
ORtg: 93.9 DRtg: 120.4 Pace: 83.1ORtg: 120.4 DRtg: 93.9 Pace: 83.1
06/13/21 Liberty 85 @ Mercury 83 +6.5 160.0 -2 O 168 +8.0
2021
ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 83.8ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 83.8
06/05/21 Liberty 64 @ Sun 85 +9.5 158.5 +21 U 149 -9.5
2021
ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 121.3 Pace: 70.1ORtg: 121.3 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 70.1
06/03/21 Liberty 82 vs. Aces 94 +9.5 170.5 +12 O 176 +5.5
2021
ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 112.2 Pace: 83.8ORtg: 112.2 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 83.8
05/29/21 Liberty 87 vs. Dream 90 OT -3.0 168.5 +3 O 177 +8.5
2021
ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 85.1ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 85.1
05/24/21 Liberty 88 vs. Wings 81 -1.0 169.5 -7 U 169 -0.5
2021
ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 75.5ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 75.5
05/23/21 Liberty 93 @ Sky 85 +6.5 164.0 -8 O 178 +14.0
2021
ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 85.8ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 85.8
05/21/21 Liberty 72 @ Mystics 101 +3.0 158.0 +29 O 173 +15.0
2021
ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 80.2ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 80.2
05/18/21 Liberty 86 vs. Lynx 75 +5.0 158.0 -11 O 161 +3.0
2021
ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 84.4ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 84.4
Away Games Avg
(6 games)		 78.0 - - 92.8 +9.2 164.3 +14.8 -5.7 O 170.8 +6.5
ORtg: 95.3 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 81.7ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 95.3 Pace: 81.7
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 81.1 - - 89.7 +6.6 165.3 +8.6 -2.1 O 170.8 +5.6
ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 81.9ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 81.9
Sparks Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
06/27/21
2021
 Sparks - @ Mercury - +7.0 156.0 - -
06/24/21
2021
 Sparks - vs. Mystics - +3.5 156.0 - -
06/20/21
2021
 Sparks - vs. Liberty - -2.5 160.0 - -
06/18/21 Sparks 66 vs. Mercury 80 +4.0 155.0 +14 U 146 -9.0
2021
ORtg: 88.2 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 74.8ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 88.2 Pace: 74.8
06/16/21 Sparks 85 vs. Mercury 80 +5.5 153.5 -5 O 165 +11.5
2021
ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 72.2ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 72.2
06/12/21 Sparks 64 @ Lynx 80 +10.0 157.0 +16 U 144 -13.0
2021
ORtg: 83.7 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 76.5ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 83.7 Pace: 76.5
06/10/21 Sparks 71 @ Mystics 89 +6.5 158.0 +18 O 160 +2.0
2021
ORtg: 91.8 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 77.3ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 91.8 Pace: 77.3
06/05/21 Sparks 68 vs. Sky 63 -1.0 157.0 -5 U 131 -26.0
2021
ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 83.2 Pace: 75.7ORtg: 83.2 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 75.7
06/03/21 Sparks 98 vs. Fever 63 -5.5 158.0 -35 O 161 +3.0
2021
ORtg: 128.2 DRtg: 82.4 Pace: 76.5ORtg: 82.4 DRtg: 128.2 Pace: 76.5
06/01/21 Sparks 69 @ Wings 79 -1.5 165.5 +10 U 148 -17.5
2021
ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 74.4ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 74.4
05/30/21 Sparks 82 @ Sky 79 OT +3.0 164.5 -3 U 161 -3.5
2021
ORtg: 93.5 DRtg: 90.1 Pace: 79.4ORtg: 90.1 DRtg: 93.5 Pace: 79.4
05/28/21 Sparks 76 @ Sky 61 +4.0 170.0 -15 U 137 -33.0
2021
ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 76.6 Pace: 79.6ORtg: 76.6 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 79.6
05/21/21 Sparks 69 @ Aces 97 +9.0 169.0 +28 U 166 -3.0
2021
ORtg: 80.9 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 85.3ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 80.9 Pace: 85.3
Home Games Avg
(4 games)		 79.3 - - 71.5 +0.8 155.9 -7.8 +8.5 U 150.8 -5.1
ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 74.8ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 74.8
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 74.8 - - 77.1 +3.4 160.8 +2.3 +1.1 U 151.9 -8.9
ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 77.2ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 77.2
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Records
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Notable Trends
The Sparks are 75% (9-3) to the under
The Sparks are 80% (4-1) to the under as a fav
The Sparks are 75% (3-1) to the under as a home fav
The Sparks are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the under
The Sparks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav
The Liberty are 72.7% (8-3) to the over as a dog
The Liberty are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the over
The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over away
The Liberty are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog
The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog
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Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Team Pts Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
09/08/20 Sparks 96 vs. Liberty 70 -13.5 161.0 -26 O 166 +5.0
2020
ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 78.2ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 78.2
08/11/20 Sparks 93 vs. Liberty 78 -13.0 160.5 -15 O 171 +10.5
2020
ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 85.9ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 85.9
All Games Avg
(2 games)		 94.5 - - 74.0 -13.3 160.8 -20.5 +7.3 O 168.5 +7.8
ORtg: 115.5 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 82.1ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 115.5 Pace: 82.1

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