WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 81 – 91
Connecticut Sun @ Chicago Sky

Sun: 8-4 (66.7%) | Market Rating: +0.65

Sky: 6-7 (46.2%) | Market Rating: +1.15 | Home Court: +2.0 pts

Line: -7.0

Total: 156.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/27/21 2021	Sun	-	vs.	Sky	-	+5.0	157.5	-	-
06/22/21 2021	Sun	-	vs.	Wings	-	-1.0	155.5	-	-
06/19/21 2021	Sun	-	@	Sky	-	+7.0	156.5	-	-
06/17/21	Sun	75	@	Sky	81	+4.5	155.5	+6	O 156 +0.5
2021	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 77.9
06/13/21	Sun	66	vs.	Storm	89	+5.0	157.0	+23	U 155 -2.0
2021	ORtg: 87.9 DRtg: 118.5 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 118.5 DRtg: 87.9 Pace: 75.1
06/05/21	Sun	85	vs.	Liberty	64	-9.5	158.5	-21	U 149 -9.5
2021	ORtg: 121.3 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 70.1			ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 121.3 Pace: 70.1
06/01/21	Sun	74	vs.	Aces	67	+1.5	160.0	-7	U 141 -19.0
2021	ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 88.8 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 88.8 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 75.5
05/30/21	Sun	74	@	Lynx	79 OT	-2.5	156.5	+5	U 153 -3.5
2021	ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 71.2			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 71.2
05/28/21	Sun	86	vs.	Mystics	81	-7.5	155.5	-5	O 167 +11.5
2021	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 76.3
05/25/21	Sun	87	@	Storm	90 OT	+3.5	161.5	+3	O 177 +15.5
2021	ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 77.4
05/23/21	Sun	72	@	Aces	65	+6.0	162.0	-7	U 137 -25.0
2021	ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 86.8 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 86.8 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 74.9
05/21/21	Sun	84	@	Mercury	67	+3.0	161.5	-17	U 151 -10.5
2021	ORtg: 120.8 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 69.5			ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 120.8 Pace: 69.5
05/19/21	Sun	88	vs.	Fever	67	-7.0	161.0	-21	U 155 -6.0
2021	ORtg: 125.2 DRtg: 95.3 Pace: 70.3			ORtg: 95.3 DRtg: 125.2 Pace: 70.3

Away Games Avg (5 games)		78.4	-	-	76.4	+2.9	159.4	-2.0 +4.9	U 154.8 -4.6
	ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 74.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.1	-	-	75.0	-0.3	158.9	-4.1 +3.8	U 154.1 -4.8
	ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 73.8			ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 73.8

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/24/21 2021	Sky	-	@	Liberty	-	-6.5	170.5	-	-
06/22/21 2021	Sky	-	@	Liberty	-	-6.5	171.0	-	-
06/19/21 2021	Sky	-	vs.	Sun	-	-7.0	156.5	-	-
06/17/21	Sky	81	vs.	Sun	75	-4.5	155.5	-6	O 156 +0.5
2021	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 77.9
06/15/21	Sky	105	@	Lynx	89	+3.5	159.5	-16	O 194 +34.5
2021	ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 87.5			ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 87.5
06/12/21	Sky	83	@	Fever	79	-11.0	161.0	-4	O 162 +1.0
2021	ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 79.3
06/09/21	Sky	92	vs.	Fever	76	-11.0	159.5	-16	O 168 +8.5
2021	ORtg: 118.3 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 118.3 Pace: 77.8
06/05/21	Sky	63	@	Sparks	68	+1.0	157.0	+5	U 131 -26.0
2021	ORtg: 83.2 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 83.2 Pace: 75.7
06/03/21	Sky	74	@	Mercury	77 OT	+1.5	164.5	+3	U 151 -13.5
2021	ORtg: 89.7 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 89.7 Pace: 74.7
06/01/21	Sky	83	vs.	Mercury	84	-1.0	162.5	+1	O 167 +4.5
2021	ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 80.4
05/30/21	Sky	79	vs.	Sparks	82 OT	-3.0	164.5	+3	U 161 -3.5
2021	ORtg: 90.1 DRtg: 93.5 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 93.5 DRtg: 90.1 Pace: 79.4
05/28/21	Sky	61	vs.	Sparks	76	-4.0	170.0	+15	U 137 -33.0
2021	ORtg: 76.6 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 79.6			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 76.6 Pace: 79.6
05/25/21	Sky	83	vs.	Dream	90	-6.0	169.5	+7	O 173 +3.5
2021	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 77.5

Home Games Avg (6 games)		79.8	-	-	80.5	-4.9	163.6	+0.7 -5.6	U 160.3 -3.3
	ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 78.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		80.4	-	-	79.6	-3.5	162.4	-0.8 -2.7	U 160.0 -2.4
	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 79.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Sky are 75% (6-2) to the over at home

The Sky are 75% (6-2) to the over as a home fav

The Sky are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Sky are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sky are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

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Sky (Home)

The Sky are 42.9% (6-8) against the spread

The Sky are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread at home

The Sky are 45.5% (5-6) against the spread as a fav

The Sky are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as a home fav

The Sky are 57.1% (8-6) to the over

The Sky are 75% (6-2) to the over at home

The Sky are 63.6% (7-4) to the over as a fav

The Sky are 75% (6-2) to the over as a home fav

The Sky are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sky are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sky are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sky are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Sky are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sky are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 61.5% (8-5) against the spread

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread away

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 60% (3-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 61.5% (8-5) to the under

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) to the under away

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as a dog

The Sun are 60% (3-2) to the over as an away dog

The Sun are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Sun are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Sun are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/17/21	Sky	81	vs.	Sun	75	-4.5	155.5	-6	O 156 +0.5
2021	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 77.9
09/15/20	Sky	81	vs.	Sun	94	-2.0	165.5	+13	O 175 +9.5
2020	ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 129.9 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 129.9 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 72.4
08/14/20	Sky	74	vs.	Sun	77	-6.0	168.0	+3	U 151 -17.0
2020	ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 76.7
08/08/20	Sky	100	vs.	Sun	93	-2.5	168.0	-7	O 193 +25.0
2020	ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 84.7			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 84.7

Sky as Home (1 games)		81.0	-	-	75.0	-4.5	155.5	-6.0 +1.5	O 156.0 +0.5
	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 77.9

All Games Avg (4 games)		84.0	-	-	84.8	-3.8	164.3	+0.8 -4.5	O 168.8 +4.5
	ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 109.1 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 109.1 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 77.9