WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 77 – 82
Indiana Fever @ Washington Mystics

Fever: 1-13 (7.1%) | Market Rating: -4.77

Mystics: 5-6 (45.5%) | Market Rating: -0.92 | Home Court: +0.5 pts

Line: -9.5

Total: 164.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/01/21 2021	Fever	-	vs.	Sun	-	+15.0	153.5	-	-
06/24/21 2021	Fever	-	vs.	Wings	-	+9.0	162.5	-	-
06/19/21 2021	Fever	-	@	Mystics	-	+9.5	164.0	-	-
06/17/21	Fever	69	vs.	Storm	79	+16.5	164.0	+10	U 148 -16.0
2021	ORtg: 85.2 DRtg: 97.5 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 97.5 DRtg: 85.2 Pace: 81.0
06/15/21	Fever	70	vs.	Storm	87	+15.5	166.5	+17	U 157 -9.5
2021	ORtg: 89.9 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 89.9 Pace: 77.9
06/12/21	Fever	79	vs.	Sky	83	+11.0	161.0	+4	O 162 +1.0
2021	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 79.3
06/09/21	Fever	76	@	Sky	92	+11.0	159.5	+16	O 168 +8.5
2021	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 118.3 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 118.3 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 77.8
06/03/21	Fever	63	@	Sparks	98	+5.5	158.0	+35	O 161 +3.0
2021	ORtg: 82.4 DRtg: 128.2 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 128.2 DRtg: 82.4 Pace: 76.5
06/01/21	Fever	73	@	Storm	88	+15.5	170.0	+15	U 161 -9.0
2021	ORtg: 93.9 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 93.9 Pace: 77.7
05/30/21	Fever	78	@	Aces	101	+14.0	168.5	+23	O 179 +10.5
2021	ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 80.9
05/28/21	Fever	77	@	Aces	113	+11.5	165.5	+36	O 190 +24.5
2021	ORtg: 88.2 DRtg: 129.5 Pace: 87.3			ORtg: 129.5 DRtg: 88.2 Pace: 87.3
05/25/21	Fever	69	vs.	Mystics	85	+2.5	161.0	+16	U 154 -7.0
2021	ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 73.0
05/23/21	Fever	89	vs.	Mystics	77	+2.5	162.5	-12	O 166 +3.5
2021	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 78.3

Away Games Avg (5 games)		73.4	-	-	98.4	+11.5	164.3	+25.0 -13.5	O 171.8 +7.5
	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 80.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		74.3	-	-	90.3	+10.6	163.7	+16.0 -5.5	O 164.6 +1.0
	ORtg: 94.2 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 94.2 Pace: 79.0

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/24/21 2021	Mystics	-	@	Sparks	-	-3.5	156.0	-	-
06/22/21 2021	Mystics	-	@	Storm	-	+13.5	167.5	-	-
06/19/21 2021	Mystics	-	vs.	Fever	-	-9.5	164.0	-	-
06/17/21	Mystics	96	vs.	Dream	93	+1.0	164.5	-3	O 189 +24.5
2021	ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 83.5			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 83.5
06/13/21	Mystics	78	@	Dream	101	-4.0	167.5	+23	O 179 +11.5
2021	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 130.5 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 130.5 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4
06/10/21	Mystics	89	vs.	Sparks	71	-6.5	158.0	-18	O 160 +2.0
2021	ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 91.8 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 91.8 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 77.3
06/08/21	Mystics	85	vs.	Lynx	81	+2.5	165.0	-4	O 166 +1.0
2021	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 94.0 Pace: 86.1			ORtg: 94.0 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 86.1
06/05/21	Mystics	93	vs.	Aces	96	+8.0	167.0	+3	O 189 +22.0
2021	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 89.4			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 89.4
05/28/21	Mystics	81	@	Sun	86	+7.5	155.5	+5	O 167 +11.5
2021	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 76.3
05/25/21	Mystics	85	@	Fever	69	-2.5	161.0	-16	U 154 -7.0
2021	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 73.0
05/23/21	Mystics	77	@	Fever	89	-2.5	162.5	+12	O 166 +3.5
2021	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 78.3
05/21/21	Mystics	101	vs.	Liberty	72	-3.0	158.0	-29	O 173 +15.0
2021	ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 80.2
05/18/21	Mystics	70	vs.	Mercury	91	+3.5	163.5	+21	U 161 -2.5
2021	ORtg: 91.0 DRtg: 118.3 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 118.3 DRtg: 91.0 Pace: 76.9

Home Games Avg (6 games)		89.0	-	-	84.0	+0.9	162.7	-5.0 +5.9	O 173.0 +10.3
	ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 82.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		85.5	-	-	84.9	+0.4	162.3	-0.6 +1.0	O 170.4 +8.2
	ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 79.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mystics are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Fever are 25% (2-6) against the spread away

The Fever are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as an away dog

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 58.3% (7-5) against the spread

The Mystics are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 50% (3-3) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (8-4) to the over

The Mystics are 62.5% (5-3) to the over at home

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a home fav

The Mystics are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Fever (Away)

The Fever are 33.3% (5-10) against the spread

The Fever are 25% (2-6) against the spread away

The Fever are 41.7% (5-7) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 53.3% (8-7) to the under

The Fever are 62.5% (5-3) to the over away

The Fever are 50% (6-6) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 57.1% (4-3) to the over as an away dog

The Fever are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Fever are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Fever are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/25/21	Mystics	85	@	Fever	69	-2.5	161.0	-16	U 154 -7.0
2021	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 73.0
05/23/21	Mystics	77	@	Fever	89	-2.5	162.5	+12	O 166 +3.5
2021	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 78.3
08/09/20	Mystics	84	vs.	Fever	91	-4.5	168.5	+7	O 175 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 78.4
07/25/20	Mystics	101	vs.	Fever	76	+1.0	157.5	-25	O 177 +19.5
2020	ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 82.2

All Games Avg (4 games)		86.8	-	-	81.3	-2.1	162.4	-5.5 +3.4	O 168.0 +5.6
	ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 78.0