WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 95 – 71
Seattle Storm @ Atlanta Dream

Storm: 7-2 (77.8%) | Market Rating: +4.60

Dream: 4-4 (50.0%) | Market Rating: -3.07 | Home Court: +1.2 pts

Line: +8.5

Total: 171.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/13/21 2021	Storm	-	@	Sun	-	-5.0	157.0	-	-
06/11/21 2021	Storm	-	@	Dream	-	-9.5	171.0	-	-
06/09/21 2021	Storm	-	@	Dream	-	-8.5	171.0	-	-
06/06/21	Storm	67	vs.	Wings	68	-9.0	178.5	+1	U 135 -43.5
2021	ORtg: 87.2 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 87.2 Pace: 76.8
06/04/21	Storm	105	vs.	Wings	102 OT	-9.5	172.5	-3	O 207 +34.5
2021	ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 86.8			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 86.8
06/01/21	Storm	88	vs.	Fever	73	-15.5	170.0	-15	U 161 -9.0
2021	ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 93.9 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 93.9 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 77.7
05/28/21	Storm	82	vs.	Lynx	72	-6.0	167.0	-10	U 154 -13.0
2021	ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 77.3
05/25/21	Storm	90	vs.	Sun	87 OT	-3.5	161.5	-3	O 177 +15.5
2021	ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 77.4
05/22/21	Storm	100	@	Wings	97 OT	-7.5	169.5	-3	O 197 +27.5
2021	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 80.1
05/20/21	Storm	90	@	Lynx	78	-4.5	164.5	-12	O 168 +3.5
2021	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 84.5			ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 84.5
05/18/21	Storm	80	vs.	Aces	96	-1.5	167.5	+16	O 176 +8.5
2021	ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 80.2
05/15/21	Storm	97	vs.	Aces	83	+1.0	166.5	-14	O 180 +13.5
2021	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 83.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/06/20	Storm	92	vs.	Aces	59	-7.5	171.5	-33	U 151 -20.5
2020	ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 74.5 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 74.5 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 79.2

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		95.0	-	-	87.5	-6.0	167.0	-7.5 +1.5	O 182.5 +15.5
	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 82.3			ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.3

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		88.8	-	-	84.0	-6.2	168.6	-4.8 -1.4	O 172.8 +4.2
	ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 80.5

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/13/21 2021	Dream	-	vs.	Mystics	-	+4.0	167.5	-	-
06/11/21 2021	Dream	-	vs.	Storm	-	+9.5	171.0	-	-
06/09/21 2021	Dream	-	vs.	Storm	-	+8.5	171.0	-	-
06/06/21	Dream	80	@	Lynx	100	+5.5	163.0	+20	O 180 +17.0
2021	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 132.3 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 132.3 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 75.6
06/04/21	Dream	84	@	Lynx	86	+6.5	161.5	+2	O 170 +8.5
2021	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 84.4			ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 84.4
05/29/21	Dream	90	@	Liberty	87 OT	+3.0	168.5	-3	O 177 +8.5
2021	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 85.1
05/27/21	Dream	101	vs.	Wings	95	+1.0	167.5	-6	O 196 +28.5
2021	ORtg: 122.3 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 122.3 Pace: 82.6
05/25/21	Dream	90	@	Sky	83	+6.0	169.5	-7	O 173 +3.5
2021	ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 77.5
05/21/21	Dream	83	@	Fever	79	+2.0	162.5	-4	U 162 -0.5
2021	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 75.3			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 75.3
05/19/21	Dream	77	vs.	Sky	85	+4.0	162.5	+8	U 162 -0.5
2021	ORtg: 84.3 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 91.3			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 84.3 Pace: 91.3
05/14/21	Dream	67	vs.	Sun	78	+2.5	163.0	+11	U 145 -18.0
2021	ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 75.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Dream	78	vs.	Mystics	85	+6.0	164.0	+7	U 163 -1.0
2020	ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 70.8			ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 70.8
09/11/20	Dream	82	vs.	Sun	75	+1.0	165.5	-7	U 157 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 80.6

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		81.7	-	-	86.0	+2.5	164.3	+4.3 -1.8	O 167.7 +3.3
	ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 83.2			ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 83.2

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		84.0	-	-	86.6	+3.8	164.8	+2.6 +1.2	O 170.6 +5.9
	ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 80.9

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Dream are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Dream are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 75% (3-1) to the under at home

The Dream are 75% (3-1) to the under as a home dog

The Dream are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Dream are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

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Dream (Home)

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread

The Dream are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) to the over

The Dream are 75% (3-1) to the under at home

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 75% (3-1) to the under as a home dog

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Dream are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Storm (Away)

The Storm are 40% (4-6) against the spread

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread away

The Storm are 33.3% (3-6) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Storm are 60% (6-4) to the over

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Storm are 55.6% (5-4) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as an away fav

The Storm are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Storm are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Storm are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Storm are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/12/20	Dream	63	vs.	Storm	100	+13.5	161.0	+37	O 163 +2.0
2020	ORtg: 82.4 DRtg: 130.7 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 130.7 DRtg: 82.4 Pace: 76.5
08/06/20	Dream	92	vs.	Storm	93	+11.0	157.0	+1	O 185 +28.0
2020	ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 84.8			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 84.8

All Games Avg (2 games)		77.5	-	-	96.5	+12.3	159.0	+19.0 -6.8	O 174.0 +15.0
	ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 120.2 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 120.2 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 80.7