WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 94 – 82
Las Vegas Aces @ New York Liberty

Aces: 5-3 (62.5%) | Market Rating: +3.20

Liberty: 5-2 (71.4%) | Market Rating: -3.97 | Home Court: +1.5 pts

Line: +9.5

Total: 170.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Aces Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/13/21 2021	Aces	-	vs.	Wings	-	-8.0	171.5	-	-
06/05/21 2021	Aces	-	@	Mystics	-	-8.0	167.0	-	-
06/03/21 2021	Aces	-	@	Liberty	-	-9.5	170.5	-	-
06/01/21	Aces	67	@	Sun	74	-1.5	160.0	+7	U 141 -19.0
2021	ORtg: 88.8 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 88.8 Pace: 75.5
05/30/21	Aces	101	vs.	Fever	78	-14.0	168.5	-23	O 179 +10.5
2021	ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 80.9
05/28/21	Aces	113	vs.	Fever	77	-11.5	165.5	-36	O 190 +24.5
2021	ORtg: 129.5 DRtg: 88.2 Pace: 87.3			ORtg: 88.2 DRtg: 129.5 Pace: 87.3
05/26/21	Aces	85	@	Mercury	79	-6.0	166.5	-6	U 164 -2.5
2021	ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 78.1
05/23/21	Aces	65	vs.	Sun	72	-6.0	162.0	+7	U 137 -25.0
2021	ORtg: 86.8 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 86.8 Pace: 74.9
05/21/21	Aces	97	vs.	Sparks	69	-9.0	169.0	-28	U 166 -3.0
2021	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 80.9 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 80.9 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 85.3
05/18/21	Aces	96	@	Storm	80	+1.5	167.5	-16	O 176 +8.5
2021	ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 80.2
05/15/21	Aces	83	@	Storm	97	-1.0	166.5	+14	O 180 +13.5
2021	ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 83.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/06/20	Aces	59	vs.	Storm	92	+7.5	171.5	+33	U 151 -20.5
2020	ORtg: 74.5 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 74.5 Pace: 79.2
10/04/20	Aces	91	vs.	Storm	104	+7.0	167.0	+13	O 195 +28.0
2020	ORtg: 117.9 DRtg: 134.8 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 134.8 DRtg: 117.9 Pace: 77.2

Away Games Avg (4 games this season)		82.8	-	-	82.5	-1.8	165.1	-0.3 -1.5	O 165.3 +0.1
	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 79.3

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		88.4	-	-	78.3	-5.9	165.7	-10.1 +4.2	O 166.6 +0.9
	ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 80.7

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/13/21 2021	Liberty	-	@	Mercury	-	+6.5	160.0	-	-
06/05/21 2021	Liberty	-	@	Sun	-	+9.5	158.5	-	-
06/03/21 2021	Liberty	-	vs.	Aces	-	+9.5	170.5	-	-
05/29/21	Liberty	87	vs.	Dream	90 OT	-3.0	168.5	+3	O 177 +8.5
2021	ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 85.1
05/24/21	Liberty	88	vs.	Wings	81	-1.0	169.5	-7	U 169 -0.5
2021	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 75.5
05/23/21	Liberty	93	@	Sky	85	+6.5	164.0	-8	O 178 +14.0
2021	ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 85.8
05/21/21	Liberty	72	@	Mystics	101	+3.0	158.0	+29	O 173 +15.0
2021	ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 80.2
05/18/21	Liberty	86	vs.	Lynx	75	+5.0	158.0	-11	O 161 +3.0
2021	ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 84.4			ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 84.4
05/16/21	Liberty	73	@	Fever	65	+5.5	164.5	-8	U 138 -26.5
2021	ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 71.9 Pace: 90.4			ORtg: 71.9 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 90.4
05/14/21	Liberty	90	vs.	Fever	87	+2.0	160.5	-3	O 177 +16.5
2021	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Liberty	79	vs.	Wings	82	+10.5	161.0	+3	P 161 0.0
2020	ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 80.8
09/12/20	Liberty	58	vs.	Mystics	75	+8.0	156.5	+17	U 133 -23.5
2020	ORtg: 76.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 76.3 Pace: 76.0
09/10/20	Liberty	75	vs.	Fever	85	+5.5	165.5	+10	U 160 -5.5
2020	ORtg: 87.4 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 87.4 Pace: 85.8

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		87.8	-	-	83.3	+0.8	164.1	-4.5 +5.3	O 171.0 +6.9
	ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 81.8

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		84.1	-	-	83.4	+2.6	163.3	-0.7 +3.3	O 167.6 +4.3
	ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 83.4			ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 83.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Liberty are 75% (6-2) to the over

The Liberty are 80% (4-1) to the over at home

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

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Liberty (Home)

The Liberty are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread

The Liberty are 60% (3-2) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 75% (6-2) to the over

The Liberty are 80% (4-1) to the over at home

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 100% (3-0) to the over as a home dog

The Liberty are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Aces (Away)

The Aces are 62.5% (5-3-1) against the spread

The Aces are 50% (2-2-1) against the spread away

The Aces are 57.1% (4-3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Aces are 33.3% (1-2-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Aces are 55.6% (5-4) to the over

The Aces are 60% (3-2) to the over away

The Aces are 50% (4-4) to the over as a fav

The Aces are 50% (2-2) to the over as an away fav

The Aces are 62.5% (5-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Aces are 50% (2-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Aces are 57.1% (4-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Aces are 33.3% (1-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Aces are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Aces are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Aces are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Aces are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/29/20	Liberty	63	vs.	Aces	80	+17.0	169.0	+17	U 143 -26.0
2020	ORtg: 80.1 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 80.1 Pace: 78.6
08/09/20	Liberty	76	vs.	Aces	78	+13.5	164.0	+2	U 154 -10.0
2020	ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 75.7

All Games Avg (2 games)		69.5	-	-	79.0	+15.3	166.5	+9.5 +5.8	U 148.5 -18.0
	ORtg: 90.3 DRtg: 102.4 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 102.4 DRtg: 90.3 Pace: 77.2