WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 90 – 87
Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty

Dream: 3-2 (60.0%) | Market Rating: -2.65

Liberty: 5-1 (83.3%) | Market Rating: -4.19 | Home Court: +0.9 pts

Line: -3.0

Total: 168.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/06/21 2021	Dream	-	@	Lynx	-	+5.5	163.0	-	-
06/04/21 2021	Dream	-	@	Lynx	-	+6.5	161.5	-	-
05/29/21 2021	Dream	-	@	Liberty	-	+3.0	168.5	-	-
05/27/21	Dream	101	vs.	Wings	95	+1.0	167.5	-6	O 196 +28.5
2021	ORtg: 122.3 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 122.3 Pace: 82.6
05/25/21	Dream	90	@	Sky	83	+6.0	169.5	-7	O 173 +3.5
2021	ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 77.5
05/21/21	Dream	83	@	Fever	79	+2.0	162.5	-4	U 162 -0.5
2021	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 75.3			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 75.3
05/19/21	Dream	77	vs.	Sky	85	+4.0	162.5	+8	U 162 -0.5
2021	ORtg: 84.3 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 91.3			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 84.3 Pace: 91.3
05/14/21	Dream	67	vs.	Sun	78	+2.5	163.0	+11	U 145 -18.0
2021	ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 75.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Dream	78	vs.	Mystics	85	+6.0	164.0	+7	U 163 -1.0
2020	ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 70.8			ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 70.8
09/11/20	Dream	82	vs.	Sun	75	+1.0	165.5	-7	U 157 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 80.6
09/09/20	Dream	97	vs.	Sky	89	+7.5	170.0	-8	O 186 +16.0
2020	ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 83.1
09/05/20	Dream	79	vs.	Aces	89	+10.5	170.0	+10	U 168 -2.0
2020	ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 82.8
09/03/20	Dream	62	vs.	Liberty	56	-6.5	165.5	-6	U 118 -47.5
2020	ORtg: 76.0 DRtg: 68.6 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 68.6 DRtg: 76.0 Pace: 81.6

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		86.5	-	-	81.0	+4.0	166.0	-5.5 +9.5	O 167.5 +1.5
	ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 76.4

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		83.6	-	-	84.0	+3.1	165.0	+0.4 +2.7	O 167.6 +2.6
	ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 80.5

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/05/21 2021	Liberty	-	@	Sun	-	+9.5	158.5	-	-
06/03/21 2021	Liberty	-	vs.	Aces	-	+9.5	170.5	-	-
05/29/21 2021	Liberty	-	vs.	Dream	-	-3.0	168.5	-	-
05/24/21	Liberty	88	vs.	Wings	81	-1.0	169.5	-7	U 169 -0.5
2021	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 75.5
05/23/21	Liberty	93	@	Sky	85	+6.5	164.0	-8	O 178 +14.0
2021	ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 85.8
05/21/21	Liberty	72	@	Mystics	101	+3.0	158.0	+29	O 173 +15.0
2021	ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 80.2
05/18/21	Liberty	86	vs.	Lynx	75	+5.0	158.0	-11	O 161 +3.0
2021	ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 84.4			ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 84.4
05/16/21	Liberty	73	@	Fever	65	+5.5	164.5	-8	U 138 -26.5
2021	ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 71.9 Pace: 90.4			ORtg: 71.9 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 90.4
05/14/21	Liberty	90	vs.	Fever	87	+2.0	160.5	-3	O 177 +16.5
2021	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Liberty	79	vs.	Wings	82	+10.5	161.0	+3	P 161 0.0
2020	ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 80.8
09/12/20	Liberty	58	vs.	Mystics	75	+8.0	156.5	+17	U 133 -23.5
2020	ORtg: 76.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 76.3 Pace: 76.0
09/10/20	Liberty	75	vs.	Fever	85	+5.5	165.5	+10	U 160 -5.5
2020	ORtg: 87.4 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 87.4 Pace: 85.8
09/08/20	Liberty	70	vs.	Sparks	96	+13.5	161.0	+26	O 166 +5.0
2020	ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 78.2

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		88.0	-	-	81.0	+2.0	162.7	-7.0 +9.0	O 169.0 +6.3
	ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 80.6

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		83.7	-	-	82.3	+3.5	162.4	-1.3 +4.8	O 166.0 +3.6
	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 83.1

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) to the over

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) to the over at home

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

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Liberty (Home)

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a fav

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) to the over

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) to the over at home

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) to the over as a fav

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) to the over as a home fav

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Dream (Away)

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread

The Dream are 100% (3-0) against the spread away

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 100% (3-0) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 50% (3-3) to the over

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Dream are 50% (3-3) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as an away dog

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Dream are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/03/20	Liberty	56	vs.	Dream	62	+6.5	165.5	+6	U 118 -47.5
2020	ORtg: 68.6 DRtg: 76.0 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 76.0 DRtg: 68.6 Pace: 81.6
07/31/20	Liberty	78	vs.	Dream	84	+4.5	169.0	+6	U 162 -7.0
2020	ORtg: 94.7 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 82.4			ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 94.7 Pace: 82.4

All Games Avg (2 games)		67.0	-	-	73.0	+5.5	167.3	+6.0 -0.5	U 140.0 -27.3
	ORtg: 81.6 DRtg: 89.0 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 89.0 DRtg: 81.6 Pace: 82.0