WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 95 – 101
Dallas Wings @ Atlanta Dream

Wings: 1-2 (33.3%) | Market Rating: -1.64

Dream: 2-2 (50.0%) | Market Rating: -2.48 | Home Court: +0.8 pts

Line: +1.0

Total: 167.5

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Injury Report DALNo report ATLNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 4 for the Wings and game 5 for the Dream. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Wings after Thu, May 27, the Dream after Tue, May 25.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/01/21 2021	Wings	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+1.5	165.5	-	-
05/29/21 2021	Wings	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+1.0	168.5	-	-
05/27/21 2021	Wings	-	@	Dream	-	-1.0	167.5	-	-
05/24/21	Wings	81	@	Liberty	88	+1.0	169.5	+7	U 169 -0.5
2021	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 75.5
05/22/21	Wings	97	vs.	Storm	100 OT	+7.5	169.5	+3	O 197 +27.5
2021	ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 80.1
05/14/21	Wings	94	@	Sparks	71	+6.0	166.0	-23	U 165 -1.0
2021	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 78.7 Pace: 90.2			ORtg: 78.7 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 90.2
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Wings	82	vs.	Liberty	79	-10.5	161.0	-3	P 161 0.0
2020	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8
09/11/20	Wings	88	vs.	Sky	95	+5.5	171.0	+7	O 183 +12.0
2020	ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 75.4
09/09/20	Wings	95	vs.	Storm	107	+12.5	166.0	+12	O 202 +36.0
2020	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 124.7 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 124.7 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 85.8
09/06/20	Wings	101	vs.	Mystics	94 OT	+1.0	161.0	-7	O 195 +34.0
2020	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 77.1
09/04/20	Wings	75	vs.	Lynx	88	+4.0	165.0	+13	U 163 -2.0
2020	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 75.9
09/02/20	Wings	83	vs.	Sparks	91	+6.5	163.5	+8	O 174 +10.5
2020	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 117.6 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 117.6 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 77.4
08/29/20	Wings	82	vs.	Fever	78	-1.5	167.5	-4	U 160 -7.5
2020	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		87.5	-	-	79.5	+3.5	167.8	-8.0 +11.5	U 167.0 -0.8
	ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 82.9			ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 82.9

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		90.7	-	-	86.3	+4.8	168.3	-4.3 +9.2	O 177.0 +8.7
	ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 81.9

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/04/21 2021	Dream	-	@	Lynx	-	+6.5	161.5	-	-
05/29/21 2021	Dream	-	@	Liberty	-	+3.0	168.5	-	-
05/27/21 2021	Dream	-	vs.	Wings	-	+1.0	167.5	-	-
05/25/21	Dream	90	@	Sky	83	+6.0	169.5	-7	O 173 +3.5
2021	ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 77.5
05/21/21	Dream	83	@	Fever	79	+2.0	162.5	-4	U 162 -0.5
2021	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 75.3			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 75.3
05/19/21	Dream	77	vs.	Sky	85	+4.0	162.5	+8	U 162 -0.5
2021	ORtg: 84.3 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 91.3			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 84.3 Pace: 91.3
05/14/21	Dream	67	vs.	Sun	78	+2.5	163.0	+11	U 145 -18.0
2021	ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 75.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Dream	78	vs.	Mystics	85	+6.0	164.0	+7	U 163 -1.0
2020	ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 70.8			ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 70.8
09/11/20	Dream	82	vs.	Sun	75	+1.0	165.5	-7	U 157 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 80.6
09/09/20	Dream	97	vs.	Sky	89	+7.5	170.0	-8	O 186 +16.0
2020	ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 83.1
09/05/20	Dream	79	vs.	Aces	89	+10.5	170.0	+10	U 168 -2.0
2020	ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 82.8
09/03/20	Dream	62	vs.	Liberty	56	-6.5	165.5	-6	U 118 -47.5
2020	ORtg: 76.0 DRtg: 68.6 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 68.6 DRtg: 76.0 Pace: 81.6
09/01/20	Dream	102	vs.	Fever	90	-1.5	167.0	-12	O 192 +25.0
2020	ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 79.7

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		72.0	-	-	81.5	+3.3	162.8	+9.5 -6.3	U 153.5 -9.3
	ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 83.5			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 83.5

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		79.3	-	-	81.3	+3.6	164.4	+2.0 +1.6	U 160.5 -3.9
	ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 79.9

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Records

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Notable Trends

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Dream (Home)

The Dream are 60% (3-2) against the spread

The Dream are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread at home

The Dream are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 60% (3-2) to the under

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) to the under at home

The Dream are 60% (3-2) to the under as a dog

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a home dog

The Dream are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Dream are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Wings (Away)

The Wings are 50% (2-2) against the spread

The Wings are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread away

The Wings are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 0% (0-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Wings are 50% (2-2) to the over

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) to the under away

The Wings are 100% (1-0) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away fav

The Wings are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wings are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Wings are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Wings are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/08/20	Dream	75	vs.	Wings	85	+1.5	165.5	+10	U 160 -5.5
2020	ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 74.5			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 74.5
07/26/20	Dream	105	vs.	Wings	95	+5.5	154.5	-10	O 200 +45.5
2020	ORtg: 119.9 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 87.6			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 119.9 Pace: 87.6

All Games Avg (2 games)		90.0	-	-	90.0	+3.5	160.0	0.0 +3.5	O 180.0 +20.0
	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 81.0