WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 81 – 88
Dallas Wings @ New York Liberty

Wings: 1-1 (50.0%) | Market Rating: -1.34

Liberty: 4-1 (80.0%) | Market Rating: -4.40 | Home Court: +0.9 pts

Line: -1.0

Total: 169.5

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Injury Report DALNo report NYLNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 3 for the Wings and game 6 for the Liberty. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Wings after Thu, May 27, the Liberty after Fri, May 21.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/29/21 2021	Wings	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+1.0	168.5	-	-
05/27/21 2021	Wings	-	@	Dream	-	-1.0	167.5	-	-
05/24/21 2021	Wings	-	@	Liberty	-	+1.0	169.5	-	-
05/22/21	Wings	97	vs.	Storm	100 OT	+7.5	169.5	+3	O 197 +27.5
2021	ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 80.1
05/14/21	Wings	94	@	Sparks	71	+6.0	166.0	-23	U 165 -1.0
2021	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 78.7 Pace: 90.2			ORtg: 78.7 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 90.2
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Wings	82	vs.	Liberty	79	-10.5	161.0	-3	P 161 0.0
2020	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8
09/11/20	Wings	88	vs.	Sky	95	+5.5	171.0	+7	O 183 +12.0
2020	ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 75.4
09/09/20	Wings	95	vs.	Storm	107	+12.5	166.0	+12	O 202 +36.0
2020	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 124.7 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 124.7 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 85.8
09/06/20	Wings	101	vs.	Mystics	94 OT	+1.0	161.0	-7	O 195 +34.0
2020	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 77.1
09/04/20	Wings	75	vs.	Lynx	88	+4.0	165.0	+13	U 163 -2.0
2020	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 75.9
09/02/20	Wings	83	vs.	Sparks	91	+6.5	163.5	+8	O 174 +10.5
2020	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 117.6 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 117.6 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 77.4
08/29/20	Wings	82	vs.	Fever	78	-1.5	167.5	-4	U 160 -7.5
2020	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8
08/25/20	Wings	92	vs.	Aces	96	+9.0	166.0	+4	O 188 +22.0
2020	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 76.8

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		94.0	-	-	71.0	+6.0	166.0	-23.0 +29.0	U 165.0 -1.0
	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 78.7 Pace: 90.2			ORtg: 78.7 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 90.2

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		95.5	-	-	85.5	+6.8	167.8	-10.0 +16.8	O 181.0 +13.3
	ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 85.2			ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 85.2

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/03/21 2021	Liberty	-	vs.	Aces	-	+9.5	170.5	-	-
05/29/21 2021	Liberty	-	vs.	Dream	-	-3.0	168.5	-	-
05/24/21 2021	Liberty	-	vs.	Wings	-	-1.0	169.5	-	-
05/23/21	Liberty	93	@	Sky	85	+6.5	164.0	-8	O 178 +14.0
2021	ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 85.8
05/21/21	Liberty	72	@	Mystics	101	+3.0	158.0	+29	O 173 +15.0
2021	ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 80.2
05/18/21	Liberty	86	vs.	Lynx	75	+5.0	158.0	-11	O 161 +3.0
2021	ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 84.4			ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 84.4
05/16/21	Liberty	73	@	Fever	65	+5.5	164.5	-8	U 138 -26.5
2021	ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 71.9 Pace: 90.4			ORtg: 71.9 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 90.4
05/14/21	Liberty	90	vs.	Fever	87	+2.0	160.5	-3	O 177 +16.5
2021	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Liberty	79	vs.	Wings	82	+10.5	161.0	+3	P 161 0.0
2020	ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 80.8
09/12/20	Liberty	58	vs.	Mystics	75	+8.0	156.5	+17	U 133 -23.5
2020	ORtg: 76.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 76.3 Pace: 76.0
09/10/20	Liberty	75	vs.	Fever	85	+5.5	165.5	+10	U 160 -5.5
2020	ORtg: 87.4 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 87.4 Pace: 85.8
09/08/20	Liberty	70	vs.	Sparks	96	+13.5	161.0	+26	O 166 +5.0
2020	ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 78.2
09/05/20	Liberty	67	vs.	Mercury	83	+12.5	167.5	+16	U 150 -17.5
2020	ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 77.6

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		88.0	-	-	81.0	+3.5	159.3	-7.0 +10.5	O 169.0 +9.8
	ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 97.5 Pace: 83.2			ORtg: 97.5 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 83.2

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		82.8	-	-	82.6	+4.4	161.0	-0.2 +4.6	O 165.4 +4.4
	ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 84.6

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread

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Liberty (Home)

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread

The Liberty are 100% (3-0) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a fav

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) to the over

The Liberty are 66.7% (2-1) to the over at home

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) to the under as a fav

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) to the under as a home fav

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Wings (Away)

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread

The Wings are 50% (1-1) against the spread away

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a dog

The Wings are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) to the under

The Wings are 100% (2-0) to the under away

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a dog

The Wings are 100% (2-0) to the under as an away dog

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Wings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Wings are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Wings are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/13/20	Liberty	79	vs.	Wings	82	+10.5	161.0	+3	P 161 0.0
2020	ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 80.8
07/29/20	Liberty	80	vs.	Wings	93	+5.0	165.5	+13	O 173 +7.5
2020	ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 81.9

All Games Avg (2 games)		79.5	-	-	87.5	+7.8	163.3	+8.0 -0.3	O 167.0 +3.8
	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 81.4