WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 72 – 65
Connecticut Sun @ Las Vegas Aces

Sun: 4-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: +0.29

Aces: 2-1 (66.7%) | Market Rating: +2.73 | Home Court: +2.1 pts

Line: -6.0

Total: 162.0

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Injury Report CONNo report LVANo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 5 for the Sun and game 4 for the Aces. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Sun after Fri, May 21, the Aces after Sun, May 23.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/28/21 2021	Sun	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-7.5	155.5	-	-
05/25/21 2021	Sun	-	@	Storm	-	+3.5	161.5	-	-
05/23/21 2021	Sun	-	@	Aces	-	+6.0	162.0	-	-
05/21/21	Sun	84	@	Mercury	67	+3.0	161.5	-17	U 151 -10.5
2021	ORtg: 120.8 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 69.5			ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 120.8 Pace: 69.5
05/19/21	Sun	88	vs.	Fever	67	-7.0	161.0	-21	U 155 -6.0
2021	ORtg: 125.2 DRtg: 95.3 Pace: 70.3			ORtg: 95.3 DRtg: 125.2 Pace: 70.3
05/16/21	Sun	86	vs.	Mercury	78	-1.0	162.5	-8	O 164 +1.5
2021	ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 76.6
05/14/21	Sun	78	@	Dream	67	-2.5	163.0	-11	U 145 -18.0
2021	ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 75.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/29/20	Sun	63	vs.	Aces	66	+3.5	157.0	+3	U 129 -28.0
2020	ORtg: 82.0 DRtg: 85.9 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 85.9 DRtg: 82.0 Pace: 76.8
09/27/20	Sun	75	vs.	Aces	84	+3.0	157.5	+9	O 159 +1.5
2020	ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 77.2
09/24/20	Sun	77	vs.	Aces	68	+6.5	160.5	-9	U 145 -15.5
2020	ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 76.5
09/22/20	Sun	75	vs.	Aces	83	+5.5	160.5	+8	U 158 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 78.4
09/20/20	Sun	87	vs.	Aces	62	+6.0	162.5	-25	U 149 -13.5
2020	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 77.7 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 77.7 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 79.8
09/17/20	Sun	73	vs.	Sparks	59	+5.0	158.5	-14	U 132 -26.5
2020	ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 79.3 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 79.3 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 74.4

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		81.0	-	-	67.0	+0.3	162.3	-14.0 +14.3	U 148.0 -14.3
	ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 72.6			ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 72.6

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		84.0	-	-	69.8	-1.9	162.0	-14.3 +12.4	U 153.8 -8.3
	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 73.0

Aces Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/28/21 2021	Aces	-	vs.	Fever	-	-11.5	165.5	-	-
05/26/21 2021	Aces	-	@	Mercury	-	-6.0	166.5	-	-
05/23/21 2021	Aces	-	vs.	Sun	-	-6.0	162.0	-	-
05/21/21	Aces	97	vs.	Sparks	69	-9.0	169.0	-28	U 166 -3.0
2021	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 80.9 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 80.9 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 85.3
05/18/21	Aces	96	@	Storm	80	+1.5	167.5	-16	O 176 +8.5
2021	ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 80.2
05/15/21	Aces	83	@	Storm	97	-1.0	166.5	+14	O 180 +13.5
2021	ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 83.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/06/20	Aces	59	vs.	Storm	92	+7.5	171.5	+33	U 151 -20.5
2020	ORtg: 74.5 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 74.5 Pace: 79.2
10/04/20	Aces	91	vs.	Storm	104	+7.0	167.0	+13	O 195 +28.0
2020	ORtg: 117.9 DRtg: 134.8 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 134.8 DRtg: 117.9 Pace: 77.2
10/02/20	Aces	80	vs.	Storm	93	+5.5	164.0	+13	O 173 +9.0
2020	ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 80.9
09/29/20	Aces	66	vs.	Sun	63	-3.5	157.0	-3	U 129 -28.0
2020	ORtg: 85.9 DRtg: 82.0 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 82.0 DRtg: 85.9 Pace: 76.8
09/27/20	Aces	84	vs.	Sun	75	-3.0	157.5	-9	O 159 +1.5
2020	ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 77.2
09/24/20	Aces	68	vs.	Sun	77	-6.5	160.5	+9	U 145 -15.5
2020	ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 76.5
09/22/20	Aces	83	vs.	Sun	75	-5.5	160.5	-8	U 158 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 78.4

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		97.0	-	-	69.0	-9.0	169.0	-28.0 +19.0	U 166.0 -3.0
	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 80.9 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 80.9 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 85.3

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		92.0	-	-	82.0	-2.8	167.7	-10.0 +7.2	O 174.0 +6.3
	ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 83.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Sun are 100% (5-0) against the spread

The Sun are 80% (4-1) to the under

The Sun are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

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Aces (Home)

The Aces are 50% (2-2) against the spread

The Aces are 50% (1-1) against the spread at home

The Aces are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a fav

The Aces are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Aces are 50% (2-2) to the over

The Aces are 100% (2-0) to the under at home

The Aces are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a fav

The Aces are 100% (2-0) to the under as a home fav

The Aces are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Aces are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Aces are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Aces are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Aces are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Aces are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 100% (5-0) against the spread

The Sun are 100% (3-0) against the spread away

The Sun are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 100% (2-0) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 80% (4-1) to the under

The Sun are 100% (3-0) to the under away

The Sun are 100% (2-0) to the under as a dog

The Sun are 100% (2-0) to the under as an away dog