WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 75 – 86
Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty

Lynx: 0-1 (0.0%) | Market Rating: +0.39

Liberty: 2-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: -4.12 | Home Court: 0.0 pts

Line: +5.0

Total: 158.0

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Injury Report MINNo report NYLNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 2 for the Lynx and game 3 for the Liberty. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Lynx after Fri, May 28, the Liberty after Fri, May 21.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Lynx Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/28/21 2021	Lynx	-	@	Storm	-	+6.0	167.0	-	-
05/20/21 2021	Lynx	-	vs.	Storm	-	+4.5	164.5	-	-
05/18/21 2021	Lynx	-	@	Liberty	-	-5.0	158.0	-	-
05/14/21	Lynx	75	vs.	Mercury	77	-1.0	164.0	+2	U 152 -12.0
2021	ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 82.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/27/20	Lynx	71	vs.	Storm	92	+8.5	165.0	+21	U 163 -2.0
2020	ORtg: 89.2 DRtg: 115.5 Pace: 79.6			ORtg: 115.5 DRtg: 89.2 Pace: 79.6
09/24/20	Lynx	79	vs.	Storm	89	+8.0	163.5	+10	O 168 +4.5
2020	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 74.4
09/22/20	Lynx	86	vs.	Storm	88	+8.5	162.5	+2	O 174 +11.5
2020	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 80.2
09/17/20	Lynx	80	vs.	Mercury	79	-4.5	167.5	-1	U 159 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.0
09/12/20	Lynx	98	vs.	Fever	86	-5.0	168.0	-12	O 184 +16.0
2020	ORtg: 137.0 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 71.5			ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 137.0 Pace: 71.5
09/10/20	Lynx	89	vs.	Aces	104	+5.0	165.5	+15	O 193 +27.5
2020	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 127.4 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 127.4 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 81.6
09/08/20	Lynx	86	vs.	Mystics	89	-8.0	158.0	+3	O 175 +17.0
2020	ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 70.0			ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 70.0
09/06/20	Lynx	88	vs.	Storm	103	+7.0	161.0	+15	O 191 +30.0
2020	ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 130.2 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 130.2 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 79.1
09/04/20	Lynx	88	vs.	Wings	75	-4.0	165.0	-13	U 163 -2.0
2020	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 75.9

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		75.0	-	-	77.0	-1.0	164.0	+2.0 -3.0	U 152.0 -12.0
	ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 82.6

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/23/21 2021	Liberty	-	@	Sky	-	+6.5	164.0	-	-
05/21/21 2021	Liberty	-	@	Mystics	-	+3.0	158.0	-	-
05/18/21 2021	Liberty	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+5.0	158.0	-	-
05/16/21	Liberty	73	@	Fever	65	+5.5	164.5	-8	U 138 -26.5
2021	ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 71.9 Pace: 90.4			ORtg: 71.9 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 90.4
05/14/21	Liberty	90	vs.	Fever	87	+2.0	160.5	-3	O 177 +16.5
2021	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Liberty	79	vs.	Wings	82	+10.5	161.0	+3	P 161 0.0
2020	ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 80.8
09/12/20	Liberty	58	vs.	Mystics	75	+8.0	156.5	+17	U 133 -23.5
2020	ORtg: 76.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 76.3 Pace: 76.0
09/10/20	Liberty	75	vs.	Fever	85	+5.5	165.5	+10	U 160 -5.5
2020	ORtg: 87.4 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 87.4 Pace: 85.8
09/08/20	Liberty	70	vs.	Sparks	96	+13.5	161.0	+26	O 166 +5.0
2020	ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 78.2
09/05/20	Liberty	67	vs.	Mercury	83	+12.5	167.5	+16	U 150 -17.5
2020	ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 77.6
09/03/20	Liberty	56	vs.	Dream	62	+6.5	165.5	+6	U 118 -47.5
2020	ORtg: 68.6 DRtg: 76.0 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 76.0 DRtg: 68.6 Pace: 81.6
09/01/20	Liberty	65	vs.	Sun	70	+11.5	156.0	+5	U 135 -21.0
2020	ORtg: 80.9 DRtg: 87.1 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 87.1 DRtg: 80.9 Pace: 80.4
08/29/20	Liberty	63	vs.	Aces	80	+17.0	169.0	+17	U 143 -26.0
2020	ORtg: 80.1 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 80.1 Pace: 78.6

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		90.0	-	-	87.0	+2.0	160.5	-3.0 +5.0	O 177.0 +16.5
	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.0

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		81.5	-	-	76.0	+3.8	162.5	-5.5 +9.3	U 157.5 -5.0
	ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 89.0 Pace: 86.2			ORtg: 89.0 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 86.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Liberty (Home)

The Liberty are 37.5% (9-15-1) against the spread

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 37.5% (9-15-1) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 50% (12-12-1) to the over

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) to the over at home

The Liberty are 50% (12-12-1) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) to the over as a home dog

The Liberty are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Liberty are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Lynx (Away)

The Lynx are 53.6% (15-13) against the spread

The Lynx are 0% (0-1) against the spread away

The Lynx are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread as a fav

The Lynx are 0% (0-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Lynx are 63% (17-10-1) to the over

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) to the over away

The Lynx are 61.5% (8-5) to the over as a fav

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away fav

The Lynx are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lynx are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Lynx are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lynx are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Lynx are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Lynx are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/15/20	Liberty	64	vs.	Lynx	94	+7.5	154.5	+30	O 158 +3.5
2020	ORtg: 76.7 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 83.5			ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 76.7 Pace: 83.5
08/05/20	Liberty	66	vs.	Lynx	92	+9.5	157.5	+26	O 158 +0.5
2020	ORtg: 83.9 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 83.9 Pace: 78.6

All Games Avg (2 games)		65.0	-	-	93.0	+8.5	156.0	+28.0 -19.5	O 158.0 +2.0
	ORtg: 80.3 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 80.3 Pace: 81.1