WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 78 – 86
Phoenix Mercury @ Connecticut Sun

Mercury: 1-0 (100.0%)

Sun: 1-0 (100.0%)

Line: -1.0

Total: 162.5

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Want to see only your books? Want to see where the sharp action is coming in? Become a member or log in.

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report PHXNo report CONNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 2 for the Mercury and game 2 for the Sun. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Mercury after Fri, May 21, the Sun after Fri, May 21.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/21/21 2021	Mercury	-	vs.	Sun	-	-3.0	161.5	-	-
05/18/21 2021	Mercury	-	@	Mystics	-	-3.5	163.5	-	-
05/16/21 2021	Mercury	-	@	Sun	-	+1.0	162.5	-	-
05/14/21	Mercury	77	@	Lynx	75	+1.0	164.0	-2	U 152 -12.0
2021	ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 82.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/20	Mercury	79	vs.	Lynx	80	+4.5	167.5	+1	U 159 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 79.0
09/15/20	Mercury	85	vs.	Mystics	84	-4.5	164.5	-1	O 169 +4.5
2020	ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 111.1 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 111.1 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 75.6
09/11/20	Mercury	60	vs.	Storm	83	+4.5	166.0	+23	U 143 -23.0
2020	ORtg: 79.9 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 79.9 Pace: 75.1
09/09/20	Mercury	100	vs.	Sun	95 OT	-3.5	161.5	-5	O 195 +33.5
2020	ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 81.4
09/07/20	Mercury	69	vs.	Sun	85	-3.0	165.5	+16	U 154 -11.5
2020	ORtg: 89.7 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 89.7 Pace: 77.0
09/05/20	Mercury	83	vs.	Liberty	67	-12.5	167.5	-16	U 150 -17.5
2020	ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 77.6
09/03/20	Mercury	105	vs.	Fever	81	-7.0	172.5	-24	O 186 +13.5
2020	ORtg: 122.6 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 85.6			ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 122.6 Pace: 85.6
09/01/20	Mercury	92	vs.	Aces	85	+8.5	170.5	-7	O 177 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 80.7
08/30/20	Mercury	83	vs.	Lynx	79	+4.5	164.5	-4	U 162 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 78.4

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		77.0	-	-	75.0	+1.0	164.0	-2.0 +3.0	U 152.0 -12.0
	ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 82.6

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		77.0	-	-	75.0	+1.0	164.0	-2.0 +3.0	U 152.0 -12.0
	ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 82.6

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/21/21 2021	Sun	-	@	Mercury	-	+3.0	161.5	-	-
05/19/21 2021	Sun	-	vs.	Fever	-	-7.0	161.0	-	-
05/16/21 2021	Sun	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-1.0	162.5	-	-
05/14/21	Sun	78	@	Dream	67	-2.5	163.0	-11	U 145 -18.0
2021	ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 75.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/29/20	Sun	63	vs.	Aces	66	+3.5	157.0	+3	U 129 -28.0
2020	ORtg: 82.0 DRtg: 85.9 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 85.9 DRtg: 82.0 Pace: 76.8
09/27/20	Sun	75	vs.	Aces	84	+3.0	157.5	+9	O 159 +1.5
2020	ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 77.2
09/24/20	Sun	77	vs.	Aces	68	+6.5	160.5	-9	U 145 -15.5
2020	ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 76.5
09/22/20	Sun	75	vs.	Aces	83	+5.5	160.5	+8	U 158 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 78.4
09/20/20	Sun	87	vs.	Aces	62	+6.0	162.5	-25	U 149 -13.5
2020	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 77.7 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 77.7 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 79.8
09/17/20	Sun	73	vs.	Sparks	59	+5.0	158.5	-14	U 132 -26.5
2020	ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 79.3 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 79.3 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 74.4
09/15/20	Sun	94	vs.	Sky	81	+2.0	165.5	-13	O 175 +9.5
2020	ORtg: 129.9 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 129.9 Pace: 72.4
09/11/20	Sun	75	vs.	Dream	82	-1.0	165.5	+7	U 157 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 80.6
09/09/20	Sun	95	vs.	Mercury	100 OT	+3.5	161.5	+5	O 195 +33.5
2020	ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 81.4

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		78.0	-	-	67.0	-2.5	163.0	-11.0 +8.5	U 145.0 -18.0
	ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 75.7

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

On / Off Court

Follows the Team Comparison Stats filters above.

Next Player Up

Records

Loading records...

Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Sun are 75% (9-3-1) to the under as a fav

View All Records

Sun (Home)

The Sun are 56.7% (17-13-1) against the spread

The Sun are 100% (1-0) against the spread at home

The Sun are 66.7% (8-4-1) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 60% (18-12-1) to the under

The Sun are 100% (1-0) to the over at home

The Sun are 75% (9-3-1) to the under as a fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) to the over as a home fav

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Sun are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Mercury (Away)

The Mercury are 53.8% (14-12) against the spread

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) against the spread away

The Mercury are 50% (6-6) against the spread as a dog

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Mercury are 53.8% (14-12) to the over

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) to the over away

The Mercury are 58.3% (7-5) to the under as a dog

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/09/20	Sun	95	vs.	Mercury	100 OT	+3.5	161.5	+5	O 195 +33.5
2020	ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 81.4
09/07/20	Sun	85	vs.	Mercury	69	+3.0	165.5	-16	U 154 -11.5
2020	ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 89.7 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 89.7 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 77.0

All Games Avg (2 games)		90.0	-	-	84.5	+3.3	163.5	-5.5 +8.8	O 174.5 +11.0
	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 79.2