WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 78 – 67
Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream

Sun: 0-0 (0.0%)

Dream: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: +2.5

Total: 163.0

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Injury Report CONNo report ATLNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 1 for the Sun and game 1 for the Dream. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Sun after Fri, May 21, the Dream after Tue, May 25.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/19/21 2021	Sun	-	vs.	Fever	-	-7.0	161.0	-	-
05/16/21 2021	Sun	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-1.0	162.5	-	-
05/14/21 2021	Sun	-	@	Dream	-	-2.5	163.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/29/20	Sun	63	vs.	Aces	66	+3.5	157.0	+3	U 129 -28.0
2020	ORtg: 82.0 DRtg: 85.9 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 85.9 DRtg: 82.0 Pace: 76.8
09/27/20	Sun	75	vs.	Aces	84	+3.0	157.5	+9	O 159 +1.5
2020	ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 77.2
09/24/20	Sun	77	vs.	Aces	68	+6.5	160.5	-9	U 145 -15.5
2020	ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 76.5
09/22/20	Sun	75	vs.	Aces	83	+5.5	160.5	+8	U 158 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 78.4
09/20/20	Sun	87	vs.	Aces	62	+6.0	162.5	-25	U 149 -13.5
2020	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 77.7 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 77.7 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 79.8
09/17/20	Sun	73	vs.	Sparks	59	+5.0	158.5	-14	U 132 -26.5
2020	ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 79.3 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 79.3 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 74.4
09/15/20	Sun	94	vs.	Sky	81	+2.0	165.5	-13	O 175 +9.5
2020	ORtg: 129.9 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 129.9 Pace: 72.4
09/11/20	Sun	75	vs.	Dream	82	-1.0	165.5	+7	U 157 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 80.6
09/09/20	Sun	95	vs.	Mercury	100 OT	+3.5	161.5	+5	O 195 +33.5
2020	ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 81.4
09/07/20	Sun	85	vs.	Mercury	69	+3.0	165.5	-16	U 154 -11.5
2020	ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 89.7 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 89.7 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 77.0

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/21/21 2021	Dream	-	@	Fever	-	+2.0	162.5	-	-
05/19/21 2021	Dream	-	vs.	Sky	-	+4.0	162.5	-	-
05/14/21 2021	Dream	-	vs.	Sun	-	+2.5	163.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/13/20	Dream	78	vs.	Mystics	85	+6.0	164.0	+7	U 163 -1.0
2020	ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 70.8			ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 70.8
09/11/20	Dream	82	vs.	Sun	75	+1.0	165.5	-7	U 157 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 80.6
09/09/20	Dream	97	vs.	Sky	89	+7.5	170.0	-8	O 186 +16.0
2020	ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 83.1
09/05/20	Dream	79	vs.	Aces	89	+10.5	170.0	+10	U 168 -2.0
2020	ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 82.8
09/03/20	Dream	62	vs.	Liberty	56	-6.5	165.5	-6	U 118 -47.5
2020	ORtg: 76.0 DRtg: 68.6 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 68.6 DRtg: 76.0 Pace: 81.6
09/01/20	Dream	102	vs.	Fever	90	-1.5	167.0	-12	O 192 +25.0
2020	ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 79.7
08/30/20	Dream	79	vs.	Sparks	84	+13.5	164.0	+5	U 163 -1.0
2020	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 80.8
08/28/20	Dream	79	vs.	Lynx	88	+8.0	161.5	+9	O 167 +5.5
2020	ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 83.2			ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 83.2
08/23/20	Dream	78	vs.	Lynx	75	+11.5	162.5	-3	U 153 -9.5
2020	ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 75.2
08/21/20	Dream	85	vs.	Sparks	93 OT	+15.0	163.5	+8	O 178 +14.5
2020	ORtg: 91.0 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 91.0 Pace: 77.3

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Sun are 81.8% (9-2-1) to the under as a fav

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Dream (Home)

The Dream are 45.5% (10-12-1) against the spread

The Dream are 0% (0-1) against the spread at home

The Dream are 44.4% (8-10-1) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 54.5% (12-10-1) to the under

The Dream are 100% (1-0) to the under at home

The Dream are 52.6% (10-9) to the under as a dog

The Dream are 100% (1-0) to the under as a home dog

The Dream are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Dream are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Dream are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 55.2% (16-13-1) against the spread

The Sun are 100% (1-0) against the spread away

The Sun are 63.6% (7-4-1) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Sun are 62.1% (18-11-1) to the under

The Sun are 100% (1-0) to the under away

The Sun are 81.8% (9-2-1) to the under as a fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) to the under as an away fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/11/20	Dream	82	vs.	Sun	75	+1.0	165.5	-7	U 157 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 80.6
08/10/20	Dream	82	vs.	Sun	93	+5.0	166.0	+11	O 175 +9.0
2020	ORtg: 102.4 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 102.4 Pace: 80.1

All Games Avg (2 games)		82.0	-	-	84.0	+3.0	165.8	+2.0 +1.0	O 166.0 +0.3
	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 80.3