WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 83 – 60
Seattle Storm / Phoenix Mercury Neutral site

Storm: 17-3 (85.0%) | Market Rating: +6.13

Mercury: 13-8 (61.9%) | Market Rating: +1.28

Line: +4.5

Total: 166.0

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/22/20 2020	Storm	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-8.5	162.5	-	-
09/13/20 2020	Storm	-	vs.	Aces	-	+2.0	165.5	-	-
09/11/20 2020	Storm	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-4.5	166.0	-	-
09/09/20	Storm	107	vs.	Wings	95	-12.5	166.0	-12	O 202 +36.0
2020	ORtg: 124.7 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 85.8			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 124.7 Pace: 85.8
09/06/20	Storm	103	vs.	Lynx	88	-7.0	161.0	-15	O 191 +30.0
2020	ORtg: 130.2 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 130.2 Pace: 79.1
09/04/20	Storm	90	vs.	Sparks	89	-6.5	160.0	-1	O 179 +19.0
2020	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 78.8
09/02/20	Storm	71	vs.	Mystics	64	-15.0	160.0	-7	U 135 -25.0
2020	ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 90.7 Pace: 70.6			ORtg: 90.7 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 70.6
08/29/20	Storm	88	vs.	Sky	74	-6.5	167.0	-14	U 162 -5.0
2020	ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 78.2
08/25/20	Storm	87	vs.	Fever	74	-14.5	164.5	-13	U 161 -3.5
2020	ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 75.8
08/22/20	Storm	74	vs.	Aces	82	-5.0	165.5	+8	U 156 -9.5
2020	ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 85.7			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 85.7
08/20/20	Storm	84	vs.	Fever	90	-17.0	163.0	+6	O 174 +11.0
2020	ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 81.9
08/18/20	Storm	105	vs.	Liberty	64	-19.0	158.5	-41	O 169 +10.5
2020	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 73.7 Pace: 86.9			ORtg: 73.7 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 86.9
08/16/20	Storm	95	vs.	Sun	72	-9.5	156.0	-23	O 167 +11.0
2020	ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 75.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		90.4	-	-	79.2	-11.3	162.2	-11.2 -0.1	O 169.6 +7.5
	ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 79.8

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/17/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+4.5	167.5	-	-
09/15/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-4.5	164.5	-	-
09/11/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Storm	-	+4.5	166.0	-	-
09/09/20	Mercury	100	vs.	Sun	95 OT	-3.5	161.5	-5	O 195 +33.5
2020	ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 81.4
09/07/20	Mercury	69	vs.	Sun	85	-3.0	165.5	+16	U 154 -11.5
2020	ORtg: 89.7 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 89.7 Pace: 77.0
09/05/20	Mercury	83	vs.	Liberty	67	-12.5	167.5	-16	U 150 -17.5
2020	ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 77.6
09/03/20	Mercury	105	vs.	Fever	81	-7.0	172.5	-24	O 186 +13.5
2020	ORtg: 122.6 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 85.6			ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 122.6 Pace: 85.6
09/01/20	Mercury	92	vs.	Aces	85	+8.5	170.5	-7	O 177 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 80.7
08/30/20	Mercury	83	vs.	Lynx	79	+4.5	164.5	-4	U 162 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 78.4
08/28/20	Mercury	94	vs.	Mystics	72	-3.0	168.5	-22	U 166 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 74.9
08/23/20	Mercury	88	vs.	Mystics	87	-4.5	167.0	-1	O 175 +8.0
2020	ORtg: 111.1 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 111.1 Pace: 79.2
08/21/20	Mercury	80	vs.	Lynx	90	-3.0	163.5	+10	O 170 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 78.4
08/19/20	Mercury	74	vs.	Sparks	83	+5.5	168.0	+9	U 157 -11.0
2020	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 80.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		86.8	-	-	82.4	-1.8	166.9	-4.4 +2.6	O 169.2 +2.3
	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 79.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

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Mercury (Home)

The Mercury are 54.5% (12-10) against the spread

The Mercury are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as a dog

The Mercury are 54.5% (12-10) to the over

The Mercury are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as a dog

The Mercury are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mercury are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) to the over

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

Storm (Away)

The Storm are 61.9% (13-8) against the spread

The Storm are 61.9% (13-8) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 50% (10-10-1) to the over

The Storm are 50% (10-10-1) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/08/20	Mercury	68	vs.	Storm	74	+5.0	166.5	+6	U 142 -24.5
2020	ORtg: 83.4 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 83.4 Pace: 81.5
09/03/19	Mercury	70	vs.	Storm	82	-5.5	153.5	+12	U 152 -1.5
2019	ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 75.8
06/30/19	Mercury	69	@	Storm	67	+1.0	149.5	-2	U 136 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 72.3			ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 72.3
05/25/19	Mercury	68	@	Storm	77	-3.5	158.5	+9	U 145 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 75.4

Mercury as Home (1 games)		70.0	-	-	82.0	-5.5	153.5	+12.0 -17.5	U 152.0 -1.5
	ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 75.8

All Games Avg (4 games)		68.8	-	-	75.0	-0.8	157.0	+6.3 -7.0	U 143.8 -13.3
	ORtg: 90.4 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 90.4 Pace: 76.3