WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 105 – 81
Phoenix Mercury / Indiana Fever Neutral site

Mercury: 10-7 (58.8%) | Market Rating: +0.14

Fever: 5-12 (29.4%) | Market Rating: -3.72

Line: +7.0

Total: 172.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/07/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Sun	-	-3.0	165.5	-	-
09/05/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-12.5	167.5	-	-
09/03/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Fever	-	-7.0	172.5	-	-
09/01/20	Mercury	92	vs.	Aces	85	+8.5	170.5	-7	O 177 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 80.7
08/30/20	Mercury	83	vs.	Lynx	79	+4.5	164.5	-4	U 162 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 78.4
08/28/20	Mercury	94	vs.	Mystics	72	-3.0	168.5	-22	U 166 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 74.9
08/23/20	Mercury	88	vs.	Mystics	87	-4.5	167.0	-1	O 175 +8.0
2020	ORtg: 111.1 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 111.1 Pace: 79.2
08/21/20	Mercury	80	vs.	Lynx	90	-3.0	163.5	+10	O 170 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 78.4
08/19/20	Mercury	74	vs.	Sparks	83	+5.5	168.0	+9	U 157 -11.0
2020	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 80.7
08/16/20	Mercury	89	vs.	Wings	95	-9.0	164.5	+6	O 184 +19.5
2020	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 121.2 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 121.2 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 78.4
08/14/20	Mercury	96	vs.	Dream	80	-9.5	167.0	-16	O 176 +9.0
2020	ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 79.3
08/12/20	Mercury	71	vs.	Sky	89	+5.0	175.5	+18	U 160 -15.5
2020	ORtg: 94.0 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 94.0 Pace: 75.5
08/10/20	Mercury	91	vs.	Wings	79	-3.5	165.5	-12	O 170 +4.5
2020	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 80.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		85.8	-	-	83.9	-0.9	167.5	-1.9 +1.0	O 169.7 +2.3
	ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 78.6

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/08/20 2020	Fever	-	vs.	Aces	-	+14.0	172.5	-	-
09/05/20 2020	Fever	-	vs.	Sun	-	+6.5	161.0	-	-
09/03/20 2020	Fever	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+7.0	172.5	-	-
09/01/20	Fever	90	vs.	Dream	102	+1.5	167.0	+12	O 192 +25.0
2020	ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 79.7
08/31/20	Fever	77	vs.	Sky	100	+7.5	167.5	+23	O 177 +9.5
2020	ORtg: 94.0 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 94.0 Pace: 81.9
08/29/20	Fever	78	vs.	Wings	82	+1.5	167.5	+4	U 160 -7.5
2020	ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 80.8
08/25/20	Fever	74	vs.	Storm	87	+14.5	164.5	+13	U 161 -3.5
2020	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 75.8
08/22/20	Fever	76	vs.	Sky	87	+9.0	169.5	+11	U 163 -6.5
2020	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 114.6 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 114.6 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 75.9
08/20/20	Fever	90	vs.	Storm	84	+17.0	163.0	-6	O 174 +11.0
2020	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 81.9
08/18/20	Fever	62	vs.	Sun	84	+5.0	165.0	+22	U 146 -19.0
2020	ORtg: 85.4 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 72.6			ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 85.4 Pace: 72.6
08/15/20	Fever	76	vs.	Sparks	90	+8.0	167.0	+14	U 166 -1.0
2020	ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 74.3
08/13/20	Fever	86	vs.	Liberty	79	-6.5	163.5	-7	O 165 +1.5
2020	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 75.6
08/11/20	Fever	79	vs.	Aces	98	+6.5	167.5	+19	O 177 +9.5
2020	ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 82.4			ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 82.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		78.8	-	-	89.3	+6.4	166.2	+10.5 -4.1	O 168.1 +1.9
	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 78.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Fever are 28.6% (4-10) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 23.1% (3-10) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mercury are 70% (7-3) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

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Fever (Home)

The Fever are 35.3% (6-11-1) against the spread

The Fever are 33.3% (5-10-1) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 58.8% (10-7-1) to the over

The Fever are 53.3% (8-7-1) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 28.6% (4-10) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 23.1% (3-10) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Mercury (Away)

The Mercury are 55.6% (10-8) against the spread

The Mercury are 60% (6-4) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 61.1% (11-7) to the over