WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 76 – 80
Connecticut Sun / Los Angeles Sparks Neutral site

Sun: 6-8 (42.9%) | Market Rating: +0.44

Sparks: 10-3 (76.9%) | Market Rating: +3.64

Line: -5.5

Total: 159.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/01/20 2020	Sun	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-11.5	156.0	-	-
08/30/20 2020	Sun	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-7.0	161.0	-	-
08/28/20 2020	Sun	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+5.5	159.0	-	-
08/22/20	Sun	82	vs.	Liberty	65	-12.0	163.0	-17	U 147 -16.0
2020	ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 83.3 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 83.3 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 78.0
08/20/20	Sun	78	vs.	Aces	99	+7.5	163.0	+21	O 177 +14.0
2020	ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 82.6
08/18/20	Sun	84	vs.	Fever	62	-5.0	165.0	-22	U 146 -19.0
2020	ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 85.4 Pace: 72.6			ORtg: 85.4 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 72.6
08/16/20	Sun	72	vs.	Storm	95	+9.5	156.0	+23	O 167 +11.0
2020	ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 75.4
08/14/20	Sun	77	vs.	Sky	74	+6.0	168.0	-3	U 151 -17.0
2020	ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 76.7
08/12/20	Sun	70	vs.	Wings	66	-4.0	161.5	-4	U 136 -25.5
2020	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 67.2			ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 67.2
08/10/20	Sun	93	vs.	Dream	82	-5.0	166.0	-11	O 175 +9.0
2020	ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 102.4 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 102.4 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 80.1
08/08/20	Sun	93	vs.	Sky	100	+2.5	168.0	+7	O 193 +25.0
2020	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 84.7			ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 84.7
08/06/20	Sun	91	vs.	Wings	68	-3.5	159.0	-23	P 159 0.0
2020	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 85.2 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 85.2 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 79.8
08/04/20	Sun	74	vs.	Storm	87	+10.5	156.0	+13	O 161 +5.0
2020	ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 117.9 Pace: 73.8			ORtg: 117.9 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 73.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		81.4	-	-	79.8	+0.7	162.6	-1.6 +2.3	U 161.2 -1.4
	ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 103.3 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 103.3 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 77.1

Sparks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/31/20 2020	Sparks	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-6.0	159.5	-	-
08/30/20 2020	Sparks	-	vs.	Dream	-	-13.5	164.0	-	-
08/28/20 2020	Sparks	-	vs.	Sun	-	-5.5	159.0	-	-
08/23/20	Sparks	84	vs.	Wings	81	-10.5	161.5	-3	O 165 +3.5
2020	ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 74.8
08/21/20	Sparks	93	vs.	Dream	85 OT	-15.0	163.5	-8	O 178 +14.5
2020	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 91.0 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 91.0 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 77.3
08/19/20	Sparks	83	vs.	Mercury	74	-5.5	168.0	-9	U 157 -11.0
2020	ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 80.7
08/15/20	Sparks	90	vs.	Fever	76	-8.0	167.0	-14	U 166 -1.0
2020	ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 74.3
08/13/20	Sparks	81	vs.	Mystics	62	-6.0	162.0	-19	U 143 -19.0
2020	ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 81.0 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 81.0 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 76.6
08/11/20	Sparks	93	vs.	Liberty	78	-13.0	160.5	-15	O 171 +10.5
2020	ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 85.9			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 85.9
08/09/20	Sparks	97	vs.	Lynx	81	-8.0	152.0	-16	O 178 +26.0
2020	ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 78.3
08/07/20	Sparks	82	vs.	Aces	86	+5.0	166.0	+4	O 168 +2.0
2020	ORtg: 97.0 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 84.5			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 97.0 Pace: 84.5
08/05/20	Sparks	86	vs.	Fever	75	-8.0	163.5	-11	U 161 -2.5
2020	ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 94.8 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 94.8 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 79.2
08/01/20	Sparks	75	vs.	Storm	81	+5.0	162.0	+6	U 156 -6.0
2020	ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 80.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		86.4	-	-	77.9	-6.4	162.6	-8.5 +2.1	O 164.3 +1.7
	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 96.6 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 96.6 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 79.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

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Sparks (Home)

The Sparks are 57.1% (8-6) against the spread

The Sparks are 58.3% (7-5) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 50% (7-7) to the over

The Sparks are 50% (6-6) to the over as a fav

The Sparks are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sparks are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Sparks are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 50% (7-7-1) against the spread

The Sun are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 57.1% (8-6-1) to the under

The Sun are 62.5% (5-3) to the over as a dog

The Sun are 58.3% (7-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 58.3% (7-5-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/30/20	Sparks	81	vs.	Sun	76	-6.5	165.5	-5	U 157 -8.5
2020	ORtg: 95.0 DRtg: 89.1 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 89.1 DRtg: 95.0 Pace: 85.3
09/22/19	Sparks	56	vs.	Sun	78	-5.5	162.0	+22	U 134 -28.0
2019	ORtg: 69.7 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 69.7 Pace: 80.4
09/19/19	Sparks	68	@	Sun	94	+1.5	162.5	+26	U 162 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 87.9 DRtg: 121.5 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 121.5 DRtg: 87.9 Pace: 77.3
09/17/19	Sparks	75	@	Sun	84	+1.5	163.0	+9	U 159 -4.0
2019	ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 80.9
08/25/19	Sparks	84	vs.	Sun	72	-4.5	156.5	-12	U 156 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 77.2
06/06/19	Sparks	77	@	Sun	89	+7.0	157.5	+12	O 166 +8.5
2019	ORtg: 94.7 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 94.7 Pace: 81.3
05/31/19	Sparks	77	vs.	Sun	70	+2.5	164.5	-7	U 147 -17.5
2019	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 88.0 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 88.0 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 79.5

Sparks as Home (3 games)		72.3	-	-	73.3	-2.5	161.0	+1.0 -3.5	U 145.7 -15.3
	ORtg: 91.8 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 91.8 Pace: 79.0

All Games Avg (7 games)		74.0	-	-	80.4	-0.6	161.6	+6.4 -7.0	U 154.4 -7.2
	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 80.3