WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 72 – 94
Washington Mystics / Phoenix Mercury Neutral site

Mystics: 4-9 (30.8%) | Market Rating: +1.51

Mercury: 7-7 (50.0%) | Market Rating: +1.22

Line: -3.0

Total: 168.5

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Injury Report WASNo report PHXNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/02/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Storm	-	+15.0	160.0	-	-
08/30/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Sun	-	+7.0	161.0	-	-
08/28/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+3.0	168.5	-	-
08/23/20	Mystics	87	vs.	Mercury	88	+4.5	167.0	+1	O 175 +8.0
2020	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 111.1 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 111.1 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 79.2
08/21/20	Mystics	92	vs.	Wings	101 OT	-2.0	161.5	+9	O 193 +31.5
2020	ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 76.9
08/19/20	Mystics	98	vs.	Dream	91	-7.0	160.0	-7	O 189 +29.0
2020	ORtg: 132.1 DRtg: 122.7 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 122.7 DRtg: 132.1 Pace: 74.2
08/15/20	Mystics	73	vs.	Aces	88	+9.0	162.0	+15	U 161 -1.0
2020	ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 78.1
08/13/20	Mystics	62	vs.	Sparks	81	+6.0	162.0	+19	U 143 -19.0
2020	ORtg: 81.0 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 81.0 Pace: 76.6
08/11/20	Mystics	48	vs.	Lynx	68	-1.5	160.5	+20	U 116 -44.5
2020	ORtg: 69.1 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 69.5			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 69.1 Pace: 69.5
08/09/20	Mystics	84	vs.	Fever	91	-4.5	168.5	+7	O 175 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 78.4
08/07/20	Mystics	66	vs.	Liberty	74	-16.5	167.0	+8	U 140 -27.0
2020	ORtg: 83.4 DRtg: 93.5 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 93.5 DRtg: 83.4 Pace: 79.2
08/05/20	Mystics	77	vs.	Aces	83	-2.5	177.0	+6	U 160 -17.0
2020	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 78.8
08/01/20	Mystics	86	vs.	Sky	88	-4.0	178.5	+2	U 174 -4.5
2020	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 86.4			ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 86.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		77.3	-	-	85.3	-1.9	166.4	+8.0 -9.9	U 162.6 -3.8
	ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 77.7

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/01/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Aces	-	+8.5	170.5	-	-
08/30/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+4.5	164.5	-	-
08/28/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-3.0	168.5	-	-
08/23/20	Mercury	88	vs.	Mystics	87	-4.5	167.0	-1	O 175 +8.0
2020	ORtg: 111.1 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 111.1 Pace: 79.2
08/21/20	Mercury	80	vs.	Lynx	90	-3.0	163.5	+10	O 170 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 78.4
08/19/20	Mercury	74	vs.	Sparks	83	+5.5	168.0	+9	U 157 -11.0
2020	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 80.7
08/16/20	Mercury	89	vs.	Wings	95	-9.0	164.5	+6	O 184 +19.5
2020	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 121.2 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 121.2 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 78.4
08/14/20	Mercury	96	vs.	Dream	80	-9.5	167.0	-16	O 176 +9.0
2020	ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 79.3
08/12/20	Mercury	71	vs.	Sky	89	+5.0	175.5	+18	U 160 -15.5
2020	ORtg: 94.0 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 94.0 Pace: 75.5
08/10/20	Mercury	91	vs.	Wings	79	-3.5	165.5	-12	O 170 +4.5
2020	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 80.4
08/08/20	Mercury	68	vs.	Storm	74	+5.0	166.5	+6	U 142 -24.5
2020	ORtg: 83.4 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 83.4 Pace: 81.5
08/06/20	Mercury	96	vs.	Sky	86	+3.0	176.5	-10	O 182 +5.5
2020	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 84.5			ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 84.5
08/04/20	Mercury	81	vs.	Dream	74	-6.5	177.5	-7	U 155 -22.5
2020	ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 89.5 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 89.5 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 82.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		83.4	-	-	83.7	-1.8	169.2	+0.3 -2.1	U 167.1 -2.1
	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 80.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mystics are 18.2% (2-9-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

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Mercury (Home)

The Mercury are 46.7% (7-8) against the spread

The Mercury are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 60% (9-6) to the over

The Mercury are 66.7% (6-3) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Mercury are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Mystics (Away)

The Mystics are 30.8% (4-9-1) against the spread

The Mystics are 50% (3-3) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 57.1% (8-6) to the under

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) to the under as a dog