WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 87 – 88
Washington Mystics / Phoenix Mercury Neutral site

Mystics: 4-8 (33.3%) | Market Rating: +1.98

Mercury: 6-7 (46.2%) | Market Rating: +0.87

Line: -4.5

Total: 167.0

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Injury Report WASNo report PHXNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/30/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Sun	-	+7.0	161.0	-	-
08/28/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+3.0	168.5	-	-
08/23/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+4.5	167.0	-	-
08/21/20	Mystics	92	vs.	Wings	101 OT	-2.0	161.5	+9	O 193 +31.5
2020	ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 76.9
08/19/20	Mystics	98	vs.	Dream	91	-7.0	160.0	-7	O 189 +29.0
2020	ORtg: 132.1 DRtg: 122.7 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 122.7 DRtg: 132.1 Pace: 74.2
08/15/20	Mystics	73	vs.	Aces	88	+9.0	162.0	+15	U 161 -1.0
2020	ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 78.1
08/13/20	Mystics	62	vs.	Sparks	81	+6.0	162.0	+19	U 143 -19.0
2020	ORtg: 81.0 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 81.0 Pace: 76.6
08/11/20	Mystics	48	vs.	Lynx	68	-1.5	160.5	+20	U 116 -44.5
2020	ORtg: 69.1 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 69.5			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 69.1 Pace: 69.5
08/09/20	Mystics	84	vs.	Fever	91	-4.5	168.5	+7	O 175 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 78.4
08/07/20	Mystics	66	vs.	Liberty	74	-16.5	167.0	+8	U 140 -27.0
2020	ORtg: 83.4 DRtg: 93.5 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 93.5 DRtg: 83.4 Pace: 79.2
08/05/20	Mystics	77	vs.	Aces	83	-2.5	177.0	+6	U 160 -17.0
2020	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 78.8
08/01/20	Mystics	86	vs.	Sky	88	-4.0	178.5	+2	U 174 -4.5
2020	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 86.4			ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 86.4
07/30/20	Mystics	89	vs.	Storm	71	+7.5	174.0	-18	U 160 -14.0
2020	ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 76.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		77.5	-	-	83.6	-1.6	167.1	+6.1 -7.7	U 161.1 -6.0
	ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 77.4

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/30/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+4.5	164.5	-	-
08/28/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-3.0	168.5	-	-
08/23/20 2020	Mercury	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-4.5	167.0	-	-
08/21/20	Mercury	80	vs.	Lynx	90	-3.0	163.5	+10	O 170 +6.5
2020	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 78.4
08/19/20	Mercury	74	vs.	Sparks	83	+5.5	168.0	+9	U 157 -11.0
2020	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 80.7
08/16/20	Mercury	89	vs.	Wings	95	-9.0	164.5	+6	O 184 +19.5
2020	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 121.2 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 121.2 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 78.4
08/14/20	Mercury	96	vs.	Dream	80	-9.5	167.0	-16	O 176 +9.0
2020	ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 79.3
08/12/20	Mercury	71	vs.	Sky	89	+5.0	175.5	+18	U 160 -15.5
2020	ORtg: 94.0 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 94.0 Pace: 75.5
08/10/20	Mercury	91	vs.	Wings	79	-3.5	165.5	-12	O 170 +4.5
2020	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 80.4
08/08/20	Mercury	68	vs.	Storm	74	+5.0	166.5	+6	U 142 -24.5
2020	ORtg: 83.4 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 83.4 Pace: 81.5
08/06/20	Mercury	96	vs.	Sky	86	+3.0	176.5	-10	O 182 +5.5
2020	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 84.5			ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 84.5
08/04/20	Mercury	81	vs.	Dream	74	-6.5	177.5	-7	U 155 -22.5
2020	ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 89.5 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 89.5 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 82.7
08/02/20	Mercury	96	vs.	Liberty	67	-11.0	169.5	-29	U 163 -6.5
2020	ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 79.9 Pace: 83.8			ORtg: 79.9 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 83.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.2	-	-	81.7	-2.4	169.4	-2.5 +0.1	U 165.9 -3.5
	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 80.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mercury are 75% (6-2) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

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Mercury (Home)

The Mercury are 42.9% (6-8) against the spread

The Mercury are 50% (4-4) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 64.3% (9-5) to the over

The Mercury are 75% (6-2) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 42.9% (6-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 64.3% (9-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Mercury are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Mystics (Away)

The Mystics are 33.3% (4-8-1) against the spread

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 53.8% (7-6) to the under

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) to the under as a dog

The Mystics are 33.3% (4-8-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the under

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/04/19	Mercury	103	vs.	Mystics	82	+7.5	160.0	-21	O 185 +25.0
2019	ORtg: 135.7 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 135.7 Pace: 75.9
07/30/19	Mercury	93	@	Mystics	99	+10.5	158.0	+6	O 192 +34.0
2019	ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 127.3 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 127.3 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 77.8
07/10/19	Mercury	91	@	Mystics	68	+8.0	157.0	-23	O 159 +2.0
2019	ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 93.7 Pace: 72.5			ORtg: 93.7 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 72.5

Mercury as Home (1 games)		103.0	-	-	82.0	+7.5	160.0	-21.0 +28.5	O 185.0 +25.0
	ORtg: 135.7 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 135.7 Pace: 75.9

All Games Avg (3 games)		95.7	-	-	83.0	+8.7	158.3	-12.7 +21.3	O 178.7 +20.3
	ORtg: 126.9 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 126.9 Pace: 75.4