WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 93 – 77
Indiana Fever / Atlanta Dream Neutral site

Fever: 1-2 (33.3%) | Market Rating: -1.95

Dream: 2-1 (66.7%) | Market Rating: -1.89

Line: -1.0

Total: 170.0

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Injury Report INDNo report ATLNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 4 for the Fever and game 4 for the Dream. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Fever after Sun, Aug 2, the Dream after Sun, Aug 2.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/07/20 2020	Fever	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+5.0	158.5	-	-
08/05/20 2020	Fever	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+8.0	163.5	-	-
08/02/20 2020	Fever	-	vs.	Dream	-	+1.0	170.0	-	-
07/31/20	Fever	73	vs.	Wings	76	+3.0	171.5	+3	U 149 -22.5
2020	ORtg: 97.0 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 97.0 Pace: 75.2
07/29/20	Fever	106	vs.	Mercury	100	+5.0	164.0	-6	O 206 +42.0
2020	ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 81.8
07/25/20	Fever	76	vs.	Mystics	101	-1.0	157.5	+25	O 177 +19.5
2020	ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 82.2
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/08/19	Fever	104	vs.	Sun	76	+3.5	160.5	-28	O 180 +19.5
2019	ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 82.8
09/06/19	Fever	86	@	Liberty	81	-2.0	163.5	-5	O 167 +3.5
2019	ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 95.0 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 95.0 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 85.3
09/01/19	Fever	73	@	Lynx	81	+9.5	158.0	+8	U 154 -4.0
2019	ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 76.5
08/29/19	Fever	83	vs.	Sparks	87	+5.5	148.0	+4	O 170 +22.0
2019	ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 79.4
08/27/19	Fever	86	vs.	Aces	71	+7.0	162.5	-15	U 157 -5.5
2019	ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 90.3 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 90.3 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 78.6
08/25/19	Fever	63	@	Storm	54	+10.0	152.0	-9	U 117 -35.0
2019	ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 77.1 Pace: 70.0			ORtg: 77.1 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 70.0
08/22/19	Fever	65	@	Sparks	98	+9.5	159.5	+33	O 163 +3.5
2019	ORtg: 75.9 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 85.6			ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 75.9 Pace: 85.6

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		85.0	-	-	92.3	+2.3	164.3	+7.3 -5.0	O 177.3 +13.0
	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 79.7

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/06/20 2020	Dream	-	vs.	Storm	-	+11.0	157.0	-	-
08/04/20 2020	Dream	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+6.5	177.5	-	-
08/02/20 2020	Dream	-	vs.	Fever	-	-1.0	170.0	-	-
07/31/20	Dream	84	vs.	Liberty	78	-4.5	169.0	-6	U 162 -7.0
2020	ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 94.7 Pace: 82.4			ORtg: 94.7 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 82.4
07/29/20	Dream	70	vs.	Aces	100	+7.5	175.0	+30	U 170 -5.0
2020	ORtg: 83.0 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 84.3			ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 83.0 Pace: 84.3
07/26/20	Dream	105	vs.	Wings	95	+5.5	154.5	-10	O 200 +45.5
2020	ORtg: 119.9 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 87.6			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 119.9 Pace: 87.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/08/19	Dream	63	vs.	Liberty	71	-3.0	161.0	+8	U 134 -27.0
2019	ORtg: 78.8 DRtg: 88.8 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 88.8 DRtg: 78.8 Pace: 79.9
09/05/19	Dream	78	vs.	Aces	74	+11.0	162.0	-4	U 152 -10.0
2019	ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 79.7
09/03/19	Dream	60	@	Sparks	70	+11.5	157.0	+10	U 130 -27.0
2019	ORtg: 79.4 DRtg: 92.6 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 92.6 DRtg: 79.4 Pace: 75.6
09/01/19	Dream	75	@	Storm	92	+8.5	149.0	+17	O 167 +18.0
2019	ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 74.3
08/29/19	Dream	58	vs.	Mercury	65	+4.5	154.5	+7	U 123 -31.5
2019	ORtg: 73.4 DRtg: 82.3 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 82.3 DRtg: 73.4 Pace: 79.0
08/25/19	Dream	77	@	Wings	73	+5.0	148.5	-4	O 150 +1.5
2019	ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 74.4
08/23/19	Dream	90	@	Liberty	87	+3.0	157.5	-3	O 177 +19.5
2019	ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 84.1			ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 84.1

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		86.3	-	-	91.0	+2.8	166.2	+4.7 -1.8	O 177.3 +11.2
	ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 84.8			ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 84.8

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

Notable trends will be listed here after game 5.

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Dream (Home)

The Dream are 50% (2-2) against the spread

The Dream are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1-1) to the under

The Dream are 100% (1-0-1) to the under as a fav

The Dream are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

Fever (Away)

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1-1) against the spread

The Fever are 100% (2-0-1) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1-1) to the over

The Fever are 50% (1-1-1) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 100% (2-0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 50% (1-1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/10/19	Dream	82	@	Fever	87	+5.5	151.0	+5	O 169 +18.0
2019	ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 79.3
07/31/19	Dream	59	@	Fever	61	+5.0	152.0	+2	U 120 -32.0
2019	ORtg: 71.8 DRtg: 74.2 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 74.2 DRtg: 71.8 Pace: 82.2
06/19/19	Dream	88	vs.	Fever	78	+1.0	150.5	-10	O 166 +15.5
2019	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 71.1			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 71.1

Dream as Home (1 games)		88.0	-	-	78.0	+1.0	150.5	-10.0 +11.0	O 166.0 +15.5
	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 71.1			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 71.1

All Games Avg (3 games)		76.3	-	-	75.3	+3.8	151.2	-1.0 +4.8	O 151.7 +0.5
	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 77.5