WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 71 – 89
Seattle Storm / Washington Mystics Neutral site

Storm: 2-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: +0.30

Mystics: 2-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: +3.33

Line: +7.5

Total: 174.0

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Injury Report SEANo report WASNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 3 for the Storm and game 3 for the Mystics. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Storm after Sat, Aug 1, the Mystics after Sat, Aug 1.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/04/20 2020	Storm	-	vs.	Sun	-	-10.5	156.0	-	-
08/01/20 2020	Storm	-	vs.	Sparks	-	-5.0	162.0	-	-
07/30/20 2020	Storm	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-7.5	174.0	-	-
07/28/20	Storm	90	vs.	Lynx	66	-9.0	156.0	-24	P 156 0.0
2020	ORtg: 125.6 DRtg: 92.1 Pace: 71.6			ORtg: 92.1 DRtg: 125.6 Pace: 71.6
07/25/20	Storm	87	vs.	Liberty	71	-14.5	154.0	-16	O 158 +4.0
2020	ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 81.4 Pace: 87.2			ORtg: 81.4 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 87.2
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/15/19	Storm	69	@	Sparks	92	+7.0	155.0	+23	O 161 +6.0
2019	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 74.8
09/11/19	Storm	84	vs.	Lynx	74	-2.0	150.0	-10	O 158 +8.0
2019	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 78.9
09/08/19	Storm	78	@	Wings	64	-4.5	151.0	-14	U 142 -9.0
2019	ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 83.2 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 83.2 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 76.9
09/05/19	Storm	68	@	Sparks	102	+6.5	154.0	+34	O 170 +16.0
2019	ORtg: 86.5 DRtg: 129.7 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 129.7 DRtg: 86.5 Pace: 78.6
09/03/19	Storm	82	@	Mercury	70	+5.5	153.5	-12	U 152 -1.5
2019	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 75.8
09/01/19	Storm	92	vs.	Dream	75	-8.5	149.0	-17	O 167 +18.0
2019	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 74.3
08/27/19	Storm	70	vs.	Sun	89	-2.0	150.0	+19	O 159 +9.0
2019	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 77.6
08/25/19	Storm	54	vs.	Fever	63	-10.0	152.0	+9	U 117 -35.0
2019	ORtg: 77.1 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 70.0			ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 77.1 Pace: 70.0

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		88.5	-	-	68.5	-11.8	155.0	-20.0 +8.3	O 157.0 +2.0
	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 86.8 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 86.8 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 79.4

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/05/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Aces	-	-2.5	177.0	-	-
08/01/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Sky	-	-4.0	178.5	-	-
07/30/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Storm	-	+7.5	174.0	-	-
07/28/20	Mystics	94	vs.	Sun	89	-3.5	167.0	-5	O 183 +16.0
2020	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 87.7			ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 87.7
07/25/20	Mystics	101	vs.	Fever	76	+1.0	157.5	-25	O 177 +19.5
2020	ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 82.2
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/10/19	Mystics	89	vs.	Sun	78	-6.5	174.5	-11	U 167 -7.5
2019	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 78.3
10/08/19	Mystics	86	@	Sun	90	+1.5	175.5	+4	O 176 +0.5
2019	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 77.7
10/06/19	Mystics	94	@	Sun	81	+2.5	172.5	-13	O 175 +2.5
2019	ORtg: 124.2 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 124.2 Pace: 75.7
10/01/19	Mystics	87	vs.	Sun	99	-8.0	172.0	+12	O 186 +14.0
2019	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 129.8 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 129.8 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 76.3
09/29/19	Mystics	95	vs.	Sun	86	-8.5	166.5	-9	O 181 +14.5
2019	ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 76.7
09/24/19	Mystics	94	@	Aces	90	-4.5	180.0	-4	O 184 +4.0
2019	ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 80.5
09/22/19	Mystics	75	@	Aces	92	-3.5	181.0	+17	U 167 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 81.3
09/19/19	Mystics	103	vs.	Aces	91	-10.0	178.5	-12	O 194 +15.5
2019	ORtg: 129.2 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 129.2 Pace: 79.7

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		97.5	-	-	82.5	-1.3	162.3	-15.0 +13.8	O 180.0 +17.8
	ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 97.0 Pace: 85.0			ORtg: 97.0 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 85.0

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 60% (27-18-1) against the spread

The Mystics are 66.7% (14-7-1) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 64.4% (29-16-1) to the over

The Mystics are 66.7% (14-7-1) to the over at home

The Mystics are 50% (4-4) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Storm (Away)

The Storm are 55.3% (21-17-1) against the spread

The Storm are 50% (9-9) against the spread away

The Storm are 57.9% (11-8-1) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Storm are 56.8% (21-16-2) to the under

The Storm are 64.7% (11-6-1) to the under away

The Storm are 52.6% (10-9-1) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 100% (3-0) to the under as an away fav

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 50% (1-1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 50% (1-1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/14/19	Mystics	88	vs.	Storm	59	-10.0	160.5	-29	U 147 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 82.8 Pace: 71.3			ORtg: 82.8 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 71.3
08/02/19	Mystics	99	@	Storm	79	-5.0	158.5	-20	O 178 +19.5
2019	ORtg: 129.2 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 129.2 Pace: 76.6
06/14/19	Mystics	71	vs.	Storm	74	-9.5	159.0	+3	U 145 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 94.8 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 94.8 Pace: 74.9

Mystics as Home (2 games)		79.5	-	-	66.5	-9.8	159.8	-13.0 +3.3	U 146.0 -13.8
	ORtg: 109.1 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 73.1			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 109.1 Pace: 73.1

All Games Avg (3 games)		86.0	-	-	70.7	-8.2	159.3	-15.3 +7.2	U 156.7 -2.7
	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 74.3