WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 89 – 94
Connecticut Sun / Washington Mystics Neutral site

Sun: 0-1 (0.0%)

Mystics: 1-0 (100.0%)

Line: -3.5

Total: 167.0

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Games
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Injury Report CONNo report WASNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 2 for the Sun and game 2 for the Mystics. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Sun after Sat, Aug 1, the Mystics after Sat, Aug 1.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/01/20 2020	Sun	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-4.0	156.0	-	-
07/30/20 2020	Sun	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+6.5	165.5	-	-
07/28/20 2020	Sun	-	vs.	Mystics	-	+3.5	167.0	-	-
07/26/20	Sun	69	vs.	Lynx	77	-2.5	156.0	+8	U 146 -10.0
2020	ORtg: 84.1 DRtg: 93.9 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 93.9 DRtg: 84.1 Pace: 82.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/10/19	Sun	78	@	Mystics	89	+6.5	174.5	+11	U 167 -7.5
2019	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 78.3
10/08/19	Sun	90	vs.	Mystics	86	-1.5	175.5	-4	O 176 +0.5
2019	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 77.7
10/06/19	Sun	81	vs.	Mystics	94	-2.5	172.5	+13	O 175 +2.5
2019	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 124.2 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 124.2 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 75.7
10/01/19	Sun	99	@	Mystics	87	+8.0	172.0	-12	O 186 +14.0
2019	ORtg: 129.8 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 129.8 Pace: 76.3
09/29/19	Sun	86	@	Mystics	95	+8.5	166.5	+9	O 181 +14.5
2019	ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 76.7
09/22/19	Sun	78	@	Sparks	56	+5.5	162.0	-22	U 134 -28.0
2019	ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 69.7 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 69.7 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 80.4
09/19/19	Sun	94	vs.	Sparks	68	-1.5	162.5	-26	U 162 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 121.5 DRtg: 87.9 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 87.9 DRtg: 121.5 Pace: 77.3
09/17/19	Sun	84	vs.	Sparks	75	-1.5	163.0	-9	U 159 -4.0
2019	ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 80.9
09/08/19	Sun	76	@	Fever	104	-3.5	160.5	+28	O 180 +19.5
2019	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 82.8

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		69.0	-	-	77.0	-2.5	156.0	+8.0 -10.5	U 146.0 -10.0
	ORtg: 84.1 DRtg: 93.9 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 93.9 DRtg: 84.1 Pace: 82.0

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/01/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Sky	-	-4.0	178.5	-	-
07/30/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Storm	-	+7.5	174.0	-	-
07/28/20 2020	Mystics	-	vs.	Sun	-	-3.5	167.0	-	-
07/25/20	Mystics	101	vs.	Fever	76	+1.0	157.5	-25	O 177 +19.5
2020	ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 82.2
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/10/19	Mystics	89	vs.	Sun	78	-6.5	174.5	-11	U 167 -7.5
2019	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 78.3
10/08/19	Mystics	86	@	Sun	90	+1.5	175.5	+4	O 176 +0.5
2019	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 77.7
10/06/19	Mystics	94	@	Sun	81	+2.5	172.5	-13	O 175 +2.5
2019	ORtg: 124.2 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 124.2 Pace: 75.7
10/01/19	Mystics	87	vs.	Sun	99	-8.0	172.0	+12	O 186 +14.0
2019	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 129.8 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 129.8 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 76.3
09/29/19	Mystics	95	vs.	Sun	86	-8.5	166.5	-9	O 181 +14.5
2019	ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 76.7
09/24/19	Mystics	94	@	Aces	90	-4.5	180.0	-4	O 184 +4.0
2019	ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 80.5
09/22/19	Mystics	75	@	Aces	92	-3.5	181.0	+17	U 167 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 81.3
09/19/19	Mystics	103	vs.	Aces	91	-10.0	178.5	-12	O 194 +15.5
2019	ORtg: 129.2 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 129.2 Pace: 79.7
09/17/19	Mystics	97	vs.	Aces	95	-10.0	173.5	-2	O 192 +18.5
2019	ORtg: 122.6 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 122.6 Pace: 79.1

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		101.0	-	-	76.0	+1.0	157.5	-25.0 +26.0	O 177.0 +19.5
	ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 82.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 59.1% (26-18-1) against the spread

The Mystics are 66.7% (14-7-1) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 59.5% (22-15-1) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (14-7-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 65.9% (29-15-1) to the over

The Mystics are 66.7% (14-7-1) to the over at home

The Mystics are 67.6% (25-12-1) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (14-7-1) to the over as a home fav

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 44.2% (19-24-1) against the spread

The Sun are 35% (7-13-1) against the spread away

The Sun are 40% (4-6) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 51.2% (22-21-1) to the over

The Sun are 50% (10-10-1) to the over away

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4-1) to the over as a dog

The Sun are 50% (4-4-1) to the over as an away dog

The Sun are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Sun are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/10/19	Mystics	89	vs.	Sun	78	-6.5	174.5	-11	U 167 -7.5
2019	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 78.3
10/08/19	Mystics	86	@	Sun	90	+1.5	175.5	+4	O 176 +0.5
2019	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 77.7
10/06/19	Mystics	94	@	Sun	81	+2.5	172.5	-13	O 175 +2.5
2019	ORtg: 124.2 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 124.2 Pace: 75.7
10/01/19	Mystics	87	vs.	Sun	99	-8.0	172.0	+12	O 186 +14.0
2019	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 129.8 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 129.8 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 76.3
09/29/19	Mystics	95	vs.	Sun	86	-8.5	166.5	-9	O 181 +14.5
2019	ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 76.7
06/29/19	Mystics	102	vs.	Sun	59	-7.5	161.0	-43	P 161 0.0
2019	ORtg: 131.3 DRtg: 75.9 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 75.9 DRtg: 131.3 Pace: 77.7
06/11/19	Mystics	75	@	Sun	83	+3.0	166.0	+8	U 158 -8.0
2019	ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 78.1
05/25/19	Mystics	69	@	Sun	84	+6.0	166.5	+15	U 153 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 90.4 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 90.4 Pace: 76.3

Mystics as Home (4 games)		93.3	-	-	80.5	-7.6	168.5	-12.8 +5.1	O 173.8 +5.3
	ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 77.2

All Games Avg (8 games)		87.1	-	-	82.5	-2.2	169.3	-4.6 +2.4	O 169.6 +0.3
	ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 77.1