WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 87 – 71
Seattle Storm / New York Liberty Neutral site

Storm: 0-0 (0.0%)

Liberty: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: +14.5

Total: 154.0

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 1 for the Storm and game 1 for the Liberty. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Storm after Sat, Aug 1, the Liberty after Sun, Aug 2.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/30/20 2020	Storm	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-7.5	174.0	-	-
07/28/20 2020	Storm	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-9.0	156.0	-	-
07/25/20 2020	Storm	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-14.5	154.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/15/19	Storm	69	@	Sparks	92	+7.0	155.0	+23	O 161 +6.0
2019	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 74.8
09/11/19	Storm	84	vs.	Lynx	74	-2.0	150.0	-10	O 158 +8.0
2019	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 78.9
09/08/19	Storm	78	@	Wings	64	-4.5	151.0	-14	U 142 -9.0
2019	ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 83.2 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 83.2 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 76.9
09/05/19	Storm	68	@	Sparks	102	+6.5	154.0	+34	O 170 +16.0
2019	ORtg: 86.5 DRtg: 129.7 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 129.7 DRtg: 86.5 Pace: 78.6
09/03/19	Storm	82	@	Mercury	70	+5.5	153.5	-12	U 152 -1.5
2019	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 75.8
09/01/19	Storm	92	vs.	Dream	75	-8.5	149.0	-17	O 167 +18.0
2019	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 74.3
08/27/19	Storm	70	vs.	Sun	89	-2.0	150.0	+19	O 159 +9.0
2019	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 77.6
08/25/19	Storm	54	vs.	Fever	63	-10.0	152.0	+9	U 117 -35.0
2019	ORtg: 77.1 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 70.0			ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 77.1 Pace: 70.0
08/18/19	Storm	82	vs.	Lynx	74	-2.5	150.0	-8	O 156 +6.0
2019	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 70.7			ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 70.7
08/16/19	Storm	78	@	Sun	79	+6.5	150.5	+1	O 157 +6.5
2019	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 84.6

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/31/20 2020	Liberty	-	vs.	Dream	-	+4.5	169.0	-	-
07/29/20 2020	Liberty	-	vs.	Wings	-	+5.0	165.5	-	-
07/25/20 2020	Liberty	-	vs.	Storm	-	+14.5	154.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/08/19	Liberty	71	@	Dream	63	+3.0	161.0	-8	U 134 -27.0
2019	ORtg: 88.8 DRtg: 78.8 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 78.8 DRtg: 88.8 Pace: 79.9
09/06/19	Liberty	81	vs.	Fever	86	+2.0	163.5	+5	O 167 +3.5
2019	ORtg: 95.0 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 95.0 Pace: 85.3
09/03/19	Liberty	77	vs.	Mystics	93	+15.0	172.5	+16	U 170 -2.5
2019	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 78.3
08/30/19	Liberty	84	vs.	Sun	94	+10.0	163.0	+10	O 178 +15.0
2019	ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 79.1
08/27/19	Liberty	82	vs.	Mercury	95	+6.0	159.5	+13	O 177 +17.5
2019	ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 125.9 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 125.9 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 75.5
08/25/19	Liberty	72	@	Mystics	101	+15.5	171.0	+29	O 173 +2.0
2019	ORtg: 90.7 DRtg: 127.3 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 127.3 DRtg: 90.7 Pace: 79.3
08/23/19	Liberty	87	vs.	Dream	90	-3.0	157.5	+3	O 177 +19.5
2019	ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 84.1			ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 84.1
08/20/19	Liberty	82	@	Fever	76	+5.0	158.0	-6	P 158 0.0
2019	ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 76.9
08/18/19	Liberty	72	@	Mercury	78	+5.5	156.5	+6	U 150 -6.5
2019	ORtg: 93.6 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 93.6 Pace: 76.9
08/16/19	Liberty	77	@	Wings	83	+5.0	153.0	+6	O 160 +7.0
2019	ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 70.4			ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 70.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Liberty are 26.7% (4-11-2) against the spread at home

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Liberty (Home)

The Liberty are 33.3% (11-22-2) against the spread

The Liberty are 26.7% (4-11-2) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 37.9% (11-18-2) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 36.4% (4-7-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 57.6% (19-14-2) to the over

The Liberty are 58.8% (10-7) to the over at home

The Liberty are 55.2% (16-13-2) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 53.8% (7-6) to the over as a home dog

The Liberty are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Storm (Away)

The Storm are 55.6% (20-16-1) against the spread

The Storm are 50% (9-9) against the spread away

The Storm are 58.8% (10-7-1) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Storm are 55.6% (20-16-1) to the under

The Storm are 64.7% (11-6-1) to the under away

The Storm are 50% (9-9) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 100% (3-0) to the under as an away fav

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/11/19	Liberty	69	vs.	Storm	84	+4.0	154.5	+15	U 153 -1.5
2019	ORtg: 95.1 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 72.6			ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 95.1 Pace: 72.6
07/14/19	Liberty	69	@	Storm	78	+5.5	154.0	+9	U 147 -7.0
2019	ORtg: 91.8 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 91.8 Pace: 75.1
07/03/19	Liberty	84	@	Storm	83	+6.5	153.5	-1	O 167 +13.5
2019	ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 79.2

Liberty as Home (1 games)		69.0	-	-	84.0	+4.0	154.5	+15.0 -11.0	U 153.0 -1.5
	ORtg: 95.1 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 72.6			ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 95.1 Pace: 72.6

All Games Avg (3 games)		74.0	-	-	81.7	+5.3	154.0	+7.7 -2.3	O 155.7 +1.7
	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 75.6