WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 82 – 70
Seattle Storm @ Phoenix Mercury

Storm: 16-15 (51.6%)

Mercury: 15-16 (48.4%)

Line: -5.5

Total: 153.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/08/19 2019	Storm	-	@	Wings	-	-4.5	151.0	-	-
09/05/19 2019	Storm	-	@	Sparks	-	+6.5	154.0	-	-
09/03/19 2019	Storm	-	@	Mercury	-	+5.5	153.5	-	-
09/01/19	Storm	92	vs.	Dream	75	-8.5	149.0	-17	O 167 +18.0
2019	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 74.3
08/27/19	Storm	70	vs.	Sun	89	-2.0	150.0	+19	O 159 +9.0
2019	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 77.6
08/25/19	Storm	54	vs.	Fever	63	-10.0	152.0	+9	U 117 -35.0
2019	ORtg: 77.1 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 70.0			ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 77.1 Pace: 70.0
08/18/19	Storm	82	vs.	Lynx	74	-2.5	150.0	-8	O 156 +6.0
2019	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 70.7			ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 70.7
08/16/19	Storm	78	@	Sun	79	+6.5	150.5	+1	O 157 +6.5
2019	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 84.6
08/14/19	Storm	59	@	Mystics	88	+10.0	160.5	+29	U 147 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 82.8 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 71.3			ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 82.8 Pace: 71.3
08/11/19	Storm	84	@	Liberty	69	-4.0	154.5	-15	U 153 -1.5
2019	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 95.1 Pace: 72.6			ORtg: 95.1 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 72.6
08/08/19	Storm	69	vs.	Wings	57	-9.0	146.0	-12	U 126 -20.0
2019	ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 84.3 Pace: 67.6			ORtg: 84.3 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 67.6
08/04/19	Storm	75	@	Sparks	83	+4.5	148.0	+8	O 158 +10.0
2019	ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 79.1
08/02/19	Storm	79	vs.	Mystics	99	+5.0	158.5	+20	O 178 +19.5
2019	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 129.2 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 129.2 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 76.6

Away Games Avg (4 games)		74.0	-	-	79.8	+4.3	153.4	+5.8 -1.5	O 153.8 +0.4
	ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 76.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		74.2	-	-	77.6	-1.0	151.9	+3.4 -4.4	U 151.8 -0.1
	ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 74.4

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/08/19 2019	Mercury	-	vs.	Aces	-	+3.5	162.0	-	-
09/06/19 2019	Mercury	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-2.0	156.5	-	-
09/03/19 2019	Mercury	-	vs.	Storm	-	-5.5	153.5	-	-
09/01/19	Mercury	78	@	Sky	105	+3.5	169.0	+27	O 183 +14.0
2019	ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 133.9 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 133.9 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 78.4
08/29/19	Mercury	65	@	Dream	58	-4.5	154.5	-7	U 123 -31.5
2019	ORtg: 82.3 DRtg: 73.4 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 73.4 DRtg: 82.3 Pace: 79.0
08/27/19	Mercury	95	@	Liberty	82	-6.0	159.5	-13	O 177 +17.5
2019	ORtg: 125.9 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 125.9 Pace: 75.5
08/25/19	Mercury	86	vs.	Sky	94	-4.0	167.0	+8	O 180 +13.0
2019	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 82.6
08/20/19	Mercury	79	@	Aces	84 OT	+8.5	159.0	+5	O 163 +4.0
2019	ORtg: 87.2 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 87.2 Pace: 82.0
08/18/19	Mercury	78	vs.	Liberty	72	-5.5	156.5	-6	U 150 -6.5
2019	ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 93.6 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 93.6 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 76.9
08/16/19	Mercury	77	vs.	Dream	68	-4.5	148.5	-9	U 145 -3.5
2019	ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 72.8			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 72.8
08/14/19	Mercury	71	vs.	Sun	78	+6.5	151.0	+7	U 149 -2.0
2019	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 77.4
08/10/19	Mercury	77	vs.	Wings	80	-8.5	145.5	+3	O 157 +11.5
2019	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 72.2			ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 72.2
08/08/19	Mercury	74	@	Sparks	84	+6.0	152.5	+10	O 158 +5.5
2019	ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 74.5			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 74.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		77.8	-	-	78.4	-3.2	153.7	+0.6 -3.8	O 156.2 +2.5
	ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 76.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		78.0	-	-	80.5	-0.9	156.3	+2.5 -3.4	O 158.5 +2.2
	ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 77.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Storm are 71.4% (10-4-1) to the under away

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Mercury (Home)

The Mercury are 51.6% (16-15-1) against the spread

The Mercury are 46.7% (7-8) against the spread at home

The Mercury are 44.4% (8-10) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 36.4% (4-7) against the spread as a home fav

The Mercury are 56.3% (18-14) to the under

The Mercury are 53.3% (8-7) to the under at home

The Mercury are 66.7% (12-6) to the under as a fav

The Mercury are 63.6% (7-4) to the under as a home fav

The Mercury are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mercury are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mercury are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Mercury are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Mercury are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Mercury are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Storm (Away)

The Storm are 54.8% (17-14-1) against the spread

The Storm are 53.3% (8-7) against the spread away

The Storm are 58.8% (10-7) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread as an away dog

The Storm are 61.3% (19-12-1) to the under

The Storm are 71.4% (10-4-1) to the under away

The Storm are 68.8% (11-5-1) to the under as a dog

The Storm are 66.7% (8-4-1) to the under as an away dog

The Storm are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Storm are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Storm are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under away

The Storm are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Storm are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/30/19	Mercury	69	@	Storm	67	+1.0	149.5	-2	U 136 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 72.3			ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 72.3
05/25/19	Mercury	68	@	Storm	77	-3.5	158.5	+9	U 145 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 75.4
09/04/18	Mercury	84	@	Storm	94	+5.0	170.5	+10	O 178 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 74.6
09/02/18	Mercury	86	vs.	Storm	84	-3.0	170.5	-2	U 170 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 79.9
08/31/18	Mercury	86	vs.	Storm	66	-2.0	172.0	-20	U 152 -20.0
2018	ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 81.8
08/28/18	Mercury	87	@	Storm	91 OT	+5.0	178.0	+4	P 178 0.0
2018	ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 74.7
08/26/18	Mercury	87	@	Storm	91	+6.0	175.5	+4	O 178 +2.5
2018	ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2
07/31/18	Mercury	91	vs.	Storm	102	+3.5	170.5	+11	O 193 +22.5
2018	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 124.2 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 124.2 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 82.1
05/23/18	Mercury	71	vs.	Storm	87	-5.5	156.5	+16	O 158 +1.5
2018	ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 75.2
05/20/18	Mercury	87	@	Storm	82	+2.5	155.5	-5	O 169 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 76.7

Mercury as Home (4 games)		83.5	-	-	84.8	-1.8	167.4	+1.3 -3.0	O 168.3 +0.9
	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 79.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		81.6	-	-	84.1	+0.9	165.7	+2.5 -1.6	P 165.7 0.0
	ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 76.8