WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 94 – 84
Connecticut Sun @ New York Liberty

Sun: 21-9 (70.0%)

Liberty: 9-21 (30.0%)

Line: +10.0

Total: 163.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/06/19 2019	Sun	-	vs.	Sky	-	-5.5	174.0	-	-
09/04/19 2019	Sun	-	vs.	Wings	-	-10.5	154.0	-	-
08/30/19 2019	Sun	-	@	Liberty	-	-10.0	163.0	-	-
08/27/19	Sun	89	@	Storm	70	+2.0	150.0	-19	O 159 +9.0
2019	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6
08/25/19	Sun	72	@	Sparks	84	+4.5	156.5	+12	U 156 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 77.2
08/23/19	Sun	89	vs.	Aces	85	-1.5	163.5	-4	O 174 +10.5
2019	ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 83.3			ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 83.3
08/18/19	Sun	78	vs.	Wings	68	-11.0	149.5	-10	U 146 -3.5
2019	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 71.0
08/16/19	Sun	79	vs.	Storm	78	-6.5	150.5	-1	O 157 +6.5
2019	ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 84.6
08/14/19	Sun	78	@	Mercury	71	-6.5	151.0	-7	U 149 -2.0
2019	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4
08/11/19	Sun	81	@	Aces	89	+2.5	159.5	+8	O 170 +10.5
2019	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 79.8
08/09/19	Sun	57	@	Lynx	89	-3.0	155.0	+32	U 146 -9.0
2019	ORtg: 70.1 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 70.1 Pace: 81.3
08/04/19	Sun	94	@	Liberty	79	-5.5	158.0	-15	O 173 +15.0
2019	ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 80.7
08/01/19	Sun	68	vs.	Mercury	62	-7.0	154.0	-6	U 130 -24.0
2019	ORtg: 88.6 DRtg: 80.8 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 80.8 DRtg: 88.6 Pace: 76.8

Away Games Avg (6 games)		78.5	-	-	80.3	-1.0	155.0	+1.8 -2.8	O 158.8 +3.8
	ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 79.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		78.5	-	-	77.5	-3.2	154.8	-1.0 -2.2	O 156.0 +1.3
	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 79.0

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/06/19 2019	Liberty	-	vs.	Fever	-	+2.0	163.5	-	-
09/03/19 2019	Liberty	-	vs.	Mystics	-	+15.0	172.5	-	-
08/30/19 2019	Liberty	-	vs.	Sun	-	+10.0	163.0	-	-
08/27/19	Liberty	82	vs.	Mercury	95	+6.0	159.5	+13	O 177 +17.5
2019	ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 125.9 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 125.9 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 75.5
08/25/19	Liberty	72	@	Mystics	101	+15.5	171.0	+29	O 173 +2.0
2019	ORtg: 90.7 DRtg: 127.3 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 127.3 DRtg: 90.7 Pace: 79.3
08/23/19	Liberty	87	vs.	Dream	90	-3.0	157.5	+3	O 177 +19.5
2019	ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 84.1			ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 84.1
08/20/19	Liberty	82	@	Fever	76	+5.0	158.0	-6	P 158 0.0
2019	ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 76.9
08/18/19	Liberty	72	@	Mercury	78	+5.5	156.5	+6	U 150 -6.5
2019	ORtg: 93.6 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 93.6 Pace: 76.9
08/16/19	Liberty	77	@	Wings	83	+5.0	153.0	+6	O 160 +7.0
2019	ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 70.4			ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 70.4
08/13/19	Liberty	73	vs.	Lynx	89	+6.5	157.0	+16	O 162 +5.0
2019	ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 79.9
08/11/19	Liberty	69	vs.	Storm	84	+4.0	154.5	+15	U 153 -1.5
2019	ORtg: 95.1 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 72.6			ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 95.1 Pace: 72.6
08/07/19	Liberty	92	@	Sky	101	+7.5	164.5	+9	O 193 +28.5
2019	ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 118.4 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 118.4 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 85.3
08/04/19	Liberty	79	vs.	Sun	94	+5.5	158.0	+15	O 173 +15.0
2019	ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 80.7

Home Games Avg (5 games)		78.0	-	-	90.4	+3.8	157.3	+12.4 -8.6	O 168.4 +11.1
	ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 78.6

All Games Avg (10 games)		78.5	-	-	89.1	+5.8	159.0	+10.6 -4.9	O 167.6 +8.7
	ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 78.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Liberty are 9.1% (1-10-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 0% (0-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 10% (1-9-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 0% (0-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 80% (8-2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Liberty are 77.8% (7-2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

The Sun are 30% (3-7-1) against the spread as an away fav

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Liberty (Home)

The Liberty are 34.5% (10-19-2) against the spread

The Liberty are 30.8% (4-9-2) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 40% (10-15-2) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 44.4% (4-5-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 58.6% (17-12-2) to the over

The Liberty are 60% (9-6) to the over at home

The Liberty are 56% (14-11-2) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 54.5% (6-5) to the over as a home dog

The Liberty are 9.1% (1-10-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 0% (0-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 10% (1-9-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 0% (0-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 80% (8-2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Liberty are 77.8% (7-2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 43.3% (13-17-1) against the spread

The Sun are 33.3% (5-10-1) against the spread away

The Sun are 44% (11-14-1) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 30% (3-7-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Sun are 53.3% (16-14-1) to the under

The Sun are 53.3% (8-7-1) to the under away

The Sun are 53.8% (14-12) to the under as a fav

The Sun are 54.5% (6-5) to the under as an away fav

The Sun are 40% (4-6-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 50% (3-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sun are 42.9% (3-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Sun are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sun are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/04/19	Liberty	79	vs.	Sun	94	+5.5	158.0	+15	O 173 +15.0
2019	ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 80.7
07/24/19	Liberty	63	@	Sun	70	+9.5	161.0	+7	U 133 -28.0
2019	ORtg: 81.8 DRtg: 90.9 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 90.9 DRtg: 81.8 Pace: 77.0
08/01/18	Liberty	77	@	Sun	92	+12.0	166.0	+15	O 169 +3.0
2018	ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 79.8
07/11/18	Liberty	79	@	Sun	76	+9.0	164.5	-3	U 155 -9.5
2018	ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 80.1
06/07/18	Liberty	86	vs.	Sun	88	+5.5	165.5	+2	O 174 +8.5
2018	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 80.8

Liberty as Home (2 games)		82.5	-	-	91.0	+5.5	161.8	+8.5 -3.0	O 173.5 +11.8
	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 80.8

All Games Avg (5 games)		76.8	-	-	84.0	+8.3	163.0	+7.2 +1.1	U 160.8 -2.2
	ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 79.7