WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 89 – 70
Connecticut Sun @ Seattle Storm

Sun: 20-9 (69.0%)

Storm: 15-14 (51.7%)

Line: -2.0

Total: 150.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/04/19 2019	Sun	-	vs.	Wings	-	-10.5	154.0	-	-
08/30/19 2019	Sun	-	@	Liberty	-	-10.0	163.0	-	-
08/27/19 2019	Sun	-	@	Storm	-	+2.0	150.0	-	-
08/25/19	Sun	72	@	Sparks	84	+4.5	156.5	+12	U 156 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 93.3 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 93.3 Pace: 77.2
08/23/19	Sun	89	vs.	Aces	85	-1.5	163.5	-4	O 174 +10.5
2019	ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 83.3			ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 83.3
08/18/19	Sun	78	vs.	Wings	68	-11.0	149.5	-10	U 146 -3.5
2019	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 71.0
08/16/19	Sun	79	vs.	Storm	78	-6.5	150.5	-1	O 157 +6.5
2019	ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 84.6
08/14/19	Sun	78	@	Mercury	71	-6.5	151.0	-7	U 149 -2.0
2019	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4
08/11/19	Sun	81	@	Aces	89	+2.5	159.5	+8	O 170 +10.5
2019	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 79.8
08/09/19	Sun	57	@	Lynx	89	-3.0	155.0	+32	U 146 -9.0
2019	ORtg: 70.1 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 70.1 Pace: 81.3
08/04/19	Sun	94	@	Liberty	79	-5.5	158.0	-15	O 173 +15.0
2019	ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 80.7
08/01/19	Sun	68	vs.	Mercury	62	-7.0	154.0	-6	U 130 -24.0
2019	ORtg: 88.6 DRtg: 80.8 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 80.8 DRtg: 88.6 Pace: 76.8
07/30/19	Sun	100	vs.	Sky	94	-7.0	161.0	-6	O 194 +33.0
2019	ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 86.4			ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 86.4

Away Games Avg (5 games)		76.4	-	-	82.4	-1.6	156.0	+6.0 -7.6	O 158.8 +2.8
	ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 79.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.6	-	-	79.9	-4.1	155.9	+0.3 -4.4	O 159.5 +3.7
	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 79.9

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/03/19 2019	Storm	-	@	Mercury	-	+5.5	153.5	-	-
09/01/19 2019	Storm	-	vs.	Dream	-	-8.5	149.0	-	-
08/27/19 2019	Storm	-	vs.	Sun	-	-2.0	150.0	-	-
08/25/19	Storm	54	vs.	Fever	63	-10.0	152.0	+9	U 117 -35.0
2019	ORtg: 77.1 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 70.0			ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 77.1 Pace: 70.0
08/18/19	Storm	82	vs.	Lynx	74	-2.5	150.0	-8	O 156 +6.0
2019	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 70.7			ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 70.7
08/16/19	Storm	78	@	Sun	79	+6.5	150.5	+1	O 157 +6.5
2019	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 84.6
08/14/19	Storm	59	@	Mystics	88	+10.0	160.5	+29	U 147 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 82.8 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 71.3			ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 82.8 Pace: 71.3
08/11/19	Storm	84	@	Liberty	69	-4.0	154.5	-15	U 153 -1.5
2019	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 95.1 Pace: 72.6			ORtg: 95.1 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 72.6
08/08/19	Storm	69	vs.	Wings	57	-9.0	146.0	-12	U 126 -20.0
2019	ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 84.3 Pace: 67.6			ORtg: 84.3 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 67.6
08/04/19	Storm	75	@	Sparks	83	+4.5	148.0	+8	O 158 +10.0
2019	ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 79.1
08/02/19	Storm	79	vs.	Mystics	99	+5.0	158.5	+20	O 178 +19.5
2019	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 129.2 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 129.2 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 76.6
07/23/19	Storm	62	@	Aces	79	+5.0	153.5	+17	U 141 -12.5
2019	ORtg: 87.4 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 70.9			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 87.4 Pace: 70.9
07/19/19	Storm	69	vs.	Aces	66	+1.5	157.0	-3	U 135 -22.0
2019	ORtg: 84.0 DRtg: 80.3 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 80.3 DRtg: 84.0 Pace: 82.2

Home Games Avg (5 games)		70.6	-	-	71.8	-3.0	152.7	+1.2 -4.2	U 142.4 -10.3
	ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 73.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		71.1	-	-	75.7	+0.7	153.1	+4.6 -3.9	U 146.8 -6.3
	ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 74.6

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Records

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Notable Trends

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 51.7% (15-14-1) against the spread

The Storm are 53.3% (8-7-1) against the spread at home

The Storm are 46.2% (6-7-1) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 45.5% (5-6-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 62.1% (18-11-1) to the under

The Storm are 56.3% (9-7) to the under at home

The Storm are 57.1% (8-6) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 50% (6-6) to the over as a home fav

The Storm are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Storm are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 43.3% (13-17) against the spread

The Sun are 33.3% (5-10) against the spread away

The Sun are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 40% (2-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 55.2% (16-13-1) to the under

The Sun are 57.1% (8-6-1) to the under away

The Sun are 50% (2-2-1) to the over as a dog

The Sun are 50% (2-2-1) to the over as an away dog

The Sun are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sun are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Sun are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/16/19	Storm	78	@	Sun	79	+6.5	150.5	+1	O 157 +6.5
2019	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 84.6
06/16/19	Storm	67	@	Sun	81	+9.0	155.5	+14	U 148 -7.5
2019	ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 72.0			ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 72.0
07/20/18	Storm	78	@	Sun	65	+2.5	176.0	-13	U 143 -33.0
2018	ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 85.8 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 85.8 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 75.8
07/01/18	Storm	84	vs.	Sun	70	-5.5	175.5	-14	U 154 -21.5
2018	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 75.8
06/15/18	Storm	103	vs.	Sun	92	-1.0	175.5	-11	O 195 +19.5
2018	ORtg: 130.3 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 130.3 Pace: 79.1

Storm as Home (2 games)		93.5	-	-	81.0	-3.3	175.5	-12.5 +9.3	U 174.5 -1.0
	ORtg: 120.5 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 120.5 Pace: 77.4

All Games Avg (5 games)		82.0	-	-	77.4	+2.3	166.6	-4.6 +6.9	U 159.4 -7.2
	ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 77.5