WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 65 – 93
Atlanta Dream @ Washington Mystics

Dream: 5-13 (27.8%)

Mystics: 10-6 (62.5%)

Line: -13.0

Total: 159.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/31/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Fever	-	+5.0	152.0	-	-
07/23/19 2019	Dream	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+1.0	148.0	-	-
07/21/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Mystics	-	+13.0	159.0	-	-
07/19/19	Dream	69	@	Sun	98	+9.0	150.0	+29	O 167 +17.0
2019	ORtg: 89.9 DRtg: 127.7 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 127.7 DRtg: 89.9 Pace: 76.7
07/17/19	Dream	76	@	Sky	77	+6.5	153.0	+1	P 153 0.0
2019	ORtg: 90.9 DRtg: 92.1 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 92.1 DRtg: 90.9 Pace: 83.6
07/14/19	Dream	71	vs.	Sparks	76 OT	+4.5	152.5	+5	U 147 -5.5
2019	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 70.1			ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 70.1
07/12/19	Dream	60	vs.	Lynx	53	+2.5	150.0	-7	U 113 -37.0
2019	ORtg: 88.7 DRtg: 78.4 Pace: 67.6			ORtg: 78.4 DRtg: 88.7 Pace: 67.6
07/10/19	Dream	78	vs.	Sun	75	+5.0	152.0	-3	O 153 +1.0
2019	ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 77.3
07/07/19	Dream	63	@	Mercury	65	+7.5	153.0	+2	U 128 -25.0
2019	ORtg: 85.1 DRtg: 87.8 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 87.8 DRtg: 85.1 Pace: 74.0
07/05/19	Dream	77	@	Storm	66	+8.0	146.5	-11	U 143 -3.5
2019	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 86.8 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 86.8 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 76.1
07/02/19	Dream	68	@	Lynx	85	+7.5	151.0	+17	O 153 +2.0
2019	ORtg: 89.2 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 89.2 Pace: 76.2
06/30/19	Dream	58	vs.	Liberty	74	-4.0	159.5	+16	U 132 -27.5
2019	ORtg: 72.9 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 72.9 Pace: 79.5
06/23/19	Dream	73	vs.	Mystics	89	+9.5	156.5	+16	O 162 +5.5
2019	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 73.0

Away Games Avg (5 games)		70.6	-	-	78.2	+7.7	150.7	+7.6 +0.1	U 148.8 -1.9
	ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 77.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		69.3	-	-	75.8	+5.6	152.4	+6.5 -0.9	U 145.1 -7.3
	ORtg: 91.1 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 91.1 Pace: 75.4

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/30/19 2019	Mystics	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-10.5	158.0	-	-
07/24/19 2019	Mystics	-	@	Lynx	-	-5.5	160.0	-	-
07/21/19 2019	Mystics	-	vs.	Dream	-	-13.0	159.0	-	-
07/19/19	Mystics	95	@	Fever	88 OT	-8.0	160.5	-7	O 183 +22.5
2019	ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 74.7
07/13/19	Mystics	81	vs.	Aces	85	-5.0	163.5	+4	O 166 +2.5
2019	ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 80.2
07/10/19	Mystics	68	vs.	Mercury	91	-8.0	157.0	+23	O 159 +2.0
2019	ORtg: 93.7 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 72.5			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 93.7 Pace: 72.5
07/07/19	Mystics	81	@	Sparks	98	-5.0	161.5	+17	O 179 +17.5
2019	ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 78.7
06/29/19	Mystics	102	vs.	Sun	59	-7.5	161.0	-43	P 161 0.0
2019	ORtg: 131.3 DRtg: 75.9 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 75.9 DRtg: 131.3 Pace: 77.7
06/26/19	Mystics	81	@	Sky	74	-6.5	165.0	-7	U 155 -10.0
2019	ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 82.2
06/23/19	Mystics	89	@	Dream	73	-9.5	156.5	-16	O 162 +5.5
2019	ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 73.0
06/20/19	Mystics	95	@	Aces	72	+3.5	166.5	-23	O 167 +0.5
2019	ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 79.5
06/18/19	Mystics	81	@	Sparks	52	+1.5	165.5	-29	U 133 -32.5
2019	ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 62.8 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 62.8 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 82.8
06/14/19	Mystics	71	vs.	Storm	74	-9.5	159.0	+3	U 145 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 94.8 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 94.8 Pace: 74.9

Home Games Avg (4 games)		80.5	-	-	77.3	-7.5	160.1	-3.3 -4.3	U 157.8 -2.4
	ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 76.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.4	-	-	76.6	-5.4	161.6	-7.8 +2.4	U 161.0 -0.6
	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 77.6

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mystics are 71.4% (5-2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 71.4% (5-2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 52.9% (9-8) against the spread

The Mystics are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 56.3% (9-7-1) to the over

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3-1) to the over at home

The Mystics are 66.7% (8-4-1) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3-1) to the over as a home fav

The Mystics are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 71.4% (5-2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mystics are 71.4% (5-2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Dream (Away)

The Dream are 42.1% (8-11) against the spread

The Dream are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread away

The Dream are 53.3% (8-7) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 50% (4-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 61.1% (11-7-1) to the under

The Dream are 50% (4-4-1) to the over away

The Dream are 50% (7-7-1) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 57.1% (4-3-1) to the over as an away dog

The Dream are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Dream are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 54.5% (6-5-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 50% (3-3-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Dream are 50% (5-5-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 50% (3-3-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/23/19	Mystics	89	@	Dream	73	-9.5	156.5	-16	O 162 +5.5
2019	ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 73.0
06/01/19	Mystics	96	vs.	Dream	75	-8.5	158.5	-21	O 171 +12.5
2019	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0
09/04/18	Mystics	86	@	Dream	81	-4.0	159.0	-5	O 167 +8.0
2018	ORtg: 120.8 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 71.2			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 120.8 Pace: 71.2
09/02/18	Mystics	97	vs.	Dream	76	-3.0	162.0	-21	O 173 +11.0
2018	ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 81.5
08/31/18	Mystics	76	vs.	Dream	81	-2.0	158.0	+5	U 157 -1.0
2018	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 76.4
08/28/18	Mystics	75	@	Dream	78	0.0	163.0	+3	U 153 -10.0
2018	ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 79.7
08/26/18	Mystics	87	@	Dream	84	-2.5	163.5	-3	O 171 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 75.8
07/31/18	Mystics	86	@	Dream	71	+5.5	163.0	-15	U 157 -6.0
2018	ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 76.4
07/15/18	Mystics	77	@	Dream	80	-2.0	166.0	+3	U 157 -9.0
2018	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 74.7
07/11/18	Mystics	89	vs.	Dream	106	-8.0	164.5	+17	O 195 +30.5
2018	ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 142.4 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 142.4 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 74.4

Mystics as Home (4 games)		89.5	-	-	84.5	-5.4	160.8	-5.0 -0.4	O 174.0 +13.3
	ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 77.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		85.8	-	-	80.5	-3.4	161.4	-5.3 +1.9	O 166.3 +4.9
	ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 75.9