WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 76 – 71
Los Angeles Sparks @ Atlanta Dream

Sparks: 8-7 (53.3%)

Dream: 5-10 (33.3%)

Line: +4.5

Total: 152.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sparks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/20/19 2019	Sparks	-	@	Liberty	-	-2.0	157.5	-	-
07/18/19 2019	Sparks	-	vs.	Wings	-	-7.5	150.5	-	-
07/14/19 2019	Sparks	-	@	Dream	-	-4.5	152.5	-	-
07/12/19	Sparks	90	@	Fever	84	-3.0	156.5	-6	O 174 +17.5
2019	ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 78.7
07/09/19	Sparks	62	@	Wings	74	-5.5	153.0	+12	U 136 -17.0
2019	ORtg: 86.2 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 86.2 Pace: 71.9
07/07/19	Sparks	98	vs.	Mystics	81	+5.0	161.5	-17	O 179 +17.5
2019	ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 78.7
06/30/19	Sparks	94	vs.	Sky	69	-5.5	160.0	-25	O 163 +3.0
2019	ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 87.9 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 87.9 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 78.5
06/27/19	Sparks	86	vs.	Aces	74	+1.5	158.5	-12	O 160 +1.5
2019	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 86.7 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 86.7 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 85.3
06/23/19	Sparks	72	@	Mercury	82	-1.0	152.5	+10	O 154 +1.5
2019	ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 74.9
06/21/19	Sparks	62	@	Storm	84	-1.5	153.5	+22	U 146 -7.5
2019	ORtg: 84.1 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 84.1 Pace: 73.7
06/18/19	Sparks	52	vs.	Mystics	81	-1.5	165.5	+29	U 133 -32.5
2019	ORtg: 62.8 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 62.8 Pace: 82.8
06/15/19	Sparks	92	vs.	Liberty	98	-11.0	156.5	+6	O 190 +33.5
2019	ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 84.8			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 84.8
06/14/19	Sparks	85	@	Mercury	68	+3.5	154.5	-17	U 153 -1.5
2019	ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 72.2			ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 72.2

Away Games Avg (5 games)		74.2	-	-	78.4	-1.5	154.0	+4.2 -5.7	U 152.6 -1.4
	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 74.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.3	-	-	79.5	-1.9	157.2	+0.2 -2.1	O 158.8 +1.6
	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 78.1

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/19/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Sun	-	+9.0	150.0	-	-
07/17/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Sky	-	+6.5	153.0	-	-
07/14/19 2019	Dream	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+4.5	152.5	-	-
07/12/19	Dream	60	vs.	Lynx	53	+2.5	150.0	-7	U 113 -37.0
2019	ORtg: 88.7 DRtg: 78.4 Pace: 67.6			ORtg: 78.4 DRtg: 88.7 Pace: 67.6
07/10/19	Dream	78	vs.	Sun	75	+5.0	152.0	-3	O 153 +1.0
2019	ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 77.3
07/07/19	Dream	63	@	Mercury	65	+7.5	153.0	+2	U 128 -25.0
2019	ORtg: 85.1 DRtg: 87.8 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 87.8 DRtg: 85.1 Pace: 74.0
07/05/19	Dream	77	@	Storm	66	+8.0	146.5	-11	U 143 -3.5
2019	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 86.8 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 86.8 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 76.1
07/02/19	Dream	68	@	Lynx	85	+7.5	151.0	+17	O 153 +2.0
2019	ORtg: 89.2 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 89.2 Pace: 76.2
06/30/19	Dream	58	vs.	Liberty	74	-4.0	159.5	+16	U 132 -27.5
2019	ORtg: 72.9 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 72.9 Pace: 79.5
06/23/19	Dream	73	vs.	Mystics	89	+9.5	156.5	+16	O 162 +5.5
2019	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 73.0
06/21/19	Dream	76	@	Sun	86	+12.5	152.5	+10	O 162 +9.5
2019	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 78.5
06/19/19	Dream	88	vs.	Fever	78	+1.0	150.5	-10	O 166 +15.5
2019	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 71.1			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 71.1
06/15/19	Dream	61	@	Wings	71	-4.0	146.0	+10	U 132 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 74.3

Home Games Avg (5 games)		71.4	-	-	73.8	+2.8	153.7	+2.4 +0.4	U 145.2 -8.5
	ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 73.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		70.2	-	-	74.2	+4.6	151.8	+4.0 +0.6	U 144.4 -7.4
	ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 74.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Dream are 70% (7-3) to the under at home

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Dream (Home)

The Dream are 43.8% (7-9) against the spread

The Dream are 40% (4-6) against the spread at home

The Dream are 58.3% (7-5) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 62.5% (10-6) to the under

The Dream are 70% (7-3) to the under at home

The Dream are 50% (6-6) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as a home dog

The Dream are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Dream are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Sparks (Away)

The Sparks are 53.3% (8-7-1) against the spread

The Sparks are 44.4% (4-5-1) against the spread away

The Sparks are 37.5% (3-5-1) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 40% (2-3-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Sparks are 50% (8-8) to the over

The Sparks are 60% (6-4) to the under away

The Sparks are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as a fav

The Sparks are 66.7% (4-2) to the under as an away fav

The Sparks are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sparks are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sparks are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Sparks are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Sparks are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under away

The Sparks are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sparks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/09/18	Dream	79	vs.	Sparks	73	+2.0	155.0	-6	U 152 -3.0
2018	ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 95.0 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 95.0 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 76.8
07/24/18	Dream	81	@	Sparks	71	+2.5	157.5	-10	U 152 -5.5
2018	ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 74.5			ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 74.5
06/12/18	Dream	64	@	Sparks	72	+8.5	151.0	+8	U 136 -15.0
2018	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 69.4			ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 69.4

Dream as Home (1 games)		79.0	-	-	73.0	+2.0	155.0	-6.0 +8.0	U 152.0 -3.0
	ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 95.0 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 95.0 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 76.8

All Games Avg (3 games)		74.7	-	-	72.0	+4.3	154.5	-2.7 +7.0	U 146.7 -7.8
	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 73.6			ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 73.6