WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 83 – 99
New York Liberty @ Chicago Sky

Liberty: 7-8 (46.7%)

Sky: 7-8 (46.7%)

Line: -3.5

Total: 162.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/20/19 2019	Liberty	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+2.0	157.5	-	-
07/14/19 2019	Liberty	-	@	Storm	-	+5.5	154.0	-	-
07/12/19 2019	Liberty	-	@	Sky	-	+3.5	162.0	-	-
07/07/19	Liberty	58	vs.	Aces	90	+5.5	163.5	+32	U 148 -15.5
2019	ORtg: 73.4 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 73.4 Pace: 79.0
07/05/19	Liberty	80	@	Mercury	76	+8.0	158.0	-4	U 156 -2.0
2019	ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 76.2
07/03/19	Liberty	84	@	Storm	83	+6.5	153.5	-1	O 167 +13.5
2019	ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 79.2
06/30/19	Liberty	74	@	Dream	58	+4.0	159.5	-16	U 132 -27.5
2019	ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 72.9 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 72.9 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 79.5
06/28/19	Liberty	69	vs.	Wings	68	-4.0	153.5	-1	U 137 -16.5
2019	ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 72.1
06/22/19	Liberty	83	@	Lynx	92	+8.5	156.5	+9	O 175 +18.5
2019	ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 80.8
06/19/19	Liberty	83	vs.	Sky	91	-2.0	164.0	+8	O 174 +10.0
2019	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 83.0
06/15/19	Liberty	98	@	Sparks	92	+11.0	156.5	-6	O 190 +33.5
2019	ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 84.8			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 84.8
06/14/19	Liberty	65	@	Aces	100	+13.0	165.5	+35	U 165 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 75.2 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 86.5			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 75.2 Pace: 86.5
06/12/19	Liberty	75	vs.	Lynx	69	+3.0	156.5	-6	U 144 -12.5
2019	ORtg: 92.6 DRtg: 85.2 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 85.2 DRtg: 92.6 Pace: 81.0

Away Games Avg (6 games)		80.7	-	-	83.5	+8.5	158.3	+2.8 +5.7	O 164.2 +5.9
	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 81.2			ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 81.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		76.9	-	-	81.9	+5.4	158.7	+5.0 +0.4	O 158.8 +0.1
	ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 80.2

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/17/19 2019	Sky	-	vs.	Dream	-	-6.5	153.0	-	-
07/14/19 2019	Sky	-	@	Wings	-	+1.0	153.5	-	-
07/12/19 2019	Sky	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-3.5	162.0	-	-
07/10/19	Sky	72	vs.	Lynx	73	0.0	158.0	+1	U 145 -13.0
2019	ORtg: 92.6 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 92.6 Pace: 77.8
07/07/19	Sky	78	vs.	Wings	66	-7.0	154.0	-12	U 144 -10.0
2019	ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 82.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 82.6 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 79.9
07/02/19	Sky	82	@	Aces	90	+8.5	162.5	+8	O 172 +9.5
2019	ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 85.3
06/30/19	Sky	69	@	Sparks	94	+5.5	160.0	+25	O 163 +3.0
2019	ORtg: 87.9 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 87.9 Pace: 78.5
06/28/19	Sky	76	@	Storm	79	+3.0	153.0	+3	O 155 +2.0
2019	ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 74.0
06/26/19	Sky	74	vs.	Mystics	81	+6.5	165.0	+7	U 155 -10.0
2019	ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 82.2
06/23/19	Sky	93	vs.	Sun	75	+5.0	164.0	-18	O 168 +4.0
2019	ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 87.3 Pace: 85.9			ORtg: 87.3 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 85.9
06/21/19	Sky	69	vs.	Fever	76	-4.5	162.5	+7	U 145 -17.5
2019	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 74.1
06/19/19	Sky	91	@	Liberty	83	+2.0	164.0	-8	O 174 +10.0
2019	ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 83.0
06/15/19	Sky	70	@	Fever	64	+3.5	165.5	-6	U 134 -31.5
2019	ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 86.8 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 86.8 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 73.7

Home Games Avg (5 games)		77.2	-	-	74.2	0.0	160.7	-3.0 +3.0	U 151.4 -9.3
	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 80.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		77.4	-	-	78.1	+2.3	160.9	+0.7 +1.6	U 155.5 -5.4
	ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 79.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Sky are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Sky are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Sky are 75% (6-2-1) to the under at home

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Sky (Home)

The Sky are 60% (9-6-1) against the spread

The Sky are 66.7% (6-3) against the spread at home

The Sky are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Sky are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Sky are 53.3% (8-7-1) to the under

The Sky are 75% (6-2-1) to the under at home

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1-1) to the under as a fav

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1-1) to the under as a home fav

The Sky are 60% (6-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sky are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Liberty (Away)

The Liberty are 46.7% (7-8-1) against the spread

The Liberty are 50% (4-4) against the spread away

The Liberty are 58.3% (7-5-1) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 50% (4-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Liberty are 50% (8-8) to the over

The Liberty are 62.5% (5-3) to the over away

The Liberty are 53.8% (7-6) to the under as a dog

The Liberty are 62.5% (5-3) to the over as an away dog

The Liberty are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Liberty are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Liberty are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Liberty are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over away

The Liberty are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Liberty are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/19/19	Sky	91	@	Liberty	83	+2.0	164.0	-8	O 174 +10.0
2019	ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 83.0
07/15/18	Sky	84	@	Liberty	107	+4.5	164.5	+23	O 191 +26.5
2018	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 136.4 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 136.4 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 78.5
07/01/18	Sky	94	vs.	Liberty	97 OT	-2.5	165.5	+3	O 191 +25.5
2018	ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 80.6
06/29/18	Sky	103	@	Liberty	99	+3.5	162.5	-4	O 202 +39.5
2018	ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 79.5
05/20/18	Sky	80	vs.	Liberty	76	+6.5	152.5	-4	O 156 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 76.6

Sky as Home (2 games)		87.0	-	-	86.5	+2.0	159.0	-0.5 +2.5	O 173.5 +14.5
	ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 78.6

All Games Avg (5 games)		90.4	-	-	92.4	+2.8	161.8	+2.0 +0.8	O 182.8 +21.0
	ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 79.6			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 79.6