WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 77 – 66
Atlanta Dream @ Seattle Storm

Dream: 2-9 (18.2%)

Storm: 8-7 (53.3%)

Line: -8.0

Total: 146.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/10/19 2019	Dream	-	vs.	Sun	-	+5.0	152.0	-	-
07/07/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Mercury	-	+7.5	153.0	-	-
07/05/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Storm	-	+8.0	146.5	-	-
07/02/19	Dream	68	@	Lynx	85	+7.5	151.0	+17	O 153 +2.0
2019	ORtg: 89.2 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 89.2 Pace: 76.2
06/30/19	Dream	58	vs.	Liberty	74	-4.0	159.5	+16	U 132 -27.5
2019	ORtg: 72.9 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 72.9 Pace: 79.5
06/23/19	Dream	73	vs.	Mystics	89	+9.5	156.5	+16	O 162 +5.5
2019	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 73.0
06/21/19	Dream	76	@	Sun	86	+12.5	152.5	+10	O 162 +9.5
2019	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 78.5
06/19/19	Dream	88	vs.	Fever	78	+1.0	150.5	-10	O 166 +15.5
2019	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 71.1			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 71.1
06/15/19	Dream	61	@	Wings	71	-4.0	146.0	+10	U 132 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 74.3
06/09/19	Dream	59	vs.	Sun	65	+6.5	159.5	+6	U 124 -35.5
2019	ORtg: 76.8 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 76.8 Pace: 76.8
06/06/19	Dream	69	vs.	Aces	92	+4.5	161.5	+23	U 161 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 80.1 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 86.1			ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 80.1 Pace: 86.1
06/01/19	Dream	75	@	Mystics	96	+8.5	158.5	+21	O 171 +12.5
2019	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0
05/31/19	Dream	66	vs.	Storm	82	-6.5	148.5	+16	U 148 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 81.8 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 81.8 Pace: 80.7

Away Games Avg (4 games)		70.0	-	-	84.5	+6.1	152.0	+14.5 -8.4	O 154.5 +2.5
	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 76.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		69.3	-	-	81.8	+3.6	154.4	+12.5 -9.0	U 151.1 -3.3
	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 77.2

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/14/19 2019	Storm	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-5.5	154.0	-	-
07/12/19 2019	Storm	-	vs.	Wings	-	-5.5	146.0	-	-
07/05/19 2019	Storm	-	vs.	Dream	-	-8.0	146.5	-	-
07/03/19	Storm	83	vs.	Liberty	84	-6.5	153.5	+1	O 167 +13.5
2019	ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 79.2
06/30/19	Storm	67	vs.	Mercury	69	-1.0	149.5	+2	U 136 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 72.3			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 72.3
06/28/19	Storm	79	vs.	Sky	76	-3.0	153.0	-3	O 155 +2.0
2019	ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 74.0
06/25/19	Storm	56	@	Aces	60	+6.5	158.5	+4	U 116 -42.5
2019	ORtg: 65.8 DRtg: 70.4 Pace: 85.2			ORtg: 70.4 DRtg: 65.8 Pace: 85.2
06/23/19	Storm	65	vs.	Fever	61	-6.5	152.5	-4	U 126 -26.5
2019	ORtg: 88.4 DRtg: 82.9 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 82.9 DRtg: 88.4 Pace: 73.5
06/21/19	Storm	84	vs.	Sparks	62	+1.5	153.5	-22	U 146 -7.5
2019	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 84.1 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 84.1 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 73.7
06/16/19	Storm	67	@	Sun	81	+9.0	155.5	+14	U 148 -7.5
2019	ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 72.0			ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 72.0
06/14/19	Storm	74	@	Mystics	71	+9.5	159.0	-3	U 145 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 94.8 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 94.8 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 74.9
06/11/19	Storm	84	@	Fever	82	+2.0	157.0	-2	O 166 +9.0
2019	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 73.7
06/09/19	Storm	71	@	Sky	78	-1.0	164.5	+7	U 149 -15.5
2019	ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 79.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		75.6	-	-	70.4	-3.1	152.4	-5.2 +2.1	U 146.0 -6.4
	ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 74.5			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 74.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		73.0	-	-	72.4	+1.1	155.7	-0.6 +1.7	U 145.4 -10.3
	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 75.8

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Storm are 16.7% (1-5-1) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 20% (1-4-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 73.3% (11-4-1) to the under

The Storm are 20% (1-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 0% (0-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 0% (0-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 75% (3-1) to the over as an away dog

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 46.7% (7-8-1) against the spread

The Storm are 42.9% (3-4-1) against the spread at home

The Storm are 16.7% (1-5-1) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 20% (1-4-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 73.3% (11-4-1) to the under

The Storm are 62.5% (5-3) to the under at home

The Storm are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 50% (3-3) to the over as a home fav

The Storm are 40% (4-6-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 20% (1-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 0% (0-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 0% (0-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Storm are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Dream (Away)

The Dream are 33.3% (4-8) against the spread

The Dream are 40% (2-3) against the spread away

The Dream are 50% (4-4) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 50% (2-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 58.3% (7-5) to the under

The Dream are 60% (3-2) to the over away

The Dream are 62.5% (5-3) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 75% (3-1) to the over as an away dog

The Dream are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Dream are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Dream are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/31/19	Storm	82	@	Dream	66	+6.5	148.5	-16	U 148 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 81.8 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 81.8 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 80.7
07/22/18	Storm	74	@	Dream	87	-2.5	163.0	+13	U 161 -2.0
2018	ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 77.0
07/06/18	Storm	95	@	Dream	86	-4.5	161.0	-9	O 181 +20.0
2018	ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 84.4			ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 84.4
06/10/18	Storm	64	vs.	Dream	67	-7.5	166.5	+3	U 131 -35.5
2018	ORtg: 80.6 DRtg: 84.4 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 84.4 DRtg: 80.6 Pace: 79.4

Storm as Home (1 games)		64.0	-	-	67.0	-7.5	166.5	+3.0 -10.5	U 131.0 -35.5
	ORtg: 80.6 DRtg: 84.4 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 84.4 DRtg: 80.6 Pace: 79.4

All Games Avg (4 games)		78.8	-	-	76.5	-2.0	159.8	-2.3 +0.3	U 155.3 -4.5
	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 95.3 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 95.3 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 80.4