WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 68 – 85
Atlanta Dream @ Minnesota Lynx

Dream: 2-8 (20.0%)

Lynx: 6-6 (50.0%)

Line: -7.5

Total: 151.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/07/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Mercury	-	+7.5	153.0	-	-
07/05/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Storm	-	+8.0	146.5	-	-
07/02/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Lynx	-	+7.5	151.0	-	-
06/30/19	Dream	58	vs.	Liberty	74	-4.0	159.5	+16	U 132 -27.5
2019	ORtg: 72.9 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 72.9 Pace: 79.5
06/23/19	Dream	73	vs.	Mystics	89	+9.5	156.5	+16	O 162 +5.5
2019	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 73.0
06/21/19	Dream	76	@	Sun	86	+12.5	152.5	+10	O 162 +9.5
2019	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 78.5
06/19/19	Dream	88	vs.	Fever	78	+1.0	150.5	-10	O 166 +15.5
2019	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 71.1			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 71.1
06/15/19	Dream	61	@	Wings	71	-4.0	146.0	+10	U 132 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 74.3
06/09/19	Dream	59	vs.	Sun	65	+6.5	159.5	+6	U 124 -35.5
2019	ORtg: 76.8 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 76.8 Pace: 76.8
06/06/19	Dream	69	vs.	Aces	92	+4.5	161.5	+23	U 161 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 80.1 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 86.1			ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 80.1 Pace: 86.1
06/01/19	Dream	75	@	Mystics	96	+8.5	158.5	+21	O 171 +12.5
2019	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0
05/31/19	Dream	66	vs.	Storm	82	-6.5	148.5	+16	U 148 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 81.8 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 81.8 Pace: 80.7
05/24/19	Dream	76	vs.	Wings	72	-10.5	156.0	-4	U 148 -8.0
2019	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 93.6 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 93.6 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 76.9

Away Games Avg (3 games)		70.7	-	-	84.3	+5.7	152.3	+13.7 -8.0	O 155.0 +2.7
	ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 76.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		70.1	-	-	80.5	+1.8	154.9	+10.4 -8.7	U 150.6 -4.3
	ORtg: 91.2 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 91.2 Pace: 77.3

Lynx Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/10/19 2019	Lynx	-	@	Sky	-	0.0	158.0	-	-
07/06/19 2019	Lynx	-	@	Sun	-	+8.5	157.0	-	-
07/02/19 2019	Lynx	-	vs.	Dream	-	-7.5	151.0	-	-
06/30/19	Lynx	86	@	Wings	89	-2.5	145.5	+3	O 175 +29.5
2019	ORtg: 107.4 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 107.4 Pace: 80.1
06/25/19	Lynx	78	@	Fever	74	-2.5	151.0	-4	O 152 +1.0
2019	ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 91.5 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 91.5 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 80.9
06/22/19	Lynx	92	vs.	Liberty	83	-8.5	156.5	-9	O 175 +18.5
2019	ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 80.8
06/16/19	Lynx	75	vs.	Aces	80	+5.5	160.5	+5	U 155 -5.5
2019	ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 79.6			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 79.6
06/14/19	Lynx	81	vs.	Sun	85	+6.0	151.0	+4	O 166 +15.0
2019	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 77.8
06/12/19	Lynx	69	@	Liberty	75	-3.0	156.5	+6	U 144 -12.5
2019	ORtg: 85.2 DRtg: 92.6 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 92.6 DRtg: 85.2 Pace: 81.0
06/08/19	Lynx	85	vs.	Sparks	89	-4.5	149.0	+4	O 174 +25.0
2019	ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 83.1
06/06/19	Lynx	58	vs.	Mercury	56	-2.0	154.0	-2	U 114 -40.0
2019	ORtg: 85.7 DRtg: 82.7 Pace: 67.7			ORtg: 82.7 DRtg: 85.7 Pace: 67.7
06/04/19	Lynx	77	@	Storm	84	+1.5	149.0	+7	O 161 +12.0
2019	ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 72.1
06/01/19	Lynx	70	@	Wings	67	-3.5	153.5	-3	U 137 -16.5
2019	ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 90.4 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 90.4 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 74.1

Home Games Avg (5 games)		78.2	-	-	78.6	-0.7	154.2	+0.4 -1.1	O 156.8 +2.6
	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 77.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		77.1	-	-	78.2	-1.4	152.7	+1.1 -2.5	O 155.3 +2.7
	ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 77.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Lynx are 85.7% (6-1-1) against the spread at home

The Lynx are 80% (4-1-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Lynx are 80% (4-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lynx are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Lynx are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Lynx are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

The Dream are 27.3% (3-8) against the spread

The Dream are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Dream are 75% (3-1) to the over away

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2) to the over as a dog

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Lynx (Home)

The Lynx are 58.3% (7-5-1) against the spread

The Lynx are 85.7% (6-1-1) against the spread at home

The Lynx are 55.6% (5-4-1) against the spread as a fav

The Lynx are 80% (4-1-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Lynx are 53.8% (7-6) to the over

The Lynx are 50% (4-4) to the over at home

The Lynx are 50% (5-5) to the over as a fav

The Lynx are 50% (3-3) to the over as a home fav

The Lynx are 55.6% (5-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lynx are 80% (4-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lynx are 50% (3-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lynx are 66.7% (2-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Lynx are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Lynx are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Lynx are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Lynx are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Dream (Away)

The Dream are 27.3% (3-8) against the spread

The Dream are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Dream are 42.9% (3-4) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 54.5% (6-5) to the under

The Dream are 75% (3-1) to the over away

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 100% (3-0) to the over as an away dog

The Dream are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Dream are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Dream are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/05/18	Lynx	66	vs.	Dream	86	-6.0	155.0	+20	U 152 -3.0
2018	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 121.3 Pace: 70.9			ORtg: 121.3 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 70.9
06/29/18	Lynx	85	vs.	Dream	74	-12.5	155.0	-11	O 159 +4.0
2018	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.8
05/29/18	Lynx	74	@	Dream	76	-5.5	156.0	+2	U 150 -6.0
2018	ORtg: 95.0 DRtg: 97.5 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 97.5 DRtg: 95.0 Pace: 77.9

Lynx as Home (2 games)		75.5	-	-	80.0	-9.3	155.0	+4.5 -13.8	O 155.5 +0.5
	ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 75.4

All Games Avg (3 games)		75.0	-	-	78.7	-8.0	155.3	+3.7 -11.7	U 153.7 -1.7
	ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 76.2