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Updated: 11/08/26 3:10 p.m. ET
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WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 69 – 67
Phoenix Mercury @ Seattle Storm
Mercury: 4-5 (44.4%)
Storm: 8-5 (61.5%)
Line: -1.0
Total: 149.5
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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
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Filters
Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.
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Schedules
Mercury Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
07/07/19
2019
 Mercury - vs. Dream - -7.5 153.0 - -
07/05/19
2019
 Mercury - vs. Liberty - -8.0 158.0 - -
06/30/19
2019
 Mercury - @ Storm - +1.0 149.5 - -
06/28/19 Mercury 91 vs. Fever 69 -5.0 152.0 -22 O 160 +8.0
2019
ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 92.6 Pace: 74.5ORtg: 92.6 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 74.5
06/23/19 Mercury 82 vs. Sparks 72 +1.0 152.5 -10 O 154 +1.5
2019
ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 74.9ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 74.9
06/20/19 Mercury 54 @ Wings 69 -6.0 145.5 +15 U 123 -22.5
2019
ORtg: 72.9 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 74.0ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 72.9 Pace: 74.0
06/14/19 Mercury 68 vs. Sparks 85 -3.5 154.5 +17 U 153 -1.5
2019
ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 72.2ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 72.2
06/11/19 Mercury 75 @ Sky 82 -4.0 166.0 +7 U 157 -9.0
2019
ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 79.5ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 79.5
06/09/19 Mercury 94 @ Fever 87 -2.5 153.0 -7 O 181 +28.0
2019
ORtg: 119.1 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 78.9ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 119.1 Pace: 78.9
06/06/19 Mercury 56 @ Lynx 58 +2.0 154.0 +2 U 114 -40.0
2019
ORtg: 82.7 DRtg: 85.7 Pace: 67.7ORtg: 85.7 DRtg: 82.7 Pace: 67.7
05/31/19 Mercury 86 vs. Aces 84 +2.0 165.0 -2 O 170 +5.0
2019
ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 78.6ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 78.6
05/25/19 Mercury 68 @ Storm 77 -3.5 158.5 +9 U 145 -13.5
2019
ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 75.4ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 75.4
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/04/18 Mercury 84 @ Storm 94 +5.0 170.5 +10 O 178 +7.5
2018
ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 74.6ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 74.6
Away Games Avg
(5 games this season)		 69.4 - - 74.6 -2.8 155.4 +5.2 -8.0 U 144.0 -11.4
ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 75.1ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 75.1
All Games Avg
(9 games this season)		 74.9 - - 75.9 -2.2 155.7 +1.0 -3.2 U 150.8 -4.9
ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 75.1ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 75.1
Storm Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
07/05/19
2019
 Storm - vs. Dream - -8.0 146.5 - -
07/03/19
2019
 Storm - vs. Liberty - -6.5 153.5 - -
06/30/19
2019
 Storm - vs. Mercury - -1.0 149.5 - -
06/28/19 Storm 79 vs. Sky 76 -3.0 153.0 -3 O 155 +2.0
2019
ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 74.0ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 74.0
06/25/19 Storm 56 @ Aces 60 +6.5 158.5 +4 U 116 -42.5
2019
ORtg: 65.8 DRtg: 70.4 Pace: 85.2ORtg: 70.4 DRtg: 65.8 Pace: 85.2
06/23/19 Storm 65 vs. Fever 61 -6.5 152.5 -4 U 126 -26.5
2019
ORtg: 88.4 DRtg: 82.9 Pace: 73.5ORtg: 82.9 DRtg: 88.4 Pace: 73.5
06/21/19 Storm 84 vs. Sparks 62 +1.5 153.5 -22 U 146 -7.5
2019
ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 84.1 Pace: 73.7ORtg: 84.1 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 73.7
06/16/19 Storm 67 @ Sun 81 +9.0 155.5 +14 U 148 -7.5
2019
ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 72.0ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 72.0
06/14/19 Storm 74 @ Mystics 71 +9.5 159.0 -3 U 145 -14.0
2019
ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 94.8 Pace: 74.9ORtg: 94.8 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 74.9
06/11/19 Storm 84 @ Fever 82 +2.0 157.0 -2 O 166 +9.0
2019
ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 73.7ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 73.7
06/09/19 Storm 71 @ Sky 78 -1.0 164.5 +7 U 149 -15.5
2019
ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 79.5ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 79.5
06/04/19 Storm 84 vs. Lynx 77 -1.5 149.0 -7 O 161 +12.0
2019
ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 72.1ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 72.1
06/01/19 Storm 79 @ Sky 83 +2.5 162.0 +4 P 162 0.0
2019
ORtg: 94.2 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 83.8ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 94.2 Pace: 83.8
Home Games Avg
(4 games)		 78.0 - - 69.0 -2.4 152.0 -9.0 +6.6 U 147.0 -5.0
ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 94.2 Pace: 73.3ORtg: 94.2 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 73.3
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 74.3 - - 73.1 +1.9 156.5 -1.2 +3.1 U 147.4 -9.1
ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 76.2ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 76.2
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Records
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Notable Trends
The Storm are 25% (1-3-1) against the spread as a fav
The Storm are 76.9% (10-3-1) to the under
The Storm are 25% (1-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav
The Storm are 72.7% (8-3-1) (L30 days) to the under
The Mercury are 83.3% (5-1) to the under away
The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Team Pts Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
05/25/19 Storm 77 vs. Mercury 68 +3.5 158.5 -9 U 145 -13.5
2019
ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 75.4ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 75.4
09/04/18 Storm 94 vs. Mercury 84 -5.0 170.5 -10 O 178 +7.5
2018
ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 74.6ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 74.6
09/02/18 Storm 84 @ Mercury 86 +3.0 170.5 +2 U 170 -0.5
2018
ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 79.9ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 79.9
08/31/18 Storm 66 @ Mercury 86 +2.0 172.0 +20 U 152 -20.0
2018
ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 81.8ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 81.8
08/28/18 Storm 91 vs. Mercury 87 OT -5.0 178.0 -4 P 178 0.0
2018
ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 74.7ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 74.7
08/26/18 Storm 91 vs. Mercury 87 -6.0 175.5 -4 O 178 +2.5
2018
ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 75.2
07/31/18 Storm 102 @ Mercury 91 -3.5 170.5 -11 O 193 +22.5
2018
ORtg: 124.2 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 82.1ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 124.2 Pace: 82.1
05/23/18 Storm 87 @ Mercury 71 +5.5 156.5 -16 O 158 +1.5
2018
ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 75.2ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2
05/20/18 Storm 82 vs. Mercury 87 -2.5 155.5 +5 O 169 +13.5
2018
ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 76.7ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.7
Storm as Home
(5 games)		 87.0 - - 82.6 -3.0 167.6 -4.4 +1.4 O 169.6 +2.0
ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 107.4 Pace: 75.3ORtg: 107.4 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 75.3
All Games Avg
(9 games)		 86.0 - - 83.0 -0.9 167.5 -3.0 +2.1 O 169.0 +1.5
ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 77.3ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 77.3

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