WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 74 – 58
New York Liberty @ Atlanta Dream

Liberty: 4-7 (36.4%)

Dream: 2-7 (22.2%)

Line: -4.0

Total: 159.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/05/19 2019	Liberty	-	@	Mercury	-	+8.0	158.0	-	-
07/03/19 2019	Liberty	-	@	Storm	-	+6.5	153.5	-	-
06/30/19 2019	Liberty	-	@	Dream	-	+4.0	159.5	-	-
06/28/19	Liberty	69	vs.	Wings	68	-4.0	153.5	-1	U 137 -16.5
2019	ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 72.1
06/22/19	Liberty	83	@	Lynx	92	+8.5	156.5	+9	O 175 +18.5
2019	ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 80.8
06/19/19	Liberty	83	vs.	Sky	91	-2.0	164.0	+8	O 174 +10.0
2019	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 83.0
06/15/19	Liberty	98	@	Sparks	92	+11.0	156.5	-6	O 190 +33.5
2019	ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 84.8			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 84.8
06/14/19	Liberty	65	@	Aces	100	+13.0	165.5	+35	U 165 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 75.2 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 86.5			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 75.2 Pace: 86.5
06/12/19	Liberty	75	vs.	Lynx	69	+3.0	156.5	-6	U 144 -12.5
2019	ORtg: 92.6 DRtg: 85.2 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 85.2 DRtg: 92.6 Pace: 81.0
06/09/19	Liberty	88	vs.	Aces	78	+11.0	168.5	-10	U 166 -2.5
2019	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 93.9 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 93.9 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 83.1
06/07/19	Liberty	85	vs.	Mystics	94	+9.5	165.5	+9	O 179 +13.5
2019	ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 77.1
06/04/19	Liberty	73	vs.	Sparks	78	+5.0	157.5	+5	U 151 -6.5
2019	ORtg: 90.1 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 90.1 Pace: 81.1
06/01/19	Liberty	77	@	Fever	92	+3.0	158.5	+15	O 169 +10.5
2019	ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 80.0

Away Games Avg (4 games)		80.8	-	-	94.0	+8.9	159.3	+13.3 -4.4	O 174.8 +15.5
	ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 83.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.6	-	-	85.4	+5.8	160.3	+5.8 0.0	O 165.0 +4.8
	ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 80.9

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/05/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Storm	-	+8.0	146.5	-	-
07/02/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Lynx	-	+7.5	151.0	-	-
06/30/19 2019	Dream	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-4.0	159.5	-	-
06/23/19	Dream	73	vs.	Mystics	89	+9.5	156.5	+16	O 162 +5.5
2019	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 73.0
06/21/19	Dream	76	@	Sun	86	+12.5	152.5	+10	O 162 +9.5
2019	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 78.5
06/19/19	Dream	88	vs.	Fever	78	+1.0	150.5	-10	O 166 +15.5
2019	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 71.1			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 71.1
06/15/19	Dream	61	@	Wings	71	-4.0	146.0	+10	U 132 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 74.3
06/09/19	Dream	59	vs.	Sun	65	+6.5	159.5	+6	U 124 -35.5
2019	ORtg: 76.8 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 76.8 Pace: 76.8
06/06/19	Dream	69	vs.	Aces	92	+4.5	161.5	+23	U 161 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 80.1 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 86.1			ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 80.1 Pace: 86.1
06/01/19	Dream	75	@	Mystics	96	+8.5	158.5	+21	O 171 +12.5
2019	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0
05/31/19	Dream	66	vs.	Storm	82	-6.5	148.5	+16	U 148 -0.5
2019	ORtg: 81.8 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 81.8 Pace: 80.7
05/24/19	Dream	76	vs.	Wings	72	-10.5	156.0	-4	U 148 -8.0
2019	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 93.6 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 93.6 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 76.9
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/04/18	Dream	81	vs.	Mystics	86	+4.0	159.0	+5	O 167 +8.0
2018	ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 120.8 Pace: 71.2			ORtg: 120.8 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 71.2

Home Games Avg (6 games this season)		71.8	-	-	79.7	+0.8	155.4	+7.8 -7.1	U 151.5 -3.9
	ORtg: 93.5 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 93.5 Pace: 77.4

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		71.4	-	-	81.2	+2.4	154.4	+9.8 -7.4	U 152.7 -1.7
	ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 77.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Dream are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Dream are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread at home

The Dream are 0% (0-4) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2) to the under at home

The Dream are 100% (4-0) to the under as a fav

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Dream (Home)

The Dream are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Dream are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread at home

The Dream are 0% (0-4) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 0% (0-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 60% (6-4) to the under

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2) to the under at home

The Dream are 100% (4-0) to the under as a fav

The Dream are 100% (3-0) to the under as a home fav

The Dream are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Dream are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Dream are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Liberty (Away)

The Liberty are 45.5% (5-6-1) against the spread

The Liberty are 40% (2-3) against the spread away

The Liberty are 62.5% (5-3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 40% (2-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Liberty are 50% (6-6) to the over

The Liberty are 60% (3-2) to the over away

The Liberty are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as a dog

The Liberty are 60% (3-2) to the over as an away dog

The Liberty are 50% (5-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Liberty are 62.5% (5-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Liberty are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Liberty are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Liberty are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Liberty are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/12/18	Dream	86	@	Liberty	77	-5.5	159.5	-9	O 163 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 79.2
07/19/18	Dream	82	vs.	Liberty	68	-6.5	164.5	-14	U 150 -14.5
2018	ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 82.9 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 82.9 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 82.1
06/19/18	Dream	72	@	Liberty	79	+6.0	150.5	+7	O 151 +0.5
2018	ORtg: 85.4 DRtg: 93.7 Pace: 84.3			ORtg: 93.7 DRtg: 85.4 Pace: 84.3

Dream as Home (1 games)		82.0	-	-	68.0	-6.5	164.5	-14.0 +7.5	U 150.0 -14.5
	ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 82.9 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 82.9 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 82.1

All Games Avg (3 games)		80.0	-	-	74.7	-2.0	158.2	-5.3 +3.3	U 154.7 -3.5
	ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 81.9