WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 59 – 102
Connecticut Sun @ Washington Mystics

Sun: 9-3 (75.0%)

Mystics: 8-3 (72.7%)

Line: -7.5

Total: 161.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/10/19 2019	Sun	-	@	Dream	-	-5.0	152.0	-	-
07/06/19 2019	Sun	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-8.5	157.0	-	-
06/29/19 2019	Sun	-	@	Mystics	-	+7.5	161.0	-	-
06/26/19	Sun	73	@	Wings	74	-9.0	148.0	+1	U 147 -1.0
2019	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 71.5			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 71.5
06/23/19	Sun	75	@	Sky	93	-5.0	164.0	+18	O 168 +4.0
2019	ORtg: 87.3 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 85.9			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 87.3 Pace: 85.9
06/21/19	Sun	86	vs.	Dream	76	-12.5	152.5	-10	O 162 +9.5
2019	ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 78.5
06/16/19	Sun	81	vs.	Storm	67	-9.0	155.5	-14	U 148 -7.5
2019	ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 72.0			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 72.0
06/14/19	Sun	85	@	Lynx	81	-6.0	151.0	-4	O 166 +15.0
2019	ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 77.8
06/11/19	Sun	83	vs.	Mystics	75	-3.0	166.0	-8	U 158 -8.0
2019	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 78.1
06/09/19	Sun	65	@	Dream	59	-6.5	159.5	-6	U 124 -35.5
2019	ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 76.8 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 76.8 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 76.8
06/06/19	Sun	89	vs.	Sparks	77	-7.0	157.5	-12	O 166 +8.5
2019	ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 94.7 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 94.7 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 81.3
06/02/19	Sun	80	@	Aces	74	+5.0	168.0	-6	U 154 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 88.7 Pace: 83.5			ORtg: 88.7 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 83.5
05/31/19	Sun	70	@	Sparks	77	-2.5	164.5	+7	U 147 -17.5
2019	ORtg: 88.0 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 88.0 Pace: 79.5

Away Games Avg (6 games)		74.7	-	-	76.3	-4.0	159.2	+1.7 -5.7	U 151.0 -8.2
	ORtg: 94.5 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 94.5 Pace: 79.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		78.7	-	-	75.3	-5.6	158.7	-3.4 -2.2	U 154.0 -4.7
	ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 78.5

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/10/19 2019	Mystics	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-8.0	157.0	-	-
07/07/19 2019	Mystics	-	@	Sparks	-	-5.0	161.5	-	-
06/29/19 2019	Mystics	-	vs.	Sun	-	-7.5	161.0	-	-
06/26/19	Mystics	81	@	Sky	74	-6.5	165.0	-7	U 155 -10.0
2019	ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 82.2
06/23/19	Mystics	89	@	Dream	73	-9.5	156.5	-16	O 162 +5.5
2019	ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 73.0
06/20/19	Mystics	95	@	Aces	72	+3.5	166.5	-23	O 167 +0.5
2019	ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 79.5
06/18/19	Mystics	81	@	Sparks	52	+1.5	165.5	-29	U 133 -32.5
2019	ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 62.8 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 62.8 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 82.8
06/14/19	Mystics	71	vs.	Storm	74	-9.5	159.0	+3	U 145 -14.0
2019	ORtg: 94.8 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 94.8 Pace: 74.9
06/11/19	Mystics	75	@	Sun	83	+3.0	166.0	+8	U 158 -8.0
2019	ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 78.1
06/09/19	Mystics	86	vs.	Wings	62	-14.0	158.0	-24	U 148 -10.0
2019	ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 71.3			ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 71.3
06/07/19	Mystics	94	@	Liberty	85	-9.5	165.5	-9	O 179 +13.5
2019	ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 77.1
06/05/19	Mystics	103	vs.	Sky	85	-12.0	169.0	-18	O 188 +19.0
2019	ORtg: 131.8 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 131.8 Pace: 78.1
06/01/19	Mystics	96	vs.	Dream	75	-8.5	158.5	-21	O 171 +12.5
2019	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0

Home Games Avg (4 games)		89.0	-	-	74.0	-11.0	161.1	-15.0 +4.0	O 163.0 +1.9
	ORtg: 118.4 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 118.4 Pace: 75.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		87.1	-	-	73.5	-6.2	163.0	-13.6 +7.5	U 160.6 -2.4
	ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 95.3 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 95.3 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 77.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 14.3% (1-6) against the spread away

The Sun are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 66.7% (8-4) against the spread

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 54.5% (6-5-1) to the under

The Mystics are 50% (2-2-1) to the over at home

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3-1) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (2-2-1) to the over as a home fav

The Mystics are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 50% (5-5-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 50% (2-2-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (2-2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 46.2% (6-7) against the spread

The Sun are 14.3% (1-6) against the spread away

The Sun are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 58.3% (7-5-1) to the under

The Sun are 66.7% (4-2-1) to the under away

The Sun are 100% (1-0-1) to the under as a dog

The Sun are 100% (1-0-1) to the under as an away dog

The Sun are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sun are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 60% (6-4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Sun are 66.7% (4-2-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Sun are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Sun are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/11/19	Mystics	75	@	Sun	83	+3.0	166.0	+8	U 158 -8.0
2019	ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 78.1
05/25/19	Mystics	69	@	Sun	84	+6.0	166.5	+15	U 153 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 90.4 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 90.4 Pace: 76.3
07/24/18	Mystics	68	@	Sun	94	+4.5	170.0	+26	U 162 -8.0
2018	ORtg: 89.0 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 89.0 Pace: 76.4
06/26/18	Mystics	92	vs.	Sun	80	-3.5	170.5	-12	O 172 +1.5
2018	ORtg: 121.7 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 121.7 Pace: 75.6
06/13/18	Mystics	95	@	Sun	91	+9.5	172.5	-4	O 186 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 78.5
06/03/18	Mystics	64	vs.	Sun	88	+5.5	171.5	+24	U 152 -19.5
2018	ORtg: 82.6 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 82.6 Pace: 77.4

Mystics as Home (2 games)		78.0	-	-	84.0	+1.0	171.0	+6.0 -5.0	U 162.0 -9.0
	ORtg: 102.2 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 102.2 Pace: 76.5

All Games Avg (6 games)		77.2	-	-	86.7	+4.2	169.5	+9.5 -5.3	U 163.8 -5.7
	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 77.1