WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 85 – 103
Chicago Sky @ Washington Mystics

Sky: 1-1 (50.0%)

Mystics: 1-1 (50.0%)

Line: -12.0

Total: 169.0

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Injury Report CHINo report WASNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 3 for the Sky and game 3 for the Mystics. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Sky after Sun, Jun 9, the Mystics after Fri, Jun 7.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/11/19 2019	Sky	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+4.0	166.0	-	-
06/09/19 2019	Sky	-	vs.	Storm	-	+1.0	164.5	-	-
06/05/19 2019	Sky	-	@	Mystics	-	+12.0	169.0	-	-
06/01/19	Sky	83	vs.	Storm	79	-2.5	162.0	-4	P 162 0.0
2019	ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 94.2 Pace: 83.8			ORtg: 94.2 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 83.8
05/25/19	Sky	71	@	Lynx	89	+4.0	161.0	+18	U 160 -1.0
2019	ORtg: 85.1 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 83.4			ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 85.1 Pace: 83.4
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
08/19/18	Sky	92	vs.	Fever	97	-8.0	166.0	+5	O 189 +23.0
2018	ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 124.1 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 124.1 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 78.2
08/18/18	Sky	115	@	Fever	106 2OT	-4.0	165.5	-9	O 221 +55.5
2018	ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 82.8
08/14/18	Sky	91	@	Lynx	88	+9.5	163.0	-3	O 179 +16.0
2018	ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 79.5
08/12/18	Sky	75	@	Sun	82	+12.0	178.0	+7	U 157 -21.0
2018	ORtg: 91.6 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 91.6 Pace: 81.9
08/10/18	Sky	97	vs.	Sun	86	+10.0	177.5	-11	O 183 +5.5
2018	ORtg: 123.6 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 123.6 Pace: 78.5
08/07/18	Sky	64	vs.	Lynx	85	+4.5	165.5	+21	U 149 -16.5
2018	ORtg: 77.4 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 77.4 Pace: 82.7
08/03/18	Sky	74	@	Dream	89	+8.5	170.0	+15	U 163 -7.0
2018	ORtg: 90.3 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 90.3 Pace: 82.0
07/31/18	Sky	92	@	Wings	91	+11.5	185.0	-1	U 183 -2.0
2018	ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 77.9

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		71.0	-	-	89.0	+4.0	161.0	+18.0 -14.0	U 160.0 -1.0
	ORtg: 85.1 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 83.4			ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 85.1 Pace: 83.4

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		77.0	-	-	84.0	+0.8	161.5	+7.0 -6.3	U 161.0 -0.5
	ORtg: 92.1 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 92.1 Pace: 83.6

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/09/19 2019	Mystics	-	vs.	Wings	-	-14.0	158.0	-	-
06/07/19 2019	Mystics	-	@	Liberty	-	-9.5	165.5	-	-
06/05/19 2019	Mystics	-	vs.	Sky	-	-12.0	169.0	-	-
06/01/19	Mystics	96	vs.	Dream	75	-8.5	158.5	-21	O 171 +12.5
2019	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0
05/25/19	Mystics	69	@	Sun	84	+6.0	166.5	+15	U 153 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 90.4 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 90.4 Pace: 76.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/12/18	Mystics	82	vs.	Storm	98	-5.5	168.5	+16	O 180 +11.5
2018	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 135.7 Pace: 72.2			ORtg: 135.7 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 72.2
09/09/18	Mystics	73	@	Storm	75	+5.5	169.5	+2	U 148 -21.5
2018	ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 74.9
09/07/18	Mystics	76	@	Storm	89	+4.5	170.0	+13	U 165 -5.0
2018	ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 74.0
09/04/18	Mystics	86	@	Dream	81	-4.0	159.0	-5	O 167 +8.0
2018	ORtg: 120.8 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 71.2			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 120.8 Pace: 71.2
09/02/18	Mystics	97	vs.	Dream	76	-3.0	162.0	-21	O 173 +11.0
2018	ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 81.5
08/31/18	Mystics	76	vs.	Dream	81	-2.0	158.0	+5	U 157 -1.0
2018	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 76.4
08/28/18	Mystics	75	@	Dream	78	0.0	163.0	+3	U 153 -10.0
2018	ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 79.7
08/26/18	Mystics	87	@	Dream	84	-2.5	163.5	-3	O 171 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 75.8

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		96.0	-	-	75.0	-8.5	158.5	-21.0 +12.5	O 171.0 +12.5
	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		82.5	-	-	79.5	-1.3	162.5	-3.0 +1.8	U 162.0 -0.5
	ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 76.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

Notable trends will be listed here after game 5.

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) to the over

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) to the over at home

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) to the over as a home fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Sky (Away)

The Sky are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread

The Sky are 0% (0-2) against the spread away

The Sky are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 0% (0-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 50% (1-1-1) to the over

The Sky are 50% (1-1) to the over away

The Sky are 50% (1-1) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Sky are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sky are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 50% (1-1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sky are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/13/18	Mystics	88	vs.	Sky	72	-9.5	174.5	-16	U 160 -14.5
2018	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 77.4
06/22/18	Mystics	93	@	Sky	77	-6.5	168.0	-16	O 170 +2.0
2018	ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 90.5 Pace: 85.0			ORtg: 90.5 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 85.0
06/19/18	Mystics	88	vs.	Sky	60	-9.5	168.5	-28	U 148 -20.5
2018	ORtg: 122.4 DRtg: 83.4 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 83.4 DRtg: 122.4 Pace: 71.9

Mystics as Home (2 games)		88.0	-	-	66.0	-9.5	171.5	-22.0 +12.5	U 154.0 -17.5
	ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 88.2 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 88.2 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 74.7

All Games Avg (3 games)		89.7	-	-	69.7	-8.5	170.3	-20.0 +11.5	U 159.3 -11.0
	ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 89.0 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 89.0 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 78.1