WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 82 – 66
Seattle Storm @ Atlanta Dream

Storm: 1-1 (50.0%)

Dream: 1-0 (100.0%)

Line: -6.5

Total: 148.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 3 for the Storm and game 2 for the Dream. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Storm after Sat, Jun 1, the Dream after Thu, Jun 6.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/04/19 2019	Storm	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-1.5	149.0	-	-
06/01/19 2019	Storm	-	@	Sky	-	+2.5	162.0	-	-
05/31/19 2019	Storm	-	@	Dream	-	+6.5	148.5	-	-
05/29/19	Storm	61	@	Lynx	72	+4.5	152.5	+11	U 133 -19.5
2019	ORtg: 84.2 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 84.2 Pace: 72.4
05/25/19	Storm	77	vs.	Mercury	68	+3.5	158.5	-9	U 145 -13.5
2019	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 75.4
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/12/18	Storm	98	@	Mystics	82	+5.5	168.5	-16	O 180 +11.5
2018	ORtg: 135.7 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 72.2			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 135.7 Pace: 72.2
09/09/18	Storm	75	vs.	Mystics	73	-5.5	169.5	-2	U 148 -21.5
2018	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 74.9
09/07/18	Storm	89	vs.	Mystics	76	-4.5	170.0	-13	U 165 -5.0
2018	ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 74.0
09/04/18	Storm	94	vs.	Mercury	84	-5.0	170.5	-10	O 178 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 74.6
09/02/18	Storm	84	@	Mercury	86	+3.0	170.5	+2	U 170 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 79.9
08/31/18	Storm	66	@	Mercury	86	+2.0	172.0	+20	U 152 -20.0
2018	ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 81.8
08/28/18	Storm	91	vs.	Mercury	87 OT	-5.0	178.0	-4	P 178 0.0
2018	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 74.7
08/26/18	Storm	91	vs.	Mercury	87	-6.0	175.5	-4	O 178 +2.5
2018	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 75.2

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		61.0	-	-	72.0	+4.5	152.5	+11.0 -6.5	U 133.0 -19.5
	ORtg: 84.2 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 84.2 Pace: 72.4

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		69.0	-	-	70.0	+4.0	155.5	+1.0 +3.0	U 139.0 -16.5
	ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 94.8 Pace: 73.9			ORtg: 94.8 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 73.9

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/06/19 2019	Dream	-	vs.	Aces	-	+4.5	161.5	-	-
06/01/19 2019	Dream	-	@	Mystics	-	+8.5	158.5	-	-
05/31/19 2019	Dream	-	vs.	Storm	-	-6.5	148.5	-	-
05/24/19	Dream	76	vs.	Wings	72	-10.5	156.0	-4	U 148 -8.0
2019	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 93.6 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 93.6 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 76.9
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/04/18	Dream	81	vs.	Mystics	86	+4.0	159.0	+5	O 167 +8.0
2018	ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 120.8 Pace: 71.2			ORtg: 120.8 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 71.2
09/02/18	Dream	76	@	Mystics	97	+3.0	162.0	+21	O 173 +11.0
2018	ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 81.5
08/31/18	Dream	81	@	Mystics	76	+2.0	158.0	-5	U 157 -1.0
2018	ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 76.4
08/28/18	Dream	78	vs.	Mystics	75	0.0	163.0	-3	U 153 -10.0
2018	ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 79.7
08/26/18	Dream	84	vs.	Mystics	87	+2.5	163.5	+3	O 171 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 75.8
08/19/18	Dream	93	@	Aces	78	-5.0	174.5	-15	U 171 -3.5
2018	ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 79.4
08/17/18	Dream	95	@	Mercury	104	+3.5	169.0	+9	O 199 +30.0
2018	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 124.1 Pace: 83.8			ORtg: 124.1 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 83.8
08/12/18	Dream	86	@	Liberty	77	-5.5	159.5	-9	O 163 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 79.2
08/11/18	Dream	92	vs.	Wings	82	-6.0	166.5	-10	O 174 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 102.4 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 102.4 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 80.1

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		76.0	-	-	72.0	-10.5	156.0	-4.0 -6.5	U 148.0 -8.0
	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 93.6 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 93.6 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 76.9

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		76.0	-	-	72.0	-10.5	156.0	-4.0 -6.5	U 148.0 -8.0
	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 93.6 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 93.6 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 76.9

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season for the Storm: their records include last season.

The Storm are 72.7% (16-6) against the spread away

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Dream (Home)

The Dream are 0% (0-2) against the spread

The Dream are 0% (0-2) against the spread at home

The Dream are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 100% (2-0) to the under

The Dream are 100% (2-0) to the under at home

The Dream are 100% (2-0) to the under as a fav

The Dream are 100% (2-0) to the under as a home fav

The Dream are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Dream are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Dream are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Storm (Away)

The Storm are 61.4% (27-17-1) against the spread

The Storm are 72.7% (16-6) against the spread away

The Storm are 61.5% (8-5) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 58.3% (7-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Storm are 52.3% (23-21-1) to the under

The Storm are 54.5% (12-10) to the over away

The Storm are 53.8% (7-6) to the under as a dog

The Storm are 50% (6-6) to the over as an away dog

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Storm are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Storm are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Storm are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/22/18	Dream	87	vs.	Storm	74	+2.5	163.0	-13	U 161 -2.0
2018	ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 96.1 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 96.1 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 77.0
07/06/18	Dream	86	vs.	Storm	95	+4.5	161.0	+9	O 181 +20.0
2018	ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 84.4			ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 84.4
06/10/18	Dream	67	@	Storm	64	+7.5	166.5	-3	U 131 -35.5
2018	ORtg: 84.4 DRtg: 80.6 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 80.6 DRtg: 84.4 Pace: 79.4

Dream as Home (2 games)		86.5	-	-	84.5	+3.5	162.0	-2.0 +5.5	O 171.0 +9.0
	ORtg: 107.4 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 107.4 Pace: 80.7

All Games Avg (3 games)		80.0	-	-	77.7	+4.8	163.5	-2.3 +7.2	U 157.7 -5.8
	ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 80.3