WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 68 – 77
Phoenix Mercury @ Seattle Storm

Mercury: 0-0 (0.0%)

Storm: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: +3.5

Total: 158.5

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Injury Report PHXNo report SEANo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 1 for the Mercury and game 1 for the Storm. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Mercury after Sun, Jun 9, the Storm after Sat, Jun 1.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/06/19 2019	Mercury	-	@	Lynx	-	+2.0	154.0	-	-
05/31/19 2019	Mercury	-	vs.	Aces	-	+2.0	165.0	-	-
05/25/19 2019	Mercury	-	@	Storm	-	-3.5	158.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/04/18	Mercury	84	@	Storm	94	+5.0	170.5	+10	O 178 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 74.6
09/02/18	Mercury	86	vs.	Storm	84	-3.0	170.5	-2	U 170 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 79.9
08/31/18	Mercury	86	vs.	Storm	66	-2.0	172.0	-20	U 152 -20.0
2018	ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 81.8
08/28/18	Mercury	87	@	Storm	91 OT	+5.0	178.0	+4	P 178 0.0
2018	ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 74.7
08/26/18	Mercury	87	@	Storm	91	+6.0	175.5	+4	O 178 +2.5
2018	ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2
08/23/18	Mercury	96	@	Sun	86	+4.0	176.0	-10	O 182 +6.0
2018	ORtg: 124.7 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 124.7 Pace: 77.0
08/21/18	Mercury	101	vs.	Wings	83	-7.0	178.5	-18	O 184 +5.5
2018	ORtg: 135.7 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 135.7 Pace: 74.4
08/19/18	Mercury	96	vs.	Liberty	85	-12.0	167.0	-11	O 181 +14.0
2018	ORtg: 127.9 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 75.0			ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 127.9 Pace: 75.0
08/17/18	Mercury	104	vs.	Dream	95	-3.5	169.0	-9	O 199 +30.0
2018	ORtg: 124.1 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 83.8			ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 124.1 Pace: 83.8
08/12/18	Mercury	86	vs.	Sparks	78	+3.0	162.0	-8	O 164 +2.0
2018	ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 75.1

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/31/19 2019	Storm	-	@	Dream	-	+6.5	148.5	-	-
05/29/19 2019	Storm	-	@	Lynx	-	+4.5	152.5	-	-
05/25/19 2019	Storm	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+3.5	158.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/12/18	Storm	98	@	Mystics	82	+5.5	168.5	-16	O 180 +11.5
2018	ORtg: 135.7 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 72.2			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 135.7 Pace: 72.2
09/09/18	Storm	75	vs.	Mystics	73	-5.5	169.5	-2	U 148 -21.5
2018	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 74.9
09/07/18	Storm	89	vs.	Mystics	76	-4.5	170.0	-13	U 165 -5.0
2018	ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 74.0
09/04/18	Storm	94	vs.	Mercury	84	-5.0	170.5	-10	O 178 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 74.6
09/02/18	Storm	84	@	Mercury	86	+3.0	170.5	+2	U 170 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 79.9
08/31/18	Storm	66	@	Mercury	86	+2.0	172.0	+20	U 152 -20.0
2018	ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 81.8
08/28/18	Storm	91	vs.	Mercury	87 OT	-5.0	178.0	-4	P 178 0.0
2018	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 74.7
08/26/18	Storm	91	vs.	Mercury	87	-6.0	175.5	-4	O 178 +2.5
2018	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 75.2
08/19/18	Storm	84	vs.	Wings	68	-7.0	171.5	-16	U 152 -19.5
2018	ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 90.5 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 90.5 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 75.1
08/17/18	Storm	85	vs.	Liberty	77	-15.5	163.5	-8	U 162 -1.5
2018	ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 81.8

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Mercury are 72.7% (16-6) against the spread away

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 61.9% (26-16-1) against the spread

The Storm are 50% (11-11-1) against the spread at home

The Storm are 63.6% (7-4) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Storm are 50% (21-21-1) to the over

The Storm are 59.1% (13-9-1) to the under at home

The Storm are 54.5% (6-5) to the over as a dog

The Storm are 100% (1-0) to the under as a home dog

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Mercury (Away)

The Mercury are 59.5% (25-17) against the spread

The Mercury are 72.7% (16-6) against the spread away

The Mercury are 48% (12-13) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as an away fav

The Mercury are 56.1% (23-18-1) to the over

The Mercury are 57.1% (12-9-1) to the over away

The Mercury are 52% (13-12) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 57.1% (4-3) to the over as an away fav

The Mercury are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mercury are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Mercury are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Mercury are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Mercury are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Mercury are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/04/18	Storm	94	vs.	Mercury	84	-5.0	170.5	-10	O 178 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 74.6
09/02/18	Storm	84	@	Mercury	86	+3.0	170.5	+2	U 170 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 79.9
08/31/18	Storm	66	@	Mercury	86	+2.0	172.0	+20	U 152 -20.0
2018	ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 81.8
08/28/18	Storm	91	vs.	Mercury	87 OT	-5.0	178.0	-4	P 178 0.0
2018	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 74.7
08/26/18	Storm	91	vs.	Mercury	87	-6.0	175.5	-4	O 178 +2.5
2018	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 75.2
07/31/18	Storm	102	@	Mercury	91	-3.5	170.5	-11	O 193 +22.5
2018	ORtg: 124.2 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 124.2 Pace: 82.1
05/23/18	Storm	87	@	Mercury	71	+5.5	156.5	-16	O 158 +1.5
2018	ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2
05/20/18	Storm	82	vs.	Mercury	87	-2.5	155.5	+5	O 169 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.7

Storm as Home (4 games)		89.5	-	-	86.3	-4.6	169.9	-3.3 -1.4	O 175.8 +5.9
	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 75.3			ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 75.3

All Games Avg (8 games)		87.1	-	-	84.9	-1.4	168.6	-2.3 +0.8	O 172.0 +3.4
	ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 77.6