WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 88 – 109
Las Vegas Aces @ Connecticut Sun

Aces: 12-14 (46.2%)

Sun: 15-12 (55.6%)

Line: -10.0

Total: 170.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Aces Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/09/18 2018	Aces	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+1.0	166.0	-	-
08/07/18 2018	Aces	-	@	Dream	-	+8.5	167.0	-	-
08/05/18 2018	Aces	-	@	Sun	-	+10.0	170.5	-	-
08/01/18	Aces	93	vs.	Mercury	104	-4.0	172.0	+11	O 197 +25.0
2018	ORtg: 109.9 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 109.9 Pace: 84.6
07/22/18	Aces	88	vs.	Fever	74	-8.5	167.0	-14	U 162 -5.0
2018	ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 93.7 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 93.7 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 79.0
07/19/18	Aces	85	@	Mercury	82	+9.0	172.0	-3	U 167 -5.0
2018	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 95.3 Pace: 86.1			ORtg: 95.3 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 86.1
07/15/18	Aces	78	vs.	Sparks	99	+5.0	161.0	+21	O 177 +16.0
2018	ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 120.8 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 120.8 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 81.9
07/13/18	Aces	85	@	Lynx	77	+8.5	163.5	-8	U 162 -1.5
2018	ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 78.9
07/10/18	Aces	98	@	Sky	74	+3.5	175.0	-24	U 172 -3.0
2018	ORtg: 120.2 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 120.2 Pace: 81.5
07/07/18	Aces	94	vs.	Sun	90	+4.0	168.0	-4	O 184 +16.0
2018	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 82.0
07/05/18	Aces	84	vs.	Sky	80	-4.5	176.0	-4	U 164 -12.0
2018	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 80.9
07/01/18	Aces	71	@	Sparks	87	+12.0	159.0	+16	U 158 -1.0
2018	ORtg: 91.4 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 91.4 Pace: 77.7
06/29/18	Aces	94	vs.	Sparks	78	+6.5	158.5	-16	O 172 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 119.3 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 119.3 Pace: 78.8

Away Games Avg (4 games)		84.8	-	-	80.0	+8.3	167.4	-4.8 +13.0	U 164.8 -2.6
	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 81.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		87.0	-	-	84.5	+3.2	167.2	-2.5 +5.7	O 171.5 +4.3
	ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 81.1

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/10/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Sky	-	-10.0	177.5	-	-
08/08/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Wings	-	-2.0	174.5	-	-
08/05/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Aces	-	-10.0	170.5	-	-
08/01/18	Sun	92	vs.	Liberty	77	-12.0	166.0	-15	O 169 +3.0
2018	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 79.8
07/24/18	Sun	94	vs.	Mystics	68	-4.5	170.0	-26	U 162 -8.0
2018	ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 89.0 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 89.0 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 76.4
07/22/18	Sun	92	@	Wings	75	+4.5	177.0	-17	U 167 -10.0
2018	ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 75.4
07/20/18	Sun	65	vs.	Storm	78	-2.5	176.0	+13	U 143 -33.0
2018	ORtg: 85.8 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 85.8 Pace: 75.8
07/17/18	Sun	83	vs.	Dream	86	-7.0	170.5	+3	U 169 -1.5
2018	ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 82.9			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 82.9
07/15/18	Sun	83	@	Lynx	64	+3.0	164.0	-19	U 147 -17.0
2018	ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 74.1
07/13/18	Sun	91	vs.	Mercury	87	-5.5	169.0	-4	O 178 +9.0
2018	ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 76.5
07/11/18	Sun	76	vs.	Liberty	79	-9.0	164.5	+3	U 155 -9.5
2018	ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 80.1
07/07/18	Sun	90	@	Aces	94	-4.0	168.0	+4	O 184 +16.0
2018	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.0
07/05/18	Sun	77	@	Mercury	84	+6.5	169.5	+7	U 161 -8.5
2018	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 76.9

Home Games Avg (6 games)		83.5	-	-	79.2	-6.8	169.3	-4.3 -2.4	U 162.7 -6.7
	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 78.6

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.3	-	-	79.2	-3.1	169.5	-5.1 +2.1	U 163.5 -6.0
	ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 78.0

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Notable Trends

The Aces are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Aces are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Aces are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Aces are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

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Sun (Home)

The Sun are 46.4% (13-15) against the spread

The Sun are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread at home

The Sun are 50% (10-10) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 57.1% (16-12) to the under

The Sun are 53.8% (7-6) to the over at home

The Sun are 50% (10-10) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 53.8% (7-6) to the over as a home fav

The Sun are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sun are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Sun are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Aces (Away)

The Aces are 51.9% (14-13) against the spread

The Aces are 57.1% (8-6) against the spread away

The Aces are 54.2% (13-11) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 57.1% (8-6) against the spread as an away dog

The Aces are 51.9% (14-13) to the over

The Aces are 64.3% (9-5) to the under away

The Aces are 54.2% (13-11) to the over as a dog

The Aces are 64.3% (9-5) to the under as an away dog

The Aces are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread