WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 92 – 91
Chicago Sky @ Dallas Wings

Sky: 9-17 (34.6%)

Wings: 14-11 (56.0%)

Line: -11.5

Total: 185.0

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/07/18 2018	Sky	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+4.5	165.5	-	-
08/03/18 2018	Sky	-	@	Dream	-	+8.5	170.0	-	-
07/31/18 2018	Sky	-	@	Wings	-	+11.5	185.0	-	-
07/25/18	Sky	101	@	Mercury	87	+6.5	172.5	-14	O 188 +15.5
2018	ORtg: 128.2 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 128.2 Pace: 78.8
07/22/18	Sky	76	vs.	Sparks	93	+4.0	166.0	+17	O 169 +3.0
2018	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 76.4
07/20/18	Sky	114	vs.	Wings	99	+7.0	180.5	-15	O 213 +32.5
2018	ORtg: 131.4 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 131.4 Pace: 86.7
07/18/18	Sky	83	vs.	Storm	101	+8.0	176.5	+18	O 184 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 122.0 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 122.0 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 82.8
07/15/18	Sky	84	@	Liberty	107	+4.5	164.5	+23	O 191 +26.5
2018	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 136.4 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 136.4 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 78.5
07/13/18	Sky	72	@	Mystics	88	+9.5	174.5	+16	U 160 -14.5
2018	ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 77.4
07/10/18	Sky	74	vs.	Aces	98	-3.5	175.0	+24	U 172 -3.0
2018	ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 120.2 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 120.2 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5
07/07/18	Sky	77	vs.	Lynx	63	+8.5	169.0	-14	U 140 -29.0
2018	ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 76.7
07/05/18	Sky	80	@	Aces	84	+4.5	176.0	+4	U 164 -12.0
2018	ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 80.9
07/03/18	Sky	85	@	Wings	108	+6.5	174.5	+23	O 193 +18.5
2018	ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 132.0 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 132.0 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 81.8

Away Games Avg (5 games)		84.4	-	-	94.8	+6.3	172.4	+10.4 -4.1	O 179.2 +6.8
	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 119.2 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 119.2 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 79.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.6	-	-	92.8	+5.6	172.9	+8.2 -2.7	O 177.4 +4.5
	ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 80.2

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/05/18 2018	Wings	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-3.0	172.5	-	-
08/02/18 2018	Wings	-	@	Fever	-	-7.0	170.0	-	-
07/31/18 2018	Wings	-	vs.	Sky	-	-11.5	185.0	-	-
07/22/18	Wings	75	vs.	Sun	92	-4.5	177.0	+17	U 167 -10.0
2018	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 75.4
07/20/18	Wings	99	@	Sky	114	-7.0	180.5	+15	O 213 +32.5
2018	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 131.4 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 131.4 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 86.7
07/19/18	Wings	90	vs.	Mystics	81	-5.0	178.0	-9	U 171 -7.0
2018	ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 98.5 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 98.5 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 82.2
07/17/18	Wings	104	vs.	Liberty	87	-8.0	170.5	-17	O 191 +20.5
2018	ORtg: 123.4 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 84.3			ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 123.4 Pace: 84.3
07/14/18	Wings	84	@	Storm	91	+4.5	174.5	+7	O 175 +0.5
2018	ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 82.7
07/12/18	Wings	92	@	Sparks	77	+6.0	163.0	-15	O 169 +6.0
2018	ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 77.4
07/10/18	Wings	101	vs.	Mercury	72	-2.5	171.0	-29	O 173 +2.0
2018	ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 78.9
07/08/18	Wings	97	@	Liberty	87	-3.5	164.0	-10	O 184 +20.0
2018	ORtg: 127.2 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 127.2 Pace: 76.3
07/05/18	Wings	90	vs.	Fever	63	-10.0	167.0	-27	U 153 -14.0
2018	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 77.5 Pace: 81.2			ORtg: 77.5 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 81.2
07/03/18	Wings	108	vs.	Sky	85	-6.5	174.5	-23	O 193 +18.5
2018	ORtg: 132.0 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 132.0 Pace: 81.8

Home Games Avg (6 games)		94.7	-	-	80.0	-6.1	173.0	-14.7 +8.6	O 174.7 +1.7
	ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 80.6

All Games Avg (10 games)		94.0	-	-	84.9	-3.7	172.0	-9.1 +5.5	O 178.9 +6.9
	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 80.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Wings are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

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Wings (Home)

The Wings are 61.5% (16-10) against the spread

The Wings are 64.3% (9-5) against the spread at home

The Wings are 62.5% (10-6) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 66.7% (8-4) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 65.4% (17-9) to the over

The Wings are 50% (7-7) to the over at home

The Wings are 62.5% (10-6) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 50% (6-6) to the over as a home fav

The Wings are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wings are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Wings are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Wings are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Wings are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Sky (Away)

The Sky are 44.4% (12-15) against the spread

The Sky are 46.2% (6-7) against the spread away

The Sky are 43.5% (10-13) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 46.2% (6-7) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 63% (17-10) to the over

The Sky are 53.8% (7-6) to the over away

The Sky are 60.9% (14-9) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 53.8% (7-6) to the over as an away dog

The Sky are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sky are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sky are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/20/18	Wings	99	@	Sky	114	-7.0	180.5	+15	O 213 +32.5
2018	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 131.4 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 131.4 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 86.7
07/03/18	Wings	108	vs.	Sky	85	-6.5	174.5	-23	O 193 +18.5
2018	ORtg: 132.0 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 132.0 Pace: 81.8
08/30/17	Wings	99	@	Sky	96	+3.0	178.5	-3	O 195 +16.5
2017	ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 79.5
07/16/17	Wings	112	vs.	Sky	106	-5.5	170.5	-6	O 218 +47.5
2017	ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 82.8
07/12/17	Wings	84	@	Sky	90	-3.0	172.5	+6	O 174 +1.5
2017	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 81.1

Wings as Home (2 games)		110.0	-	-	95.5	-6.0	172.5	-14.5 +8.5	O 205.5 +33.0
	ORtg: 122.0 DRtg: 104.9 Pace: 82.3			ORtg: 104.9 DRtg: 122.0 Pace: 82.3

All Games Avg (5 games)		100.4	-	-	98.2	-3.8	175.3	-2.2 -1.6	O 198.6 +23.3
	ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 114.6 Pace: 82.4			ORtg: 114.6 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 82.4