WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 68 – 94
Washington Mystics @ Connecticut Sun

Mystics: 14-10 (58.3%)

Sun: 13-12 (52.0%)

Line: -4.5

Total: 170.0

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Injury Report WASNo report CONNo report

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/05/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Wings	-	+3.0	172.5	-	-
07/31/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Dream	-	+5.5	163.0	-	-
07/24/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Sun	-	+4.5	170.0	-	-
07/21/18	Mystics	95	@	Liberty	78	-6.0	165.0	-17	O 173 +8.0
2018	ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 76.8
07/19/18	Mystics	81	@	Wings	90	+5.0	178.0	+9	U 171 -7.0
2018	ORtg: 98.5 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 98.5 Pace: 82.2
07/15/18	Mystics	77	@	Dream	80	-2.0	166.0	+3	U 157 -9.0
2018	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 74.7
07/13/18	Mystics	88	vs.	Sky	72	-9.5	174.5	-16	U 160 -14.5
2018	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 77.4
07/11/18	Mystics	89	vs.	Dream	106	-8.0	164.5	+17	O 195 +30.5
2018	ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 142.4 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 142.4 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 74.4
07/08/18	Mystics	91	@	Storm	97	+6.0	171.5	+6	O 188 +16.5
2018	ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 74.8
07/07/18	Mystics	83	@	Sparks	74	+6.5	160.5	-9	U 157 -3.5
2018	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 95.0 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 95.0 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 77.9
07/05/18	Mystics	86	vs.	Liberty	67	-8.5	160.0	-19	U 153 -7.0
2018	ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 90.9 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 90.9 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 73.7
06/30/18	Mystics	74	vs.	Mercury	84	-3.5	167.0	+10	U 158 -9.0
2018	ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 77.5
06/28/18	Mystics	80	vs.	Liberty	77	-9.5	161.5	-3	U 157 -4.5
2018	ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 74.2

Away Games Avg (5 games)		85.4	-	-	83.8	+1.9	168.2	-1.6 +3.5	O 169.2 +1.0
	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 77.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.4	-	-	82.5	-3.0	166.9	-1.9 -1.1	O 166.9 +0.1
	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 76.4

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/05/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Aces	-	-10.0	170.5	-	-
08/01/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-12.0	166.0	-	-
07/24/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-4.5	170.0	-	-
07/22/18	Sun	92	@	Wings	75	+4.5	177.0	-17	U 167 -10.0
2018	ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 75.4
07/20/18	Sun	65	vs.	Storm	78	-2.5	176.0	+13	U 143 -33.0
2018	ORtg: 85.8 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 85.8 Pace: 75.8
07/17/18	Sun	83	vs.	Dream	86	-7.0	170.5	+3	U 169 -1.5
2018	ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 82.9			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 82.9
07/15/18	Sun	83	@	Lynx	64	+3.0	164.0	-19	U 147 -17.0
2018	ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 74.1
07/13/18	Sun	91	vs.	Mercury	87	-5.5	169.0	-4	O 178 +9.0
2018	ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 76.5
07/11/18	Sun	76	vs.	Liberty	79	-9.0	164.5	+3	U 155 -9.5
2018	ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 80.1
07/07/18	Sun	90	@	Aces	94	-4.0	168.0	+4	O 184 +16.0
2018	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.0
07/05/18	Sun	77	@	Mercury	84	+6.5	169.5	+7	U 161 -8.5
2018	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 76.9
07/03/18	Sun	73	@	Sparks	72	+9.5	161.5	-1	U 145 -16.5
2018	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 75.4
07/01/18	Sun	70	@	Storm	84	+5.5	175.5	+14	U 154 -21.5
2018	ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 75.8			ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 75.8

Home Games Avg (4 games)		78.8	-	-	82.5	-6.0	170.0	+3.8 -9.8	U 161.3 -8.8
	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 78.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		80.0	-	-	80.3	+0.1	169.6	+0.3 -0.2	U 160.3 -9.3
	ORtg: 103.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 103.3 Pace: 77.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Sun are 71.4% (10-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Mystics are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Mystics are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

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Sun (Home)

The Sun are 42.3% (11-15) against the spread

The Sun are 45.5% (5-6) against the spread at home

The Sun are 44.4% (8-10) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 45.5% (5-6) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 61.5% (16-10) to the under

The Sun are 54.5% (6-5) to the under at home

The Sun are 55.6% (10-8) to the under as a fav

The Sun are 54.5% (6-5) to the under as a home fav

The Sun are 42.9% (6-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sun are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 71.4% (10-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Sun are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Sun are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Sun are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Mystics (Away)

The Mystics are 50% (12-12-1) against the spread

The Mystics are 63.6% (7-4-1) against the spread away

The Mystics are 50% (5-5-1) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 52% (13-12) to the under

The Mystics are 50% (6-6) to the over away

The Mystics are 54.5% (6-5) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as an away dog

The Mystics are 45.5% (5-6-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 40% (2-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mystics are 33.3% (1-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 33.3% (1-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under away