WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 85 – 82
Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury

Aces: 10-13 (43.5%)

Mercury: 15-8 (65.2%)

Line: -9.0

Total: 172.0

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Injury Report LVANo report PHXNo report

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Aces Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/01/18 2018	Aces	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-4.0	172.0	-	-
07/22/18 2018	Aces	-	vs.	Fever	-	-8.5	167.0	-	-
07/19/18 2018	Aces	-	@	Mercury	-	+9.0	172.0	-	-
07/15/18	Aces	78	vs.	Sparks	99	+5.0	161.0	+21	O 177 +16.0
2018	ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 120.8 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 120.8 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 81.9
07/13/18	Aces	85	@	Lynx	77	+8.5	163.5	-8	U 162 -1.5
2018	ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 78.9
07/10/18	Aces	98	@	Sky	74	+3.5	175.0	-24	U 172 -3.0
2018	ORtg: 120.2 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 120.2 Pace: 81.5
07/07/18	Aces	94	vs.	Sun	90	+4.0	168.0	-4	O 184 +16.0
2018	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 82.0
07/05/18	Aces	84	vs.	Sky	80	-4.5	176.0	-4	U 164 -12.0
2018	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 80.9
07/01/18	Aces	71	@	Sparks	87	+12.0	159.0	+16	U 158 -1.0
2018	ORtg: 91.4 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 91.4 Pace: 77.7
06/29/18	Aces	94	vs.	Sparks	78	+6.5	158.5	-16	O 172 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 119.3 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 119.3 Pace: 78.8
06/27/18	Aces	91	vs.	Wings	97	+1.5	168.5	+6	O 188 +19.5
2018	ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 83.6
06/24/18	Aces	73	vs.	Lynx	88	+7.0	162.5	+15	U 161 -1.5
2018	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 79.6			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 79.6
06/22/18	Aces	88	vs.	Liberty	78	+1.5	160.0	-10	O 166 +6.0
2018	ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 81.8

Away Games Avg (3 games)		84.7	-	-	79.3	+8.0	165.8	-5.3 +13.3	U 164.0 -1.8
	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		85.6	-	-	84.8	+4.5	165.2	-0.8 +5.3	O 170.4 +5.2
	ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 80.7

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/25/18 2018	Mercury	-	vs.	Sky	-	-6.5	172.5	-	-
07/21/18 2018	Mercury	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-3.5	160.0	-	-
07/19/18 2018	Mercury	-	vs.	Aces	-	-9.0	172.0	-	-
07/15/18	Mercury	101	@	Fever	82	-9.5	162.0	-19	O 183 +21.0
2018	ORtg: 130.8 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 130.8 Pace: 77.2
07/13/18	Mercury	87	@	Sun	91	+5.5	169.0	+4	O 178 +9.0
2018	ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 76.5
07/10/18	Mercury	72	@	Wings	101	+2.5	171.0	+29	O 173 +2.0
2018	ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 78.9
07/08/18	Mercury	70	@	Dream	76	-4.5	160.5	+6	U 146 -14.5
2018	ORtg: 85.4 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 82.0			ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 85.4 Pace: 82.0
07/05/18	Mercury	84	vs.	Sun	77	-6.5	169.5	-7	U 161 -8.5
2018	ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 76.9			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 76.9
06/30/18	Mercury	84	@	Mystics	74	+3.5	167.0	-10	U 158 -9.0
2018	ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 77.5
06/29/18	Mercury	95	@	Fever	77	-7.5	162.5	-18	O 172 +9.5
2018	ORtg: 122.5 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 122.5 Pace: 77.6
06/26/18	Mercury	83	@	Liberty	69	-3.5	160.5	-14	U 152 -8.5
2018	ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 74.0
06/24/18	Mercury	88	@	Sky	97	-7.0	164.5	+9	O 185 +20.5
2018	ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 81.5
06/22/18	Mercury	72	vs.	Lynx	83	-2.0	162.0	+11	U 155 -7.0
2018	ORtg: 91.2 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 91.2 Pace: 78.9

Home Games Avg (2 games)		78.0	-	-	80.0	-4.3	165.8	+2.0 -6.3	U 158.0 -7.8
	ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 77.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		83.6	-	-	82.7	-2.9	164.9	-0.9 -2.0	O 166.3 +1.5
	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 78.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Aces are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Aces are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Aces are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Aces are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

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Mercury (Home)

The Mercury are 62.5% (15-9) against the spread

The Mercury are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread at home

The Mercury are 53.3% (8-7) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as a home fav

The Mercury are 50% (12-12) to the over

The Mercury are 55.6% (5-4) to the under at home

The Mercury are 53.3% (8-7) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as a home fav

The Mercury are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mercury are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mercury are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Mercury are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Mercury are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Mercury are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Aces (Away)

The Aces are 54.2% (13-11) against the spread

The Aces are 61.5% (8-5) against the spread away

The Aces are 56.5% (13-10) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 61.5% (8-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Aces are 50% (12-12) to the over

The Aces are 69.2% (9-4) to the under away

The Aces are 52.2% (12-11) to the over as a dog

The Aces are 69.2% (9-4) to the under as an away dog

The Aces are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread