WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 87 – 104
New York Liberty @ Dallas Wings

Liberty: 7-14 (33.3%)

Wings: 12-9 (57.1%)

Line: -8.0

Total: 170.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/21/18 2018	Liberty	-	vs.	Mystics	-	+6.0	165.0	-	-
07/19/18 2018	Liberty	-	@	Dream	-	+6.5	164.5	-	-
07/17/18 2018	Liberty	-	@	Wings	-	+8.0	170.5	-	-
07/15/18	Liberty	107	vs.	Sky	84	-4.5	164.5	-23	O 191 +26.5
2018	ORtg: 136.4 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 136.4 Pace: 78.5
07/11/18	Liberty	79	@	Sun	76	+9.0	164.5	-3	U 155 -9.5
2018	ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 80.1
07/08/18	Liberty	87	vs.	Wings	97	+3.5	164.0	+10	O 184 +20.0
2018	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 127.2 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 127.2 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 76.3
07/05/18	Liberty	67	@	Mystics	86	+8.5	160.0	+19	U 153 -7.0
2018	ORtg: 90.9 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 90.9 Pace: 73.7
07/03/18	Liberty	62	vs.	Storm	77	+4.5	165.5	+15	U 139 -26.5
2018	ORtg: 86.2 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 86.2 Pace: 71.9
07/01/18	Liberty	97	@	Sky	94 OT	+2.5	165.5	-3	O 191 +25.5
2018	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 80.6
06/29/18	Liberty	99	vs.	Sky	103	-3.5	162.5	+4	O 202 +39.5
2018	ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 79.5
06/28/18	Liberty	77	@	Mystics	80	+9.5	161.5	+3	U 157 -4.5
2018	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 74.2
06/26/18	Liberty	69	vs.	Mercury	83	+3.5	160.5	+14	U 152 -8.5
2018	ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 74.0
06/24/18	Liberty	54	@	Sparks	80	+10.5	151.5	+26	U 134 -17.5
2018	ORtg: 71.5 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 71.5 Pace: 75.6

Away Games Avg (5 games)		74.8	-	-	83.2	+8.0	160.6	+8.4 -0.4	U 158.0 -2.6
	ORtg: 94.8 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 94.8 Pace: 76.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		79.8	-	-	86.0	+4.4	162.0	+6.2 -1.9	O 165.8 +3.8
	ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 76.4

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/20/18 2018	Wings	-	@	Sky	-	-7.0	180.5	-	-
07/19/18 2018	Wings	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-5.0	178.0	-	-
07/17/18 2018	Wings	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-8.0	170.5	-	-
07/14/18	Wings	84	@	Storm	91	+4.5	174.5	+7	O 175 +0.5
2018	ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 82.7
07/12/18	Wings	92	@	Sparks	77	+6.0	163.0	-15	O 169 +6.0
2018	ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 77.4
07/10/18	Wings	101	vs.	Mercury	72	-2.5	171.0	-29	O 173 +2.0
2018	ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 78.9
07/08/18	Wings	97	@	Liberty	87	-3.5	164.0	-10	O 184 +20.0
2018	ORtg: 127.2 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 127.2 Pace: 76.3
07/05/18	Wings	90	vs.	Fever	63	-10.0	167.0	-27	U 153 -14.0
2018	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 77.5 Pace: 81.2			ORtg: 77.5 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 81.2
07/03/18	Wings	108	vs.	Sky	85	-6.5	174.5	-23	O 193 +18.5
2018	ORtg: 132.0 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 132.0 Pace: 81.8
07/01/18	Wings	72	vs.	Lynx	76	+3.5	168.5	+4	U 148 -20.5
2018	ORtg: 92.1 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 92.1 Pace: 78.1
06/27/18	Wings	97	@	Aces	91	-1.5	168.5	-6	O 188 +19.5
2018	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 83.6
06/26/18	Wings	83	@	Sparks	87	+10.5	158.5	+4	O 170 +11.5
2018	ORtg: 102.2 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 81.2			ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 102.2 Pace: 81.2
06/24/18	Wings	76	vs.	Storm	97	-2.5	171.0	+21	O 173 +2.0
2018	ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 122.4 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 122.4 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 79.2

Home Games Avg (5 games)		89.4	-	-	78.6	-3.6	170.4	-10.8 +7.2	U 168.0 -2.4
	ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 98.5 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 98.5 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 79.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		90.0	-	-	82.6	-0.2	168.1	-7.4 +7.2	O 172.6 +4.6
	ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 80.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Wings are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread at home

The Wings are 75% (9-3) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 77.8% (7-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 72.7% (16-6) to the over

The Wings are 75% (9-3) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wings are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Wings are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 84.6% (11-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Wings are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Wings are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

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Wings (Home)

The Wings are 68.2% (15-7) against the spread

The Wings are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread at home

The Wings are 75% (9-3) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 77.8% (7-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 72.7% (16-6) to the over

The Wings are 63.6% (7-4) to the over at home

The Wings are 75% (9-3) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 66.7% (6-3) to the over as a home fav

The Wings are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wings are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Wings are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 84.6% (11-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Wings are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Wings are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Liberty (Away)

The Liberty are 40.9% (9-13) against the spread

The Liberty are 40% (4-6) against the spread away

The Liberty are 41.7% (5-7) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 42.9% (3-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Liberty are 54.5% (12-10) to the over

The Liberty are 60% (6-4) to the over away

The Liberty are 58.3% (7-5) to the under as a dog

The Liberty are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as an away dog

The Liberty are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Liberty are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Liberty are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under away

The Liberty are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/08/18	Wings	97	@	Liberty	87	-3.5	164.0	-10	O 184 +20.0
2018	ORtg: 127.2 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 127.2 Pace: 76.3
05/29/18	Wings	89	@	Liberty	94	+2.5	162.5	+5	O 183 +20.5
2018	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 82.3			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 82.3
09/03/17	Wings	81	vs.	Liberty	82	+3.5	167.5	+1	U 163 -4.5
2017	ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 77.4
06/16/17	Wings	93	vs.	Liberty	102	+1.0	171.5	+9	O 195 +23.5
2017	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 78.5
06/02/17	Wings	89	@	Liberty	93	+3.0	157.0	+4	O 182 +25.0
2017	ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 84.0			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 84.0

Wings as Home (2 games)		87.0	-	-	92.0	+2.3	169.5	+5.0 -2.8	O 179.0 +9.5
	ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 77.9

All Games Avg (5 games)		89.8	-	-	91.6	+1.3	164.5	+1.8 -0.5	O 181.4 +16.9
	ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 79.7