WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 97 – 94
New York Liberty @ Chicago Sky

Liberty: 4-11 (26.7%)

Sky: 6-9 (40.0%)

Line: -2.5

Total: 165.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/05/18 2018	Liberty	-	@	Mystics	-	+8.5	160.0	-	-
07/03/18 2018	Liberty	-	vs.	Storm	-	+4.5	165.5	-	-
07/01/18 2018	Liberty	-	@	Sky	-	+2.5	165.5	-	-
06/29/18	Liberty	99	vs.	Sky	103	-3.5	162.5	+4	O 202 +39.5
2018	ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 79.5
06/28/18	Liberty	77	@	Mystics	80	+9.5	161.5	+3	U 157 -4.5
2018	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 74.2
06/26/18	Liberty	69	vs.	Mercury	83	+3.5	160.5	+14	U 152 -8.5
2018	ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 74.0
06/24/18	Liberty	54	@	Sparks	80	+10.5	151.5	+26	U 134 -17.5
2018	ORtg: 71.5 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 71.5 Pace: 75.6
06/22/18	Liberty	78	@	Aces	88	-1.5	160.0	+10	O 166 +6.0
2018	ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 81.8
06/19/18	Liberty	79	vs.	Dream	72	-6.0	150.5	-7	O 151 +0.5
2018	ORtg: 93.7 DRtg: 85.4 Pace: 84.3			ORtg: 85.4 DRtg: 93.7 Pace: 84.3
06/16/18	Liberty	71	@	Lynx	85	+7.0	154.0	+14	O 156 +2.0
2018	ORtg: 89.0 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 89.0 Pace: 79.8
06/13/18	Liberty	63	vs.	Aces	78	-10.0	163.5	+15	U 141 -22.5
2018	ORtg: 85.3 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 73.9			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 85.3 Pace: 73.9
06/10/18	Liberty	78	vs.	Fever	75	-10.0	157.5	-3	U 153 -4.5
2018	ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 75.2
06/07/18	Liberty	86	vs.	Sun	88	+5.5	165.5	+2	O 174 +8.5
2018	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 80.8

Away Games Avg (4 games)		70.0	-	-	83.3	+6.4	156.8	+13.3 -6.9	U 153.3 -3.5
	ORtg: 89.9 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 89.9 Pace: 77.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		75.4	-	-	83.2	+0.5	158.7	+7.8 -7.3	U 158.6 -0.1
	ORtg: 96.7 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 96.7 Pace: 77.9

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/05/18 2018	Sky	-	@	Aces	-	+4.5	176.0	-	-
07/03/18 2018	Sky	-	@	Wings	-	+6.5	174.5	-	-
07/01/18 2018	Sky	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-2.5	165.5	-	-
06/29/18	Sky	103	@	Liberty	99	+3.5	162.5	-4	O 202 +39.5
2018	ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 79.5
06/27/18	Sky	93	vs.	Dream	80	-2.0	157.5	-13	O 173 +15.5
2018	ORtg: 114.6 DRtg: 98.5 Pace: 81.2			ORtg: 98.5 DRtg: 114.6 Pace: 81.2
06/24/18	Sky	97	vs.	Mercury	88	+7.0	164.5	-9	O 185 +20.5
2018	ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 81.5
06/22/18	Sky	77	vs.	Mystics	93	+6.5	168.0	+16	O 170 +2.0
2018	ORtg: 90.5 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 85.0			ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 90.5 Pace: 85.0
06/19/18	Sky	60	@	Mystics	88	+9.5	168.5	+28	U 148 -20.5
2018	ORtg: 83.4 DRtg: 122.4 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 122.4 DRtg: 83.4 Pace: 71.9
06/17/18	Sky	72	vs.	Sparks	81	+8.5	163.0	+9	U 153 -10.0
2018	ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 75.1
06/12/18	Sky	85	@	Storm	96	+10.5	169.5	+11	O 181 +11.5
2018	ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 129.9 Pace: 73.9			ORtg: 129.9 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 73.9
06/10/18	Sky	59	@	Sparks	77	+13.5	166.5	+18	U 136 -30.5
2018	ORtg: 81.3 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 72.6			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 81.3 Pace: 72.6
06/08/18	Sky	79	@	Mercury	96	+9.5	168.5	+17	O 175 +6.5
2018	ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 127.8 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 127.8 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 75.1
06/03/18	Sky	95	vs.	Aces	90	-4.5	165.5	-5	O 185 +19.5
2018	ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 88.3			ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 88.3

Home Games Avg (5 games)		86.8	-	-	86.4	+3.1	163.7	-0.4 +3.5	O 173.2 +9.5
	ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 82.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		82.0	-	-	88.8	+6.2	165.4	+6.8 -0.6	O 170.8 +5.4
	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 78.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Sky are 77.8% (7-2) to the over at home

The Sky are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) to the over away

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Sky (Home)

The Sky are 43.8% (7-9) against the spread

The Sky are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread at home

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a fav

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Sky are 68.8% (11-5) to the over

The Sky are 77.8% (7-2) to the over at home

The Sky are 100% (3-0) to the over as a fav

The Sky are 100% (3-0) to the over as a home fav

The Sky are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sky are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Sky are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sky are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Liberty (Away)

The Liberty are 43.8% (7-9) against the spread

The Liberty are 42.9% (3-4) against the spread away

The Liberty are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 50% (2-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Liberty are 56.3% (9-7) to the over

The Liberty are 71.4% (5-2) to the over away

The Liberty are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as a dog

The Liberty are 50% (2-2) to the over as an away dog

The Liberty are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Liberty are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Liberty are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Liberty are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/29/18	Sky	103	@	Liberty	99	+3.5	162.5	-4	O 202 +39.5
2018	ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 79.5
05/20/18	Sky	80	vs.	Liberty	76	+6.5	152.5	-4	O 156 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 76.6
08/27/17	Sky	62	@	Liberty	92	+7.0	161.0	+30	U 154 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 78.2 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 78.2 Pace: 79.3
07/30/17	Sky	82	vs.	Liberty	86	+3.5	164.5	+4	O 168 +3.5
2017	ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 79.5
07/14/17	Sky	78	@	Liberty	68	+7.0	161.5	-10	U 146 -15.5
2017	ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 87.5 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 87.5 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 77.7

Sky as Home (2 games)		81.0	-	-	81.0	+5.0	158.5	0.0 +5.0	O 162.0 +3.5
	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 78.0

All Games Avg (5 games)		81.0	-	-	84.2	+5.5	160.4	+3.2 +2.3	O 165.2 +4.8
	ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 78.5