WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 87 – 78
Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever

Sun: 7-5 (58.3%)

Fever: 1-12 (7.7%)

Line: +8.5

Total: 165.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/27/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Fever	-	-11.5	165.0	-	-
06/26/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Mystics	-	+3.5	170.5	-	-
06/24/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Fever	-	-8.5	165.5	-	-
06/22/18	Sun	70	@	Dream	75	-6.0	164.5	+5	U 145 -19.5
2018	ORtg: 86.0 DRtg: 92.1 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 92.1 DRtg: 86.0 Pace: 81.4
06/16/18	Sun	72	@	Mercury	89	+5.5	172.5	+17	U 161 -11.5
2018	ORtg: 89.5 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 89.5 Pace: 80.4
06/15/18	Sun	92	@	Storm	103	+1.0	175.5	+11	O 195 +19.5
2018	ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 130.3 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 130.3 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 79.1
06/13/18	Sun	91	vs.	Mystics	95	-9.5	172.5	+4	O 186 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 78.5
06/09/18	Sun	89	vs.	Lynx	75	-5.5	167.5	-14	U 164 -3.5
2018	ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 76.5
06/07/18	Sun	88	@	Liberty	86	-5.5	165.5	-2	O 174 +8.5
2018	ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 80.8
06/05/18	Sun	77	@	Dream	82	-6.5	165.0	+5	U 159 -6.0
2018	ORtg: 89.1 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 86.4			ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 89.1 Pace: 86.4
06/03/18	Sun	88	@	Mystics	64	-5.5	171.5	-24	U 152 -19.5
2018	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 82.6 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 82.6 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 77.4
06/01/18	Sun	110	@	Sky	72	-9.0	170.5	-38	O 182 +11.5
2018	ORtg: 125.4 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 87.7			ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 125.4 Pace: 87.7
05/26/18	Sun	86	vs.	Fever	77	-16.5	163.5	-9	U 163 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 82.7

Away Games Avg (7 games)		85.3	-	-	81.6	-3.7	169.3	-3.7 0.0	U 166.9 -2.4
	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 81.9			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 81.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		86.3	-	-	81.8	-5.8	168.9	-4.5 -1.3	U 168.1 -0.8
	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 101.1 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 101.1 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 81.1

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/29/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+7.5	162.5	-	-
06/27/18 2018	Fever	-	@	Sun	-	+11.5	165.0	-	-
06/24/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Sun	-	+8.5	165.5	-	-
06/22/18	Fever	63	@	Storm	72	+11.5	165.5	+9	U 135 -30.5
2018	ORtg: 80.7 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 80.7 Pace: 78.1
06/19/18	Fever	55	@	Sparks	74	+12.5	153.5	+19	U 129 -24.5
2018	ORtg: 74.5 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 73.8			ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 74.5 Pace: 73.8
06/16/18	Fever	96	vs.	Dream	64	+4.0	151.0	-32	O 160 +9.0
2018	ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 80.8 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 80.8 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 79.2
06/14/18	Fever	67	@	Dream	72	+9.0	153.0	+5	U 139 -14.0
2018	ORtg: 86.9 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 86.9 Pace: 77.1
06/12/18	Fever	92	vs.	Aces	101 OT	-4.0	162.0	+9	O 193 +31.0
2018	ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 80.9			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 80.9
06/10/18	Fever	75	@	Liberty	78	+10.0	157.5	+3	U 153 -4.5
2018	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 75.2
06/08/18	Fever	83	vs.	Wings	89	+6.5	167.0	+6	O 172 +5.0
2018	ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 78.8
06/02/18	Fever	81	vs.	Liberty	87 OT	+5.5	156.0	+6	O 168 +12.0
2018	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 76.7
05/26/18	Fever	77	@	Sun	86	+16.5	163.5	+9	U 163 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 82.7
05/24/18	Fever	84	vs.	Mystics	93	+5.0	154.5	+9	O 177 +22.5
2018	ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 119.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 119.4 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 77.9

Home Games Avg (5 games)		87.2	-	-	86.8	+3.4	158.1	-0.4 +3.8	O 174.0 +15.9
	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 78.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		77.3	-	-	81.6	+7.7	158.4	+4.3 +3.4	O 158.9 +0.6
	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 102.2 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 102.2 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 78.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Fever are 25% (2-6) against the spread at home

The Fever are 75% (6-2) to the over at home

The Fever are 83.3% (5-1) to the over as a home dog

The Fever are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

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Fever (Home)

The Fever are 50% (7-7) against the spread

The Fever are 25% (2-6) against the spread at home

The Fever are 58.3% (7-5) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Fever are 50% (7-7) to the over

The Fever are 75% (6-2) to the over at home

The Fever are 50% (6-6) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 83.3% (5-1) to the over as a home dog

The Fever are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fever are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Fever are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Fever are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Fever are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 46.2% (6-7) against the spread

The Sun are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread away

The Sun are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 50% (3-3) against the spread as an away fav

The Sun are 53.8% (7-6) to the under

The Sun are 62.5% (5-3) to the under away

The Sun are 54.5% (6-5) to the under as a fav

The Sun are 66.7% (4-2) to the under as an away fav

The Sun are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sun are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Sun are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Sun are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the under away

The Sun are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Sun are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/26/18	Fever	77	@	Sun	86	+16.5	163.5	+9	U 163 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 82.7
07/30/17	Fever	73	@	Sun	89	+13.0	162.5	+16	U 162 -0.5
2017	ORtg: 90.9 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 90.9 Pace: 80.3
07/01/17	Fever	85	vs.	Sun	91	+3.5	166.5	+6	O 176 +9.5
2017	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 77.0
05/20/17	Fever	81	vs.	Sun	79	-6.5	161.0	-2	U 160 -1.0
2017	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 69.8			ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 69.8

Fever as Home (2 games)		83.0	-	-	85.0	-1.5	163.8	+2.0 -3.5	O 168.0 +4.3
	ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 73.4

All Games Avg (4 games)		79.0	-	-	86.3	+6.6	163.4	+7.3 -0.6	O 165.3 +1.9
	ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 77.5