WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 95 – 91
Washington Mystics @ Connecticut Sun

Mystics: 5-4 (55.6%)

Sun: 7-1 (87.5%)

Line: -9.5

Total: 172.5

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Injury Report WASNo report CONNo report

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/19/18 2018	Mystics	-	vs.	Sky	-	-9.5	168.5	-	-
06/15/18 2018	Mystics	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+4.0	160.0	-	-
06/13/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Sun	-	+9.5	172.5	-	-
06/07/18	Mystics	80	vs.	Lynx	88	+7.0	159.0	+8	O 168 +9.0
2018	ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 77.2
06/03/18	Mystics	64	vs.	Sun	88	+5.5	171.5	+24	U 152 -19.5
2018	ORtg: 82.6 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 82.6 Pace: 77.4
06/01/18	Mystics	73	@	Aces	85	-7.5	168.0	+12	U 158 -10.0
2018	ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 74.5			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 74.5
05/30/18	Mystics	103	@	Mercury	95	+8.5	160.0	-8	O 198 +38.0
2018	ORtg: 123.7 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 83.2			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 123.7 Pace: 83.2
05/29/18	Mystics	77	@	Storm	81	+7.0	164.0	+4	U 158 -6.0
2018	ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 78.1
05/27/18	Mystics	90	vs.	Lynx	78	+5.5	159.0	-12	O 168 +9.0
2018	ORtg: 124.3 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 124.3 Pace: 72.4
05/24/18	Mystics	93	@	Fever	84	-5.0	154.5	-9	O 177 +22.5
2018	ORtg: 119.4 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 119.4 Pace: 77.9
05/22/18	Mystics	75	vs.	Aces	70	-18.0	154.5	-5	U 145 -9.5
2018	ORtg: 87.3 DRtg: 81.5 Pace: 85.9			ORtg: 81.5 DRtg: 87.3 Pace: 85.9
05/20/18	Mystics	82	vs.	Fever	75	-13.0	153.5	-7	O 157 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/17	Mystics	70	vs.	Lynx	81	+6.5	164.0	+11	U 151 -13.0
2017	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 72.7			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 72.7

Away Games Avg (4 games this season)		86.5	-	-	86.3	+0.8	161.6	-0.3 +1.0	O 172.8 +11.1
	ORtg: 109.9 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 109.9 Pace: 78.4

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		81.9	-	-	82.7	-1.1	160.4	+0.8 -1.9	O 164.6 +4.1
	ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 78.1

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/16/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Mercury	-	+5.5	172.5	-	-
06/15/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Storm	-	+1.0	175.5	-	-
06/13/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-9.5	172.5	-	-
06/09/18	Sun	89	vs.	Lynx	75	-5.5	167.5	-14	U 164 -3.5
2018	ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 76.5
06/07/18	Sun	88	@	Liberty	86	-5.5	165.5	-2	O 174 +8.5
2018	ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 80.8
06/05/18	Sun	77	@	Dream	82	-6.5	165.0	+5	U 159 -6.0
2018	ORtg: 89.1 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 86.4			ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 89.1 Pace: 86.4
06/03/18	Sun	88	@	Mystics	64	-5.5	171.5	-24	U 152 -19.5
2018	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 82.6 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 82.6 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 77.4
06/01/18	Sun	110	@	Sky	72	-9.0	170.5	-38	O 182 +11.5
2018	ORtg: 125.4 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 87.7			ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 125.4 Pace: 87.7
05/26/18	Sun	86	vs.	Fever	77	-16.5	163.5	-9	U 163 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 82.7
05/24/18	Sun	102	vs.	Sparks	94	-4.5	162.0	-8	O 196 +34.0
2018	ORtg: 132.5 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 132.5 Pace: 77.0
05/20/18	Sun	101	vs.	Aces	65	-17.5	154.0	-36	O 166 +12.0
2018	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/10/17	Sun	83	vs.	Mercury	88	-5.5	166.5	+5	O 171 +4.5
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 77.1
09/03/17	Sun	70	@	Sparks	81	+7.5	161.0	+11	U 151 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 79.9

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		94.5	-	-	77.8	-11.0	161.8	-16.8 +5.8	O 172.3 +10.5
	ORtg: 117.9 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 117.9 Pace: 80.3

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		92.6	-	-	76.9	-8.8	164.9	-15.8 +6.9	O 169.5 +4.6
	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 94.5 Pace: 81.7			ORtg: 94.5 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 81.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) against the spread away

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

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Sun (Home)

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread

The Sun are 60% (3-2) against the spread at home

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4) to the over

The Sun are 60% (3-2) to the over at home

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 60% (3-2) to the over as a home fav

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Sun are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Sun are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Mystics (Away)

The Mystics are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) against the spread away

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (3-0) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 60% (6-4) to the over

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) to the over away

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as an away dog

The Mystics are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/03/18	Sun	88	@	Mystics	64	-5.5	171.5	-24	U 152 -19.5
2018	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 82.6 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 82.6 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 77.4
08/29/17	Sun	86	@	Mystics	76	+2.0	169.0	-10	U 162 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 92.0 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 92.0 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 82.6
07/08/17	Sun	96	vs.	Mystics	92	-3.0	168.0	-4	O 188 +20.0
2017	ORtg: 121.7 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 121.7 Pace: 78.9
05/31/17	Sun	76	@	Mystics	78	+7.5	162.0	+2	U 154 -8.0
2017	ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 72.8			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 72.8

Sun as Home (1 games)		96.0	-	-	92.0	-3.0	168.0	-4.0 +1.0	O 188.0 +20.0
	ORtg: 121.7 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 121.7 Pace: 78.9

All Games Avg (4 games)		86.5	-	-	77.5	+0.3	167.6	-9.0 +9.3	U 164.0 -3.6
	ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 77.9